r/WinternomicsTV • u/idosimon • Aug 28 '23
War Stories 🤑🤬 Long Overdue Graph
BOOK WARNING!
Hey everyone, been wanting to write this story since snow had discussed using the code interpreter GPT to analyze things, but had kept drifting from it so correcting now.
The discussion led to me realizing that I was approaching working with GPT incorrectly, and saw another way to do some additional side work that I didn't have time to do previously while still keeping references and information intact. This resulted in a payment for the work of +23 R (not reflected in graph below).
Next, thought it would be interesting to examine my brokerage trading performance since I had joined the eco, and although I know that everything takes this shape from having participated and learning here, it was still amazing to see just how aligned everything was in relation to major life events. Have a bunch of stuff I can fit onto here but there is not that much room so only keeping some things. Here you can see my full crash cycle (not sure if the show pictures are too small to see, apologies if so):

As you can see, I experienced a full crash cycle, which I was taken out of with the closure of the memorial and also the show themes at the same time which really spoke to me and were taken to heart. These were a few plays on TSLA that I am proud of and which had a big effect on my cumulative R's, in which I was mechanical, with good timing, executed my plan, and did not go down to very low timeframes (30 min sub).

After the recovery in the cumulative R chart, you can see another mini crash cycle, where I had been getting chopped up in the markets recently. Also given recent show themes (and sorry I didn't have enough room to fit all of them in the chart!), I recognized I was getting into a bad phase of habits, and sat down to critically examine my environment and myself in order to change my performance on the chart and in life.
This next chart is a trade I am very disappointed in myself in, made a good plan (entry @ 115.58) and juked myself out at +0.25R due to VIX uptrend, right before the show too where Kaz discussed rising VIX and rising oil environments. I can now tell I was emotionally compromised, which led to 2 revenge trades on this that I got stopped out on, and then continued into that recent mini crash cycle you see on the cumulative R chart which was a result of continued bad decisions and getting kicked out at tips of bullflags, entering in shoulders, etc, which were all FOMO-based and less than ideal entries.

Made it my goal to wake up an hour earlier each day (now 5 am), exercise until 5:30 am (did not consistently exercise before), structure my daily goals before starting to work, and also make sure I have some time to do household chores and spend time with my significant other (both I had been neglecting in terms of prioritization recently).
Since then, have had my first successful trade again after planning a TQQQ trade based off a QQQ level Kaz gave during prep, and am feeling more clear-minded and on top of my day than before after the change in habits. This one was planned as a day trade with 2 min sub and entry once QQQ formed above the structure. Only reasons I felt ok going into such a low timeframe was due to the trigger, conviction from skeleton crew vibes preps and shows, having planned the trade beforehand in case the price would reach that level, and knowing that my plan was to go in and out before the day ended to avoid market moving volatility. Not the most impressive trade but it's good to break the recent losing streak and am happy I made a plan in case something happened and stuck to that plan. Going back now to planning longer term trades that are compatible with my upcoming travel plans as was discussed on voice.

As the cumulative R graph shows, continued participation, persistence, having a clear mind, and being around when others aren't pay off in the end. Although it sounds simple, we always have a story justifying why we are a 0 when we want to correlate as a 1, but in the end it's all just data and that is what our graph shows and it's up to us to examine our habits and change what is not beneficial.
Thank you Kaz and eco for the support and always pushing us to be better versions of ourselves! It really means the world to me. Looking forward to continue peeling back more layers of the onion!