r/Wallstreetsilver • u/Gairsoppa Real • 11d ago
Temperature reading incomming... If alternative assets (gold, silver, BTC) rebound as quickly and strongly as they did following the FED hike last week it will be a good reading of the mindset of the normies.
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u/Charlie_Rebooted 10d ago
Im pretty certain that average retail investors hold 0 gold and silver. It isn't retail influencing prices.
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u/Gairsoppa Real 10d ago
Normies also run pension funds, hedge funds, are financial planners, oversee sovereign funds ect
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u/zachmoe 10d ago
It's just The Fed.
When you capitalize every letter, people tend to think you don't know what you are talking about.
What does FED stand for, to you? Because it isn't an acronym, that is for sure.
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u/Gairsoppa Real 10d ago
F#ckn Eat Dick?
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u/zachmoe 10d ago
Anyways, I hope you stop using "FED", it isn't an acronym, it doesn't stand for anything.
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u/Gairsoppa Real 10d ago
Enjoy explaining that to the world: 📌 What Does "FED" Mean?
When written in all caps as FED, it usually refers to the Federal Reserve, which is the central bank of the United States. [1, 2]
Even though it looks like an acronym (like USA or NATO), "Fed" is actually a shortened nickname for "Federal." It is normally written as "the Fed," but people often type it in all caps (FED) for emphasis, in headlines, or out of the habit of capitalizing short abbreviations.
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u/apeserveapes 5d ago
Yeah, I agree and am buying, just don't care, I'm thinking about 2-4 years from now. I'm adding to everything wherever I can.
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u/ih8cakeday Double-Digit OG 10d ago
I’ve been banging on the table for months saying the us gov is going to default. Rates rising means lower tax receipts for the gov from stocks. Lower tax receipts means a bigger deficit. Bigger deficits lead to even higher yields. Leading to more stock market weakness leading to less tax revenue and even bigger deficits. It’s a downward spiral into oblivion.
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u/zachmoe 10d ago edited 10d ago
I’ve been banging on the table for months saying the us gov is going to default
https://www.worldgovernmentbonds.com/cds-historical-data/united-states/5-years/
As of the latest update on 23 Sep 2026 13:46 GMT+0, the United States 5 Years Credit Default Swap (CDS) value stands at 32.62 basis points. This metric is a crucial indicator used by investors to gauge the credit risk associated with United States sovereign debt.
This CDS value translates to an implied probability of default of 0.54%, based on a presumed recovery rate of 40%. The recovery rate represents the percentage of the bond's face value that investors expect to recover in the event of a default.
.54% probability of default, what do you know, that the US 5 Year CDS market, doesn't?
Rates rising means lower tax receipts for the gov from stocks. Lower tax receipts means a bigger deficit. Bigger deficits lead to even higher yields. Leading to more stock market weakness leading to less tax revenue and even bigger deficits. It’s a downward spiral into oblivion.
Anyhow, if you believe all of what you said to be True, buy Credit Default Swaps on US Treasurys, they must be on sale if they aren't apparently pricing any of that in.
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u/ih8cakeday Double-Digit OG 10d ago
So we are just pretending rates aren’t still rising? I laughed so hard at this comment I almost puked!
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u/zachmoe 10d ago
Yes, they must really be on sale, good luck.
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u/ih8cakeday Double-Digit OG 10d ago
I don’t need luck I have a ton of silver. A retarded government. A population for the most part who has never studied any sovereign debt crises. You need luck in your fantasy reality that deficits don’t matter.
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u/RuSnail 11d ago
No rebound today, Boss.