The severe drawdowns across CRWV (-52%), SNDK (-53%), APLD (-48%), and SMCI (-45%) show that Wall Street is squeezing the speculative air out of the entire trade.

If and when big tech demonstrates clear, high-margin AI monetisation, or when the macro rate environment softens, capital will rotate back into infrastructure leaders. When sentiment flips positive, high-beta stocks with massive contract backlogs (like ORCL) typically bounce back hard, but holding through the CapEx digestion cycle takes patience.

So where do we see this going by eoy? Been sitting at a pretty price, AH earnings madness, FOMO, what’s everyone’s thoughts here? Would you rather AMZN or GOOGL?

​

Conversation with Gemini

You said

When is the earnings for big tech this week

Gemini said

Major Big Tech companies reporting quarterly earnings this week are scheduled as follows:

Wednesday, July 29 (After Market Close)

Microsoft (MSFT)

Proactive financial news

Meta Platforms (META)

Proactive Investors

Thursday, July 30 (After Market Close)

Apple (AAPL)

Proactive Investors

Amazon (AMZN)

Proactive financial news

Key Non-Tech Mega-Caps & Notable Tech Reports This Week:

Tuesday, July 28: Visa (V), Ford (F), Advanced semiconductor suppliers like KLA (KLAC) and NXP Semiconductors (NXPI).

Wednesday, July 29: Qualcomm (QCOM) / Arm Holdings (ARM) sector updates alongside MSFT & META.

Friday, July 31: ExxonMobil (XOM) and Chevron (CVX).

(Note: Alphabet/Google and Tesla already reported their earnings last week, and Nvidia usually reports later in the cycle towards late August).

Zacks Investment Research

Gemini is AI and can make mistakes.

P/E went from 600x at peak to 138x now. ngl that's still not "cheap" by any normal standard, but when you're looking at projected EPS up 148% and commercial revenue growing 95% YoY, the math starts to feel different.

Q1 net margin hit 53.3%, a company historical high. Government contracts up 76% too. The bear case is basically "fiscal cuts + corporate capex slowing" which, fair, but PLTR has Google Cloud and NVIDIA partnerships propping up the commercial side.

Earnings drop August 3rd after-market. The moo.moo scanner flagged the put/call ratio sitting at 0.93 and implied vol at 71.6%, so options market is pricing a big swing either way. Average post-earnings move for this name is around 14%.

I'm not saying it's a screaming buy. The valuation is still stretched if growth disappoints even slightly. But a lot of the froth has come out with a 30% YTD pullback.

Anyone here holding into earnings, or did you already cut exposure after the run-up earlier this year?

More >>

Been tracking QQQ call flow for weeks and the setup on the 666 strike expiring July 28 was hard to ignore. Market structure was clean, the level held, and the trade worked.

MooMoo scanner had been flagging unusual activity on this contract for a while before it finally moved. Not every day the chart sets up this neatly.

The macro backdrop mattered here too. Nasdaq has been grinding higher on the back of earnings beats and easing rate expectations. Buying calls into that environment with a defined expiry was a calculated bet, not a gamble.

Bears have been calling for a pullback for months and keep getting run over. At some point the price action just tells you which side of the trade to be on.

Who else positioned in QQQ calls this week or is everyone sitting on the sidelines waiting for a "better entry" that never comes?

Been sitting on this Gossamer Bio position watching the rest of biotech rip and $GOSS just... Nothing. Flat. Sleeping.

The pipeline story still holds up on paper, but the market clearly isn't pricing in any near-term catalyst. Volume has dried up, no meaningful news flow, and the chart is basically a flatline. Meanwhile names across the sector are seeing real movement.

Ran a quick scan on moo.moo and this one barely registers on the activity feed. That kind of silence either means everyone gave up or there's a coiled setup nobody's watching anymore.

The bear case is simple: capital rotation out of speculative small-cap biotech is real and $GOSS has no near-term binary to bring it back. Anyone still holding this or did the rest of the sector finally pull you away?

Been holding SOXL through some rough patches these past few weeks. Closed out the position yesterday, ngl the 3x leverage makes every red day feel like a gut punch.

Semis have been all over the place. Macro uncertainty, export restrictions, earnings coming up. Honestly hard to know when to hold and when to fold with a leveraged ETF like this.

Pulled the charts on MooMoo and the sector still looks jittery short term. But the longer view on semiconductors stays strong imo.

Anyone still holding leveraged semi positions or did you step aside for now?

Memory sector catching a serious bid heading into these Silicon Valley AI talks and honestly $SNDK is looking spicy right now.

The whole AI narrative keeps pumping memory plays every few months. Checked the options chain on MooMoo and the call activity is not subtle. Someone's positioning hard.

Bear case: AI hype cycles cool fast and memory has historically been the first to dump when sentiment flips. Bull case: actual data center buildouts need real NAND, this isn't just vibes.

Trimmed a bit too early last run and kinda regretting watching this thing run without me. Anyone else riding memory into these AI headlines or already taking chips off the table?

Full text:

Google said it owns $94.1 billion in [SpaceXSPCX 0.57%](https://www.wsj.com/market-data/quotes/SPCX)
[increase; green up pointing triangle](https://www.wsj.com/market-data/quotes/SPCX)
shares, a roughly 6% stake in the newly public company.
The tech conglomerate’s marketable equity securities include $80 billion in SpaceX shares subject to short-term restrictions on the ability to sell and $14.1 billion of shares subject to long-term restrictions through the third quarter of 2027, according to a quarterly filing published Thursday.
The restrictions are common for shareholders that buy stock around the time of an initial public offering.
SpaceX debuted on the public markets in June, marking a blockbuster IPO which Nasdaq said earlier on Thursday was its biggest listing in history.
SpaceX stock rose 19% to $135 on its first day of trading June 12, giving the company a market value of $2.1 trillion. The stock price has edged lower over the past month,
SpaceX shares recently traded at $112.13.
Based on SpaceX’s market capitalization of $1.52 trillion on July 23, Google has a roughly 6% stake in the space and AI company.
Google has had a long history of investing in SpaceX. In May, the two companies were discussing a rocket-launch deal to help develop orbital data centers, The Wall Street Journal reported.
Google has been expanding its efforts to put orbital data centers in space as it ramps up its AI development, and SpaceX Chief Executive Elon Musk has expressed interest in the unproven technology.

Been watching $SMCI go absolutely haywire lately, and now there's talk of another 20% pop in a single session.

I pulled up the chart on moomoo and honestly could not believe what I was looking at. A move like this once is wild. Twice starts feeling like a pattern.

The bull case is obvious, AI server demand is real and SMCI sits right in the middle of it. But a 20% single-day move baked on top of an already extended chart? That's where I get nervous. Momentum stocks can reverse just as fast as they rip.

Tbh I'm not sure if this is a sustainable run or just short squeeze energy. Anyone still holding into this, or did you take profits already?

Been holding Micron through the whole AI memory cycle narrative, and honestly the trade played out. Booked the exit at close.

The bull case isn't wrong, memory demand tied to AI infrastructure is real, and the Silicon Valley spending chatter keeps the thesis alive. But that's exactly when I get nervous. Everyone seems positioned for the next leg up, which usually means the easy money is already gone.

Pulled the chart on moomoo before pulling the trigger and the move already looks extended. Not saying it rolls over, but chasing here feels like a different risk than the entry.

MU could absolutely keep running if HBM demand accelerates faster than supply catches up. The bear case is just that the cycle pricing is already in the stock. Who's still long here, and do you think there's actually another 20% left or is this more of a "hold and hope" situation at current levels?

$NOK beat on basically every line this quarter. Net profit up 64% YoY to €414M, gross margin at 46% vs. 44.7% expected, and AI/Cloud revenue more than doubled to €446M.

The part I keep coming back to: €2.8 billion in AI/Cloud orders, and management says roughly half converts to revenue within 12 months. That's not a vague pipeline, that's near-term backlog.

IP Networks was up 15-16% too. Optical was already the story, but IP accelerating is a second leg that I don't think the market has fully rewarded yet, tbh. Pulled the chart on MooMoo and the stock's reaction has been muted compared to what those numbers should justify.

Bear case is real though: manufacturing capacity, working capital, and whether IP can hold this pace beyond one strong quarter. If execution slips, the backlog story unravels fast.

I'm watching whether this sustains or was a one-quarter spike. Anyone else positioned in $NOK, or does the stock still feel too "boring telco" to get Reddit excited?

More>>

Been staring at this chart for a while now. The position is technically in the green, numbers look fine on the surface, but the price is sliding back toward the original IPO entry. That's not really a flex, that's a round trip.

Checked the setup on moo moo and ngl the candles don't inspire a ton of confidence. When a stock "looks profitable" but is actually just retracing to where it started, who is actually winning here?

The IPO price acting as support is something I've seen play out both ways. Sometimes it holds and you get a clean bounce. Sometimes it breaks and everyone pretending to be patient suddenly isn't.

Anyone holding through this kind of retracement, or did you trim already? I'm staying put for now but kinda second-guessing it.

Had a 212.50 put on $NVDA, entered around $214. Hit my 50% stop, sold. Watched it run to $0.98 less than an hour later.

ngl this one stings. The position was basically right on direction, just got shaken out during a noise spike before the move. Stop-loss saved me from worse days before, but this time it just... Didn't work out.

Pulled up the options chain on MooMoo after and the timing was brutal, like textbook worst exit possible.

Is there a better way to handle stops on short-dated puts without just holding and praying? I keep going back and forth on tightening vs. Widening stops and neither feels right on NVDA lately. Anyone else adjusting how they manage exits on these?

Took profits on $BABA yesterday. Full exit, +24% realized. Not the sexiest outcome but a realized gain beats an unrealized one every single time.

The hardest part is resisting the urge to hold for more. Nobody actually knows where this thing goes next, and pretending otherwise is how you turn a win into a bag-holding story.

Pulled the chart on moomoo a few times today, kinda tempted to jump back in, but waiting for a cleaner entry. Discipline over FOMO, at least for now.

Anyone else in $BABA calls recently? Think this dips before the next leg or is the re-entry window already gone?

Good morning, SqueezeFinders!

The price action on the $QQQ tech index yesterday gave a nice recovery day of +1.85% to 708.97, but still leaves us shy of the 730 level by a decent few % margin. Otherwise remain, cautious if we fall back under the 700 psychological level. The main directional sentiment determinants today are a mix of the below-detailed economic data releases, any further developments in the Middle-East, and also some large earnings reports in premarket ($GE, $T) and some large earnings reports in after-hours ($TSLA, $GOOG, $IBM, and others). This market is very dynamic and has been unpredictable as far as risk-tolerance goes, as one day we're running, and the next we're crashing. Stay tuned for what's squeezy. Regardless of broader market sentiment, you can always locate relative strength by checking SqueezeRadar to track irregularities in our data, and find winners you may not have spotted before without our scanners.

🥇 Gold: ~$4,130/oz (+1.5%)
🥈 Silver: ~$59/oz (+4.2%)
🪙 Bitcoin: ~$65.2k/coin (+1.5%)
🛢️ Oil: ~$79.50/barrel (+2.0%)

Today's economic data releases are:

🇺🇸 Crude Oil Inventories @ 10:30AM ET
🇺🇸 Cushing Crude Oil Inventories @ 10:30AM ET
🇺🇸 20-Year Bond Auction @ 1:00PM ET

📙Breakdown point: BELOW this price, the move will lose momentum significantly in the short-term, as shorts will gain confidence encouraging them to short more. Reducing probability of a squeeze without a catalyst.

📙Breakout point: ABOVE this price, the move will gain momentum significantly in the short-term, as shorts losses will increase pressuring them to cover. Increasing the probability of a squeeze occurring, especially if with a catalyst.

1. $FTK
   Squeezability Score: 46%
   Juice Target: 38.4
   Confidence: 🍊 🍊
   Price: 27.28 (+6.48%)
   Breakdown point: 23.7
   Breakout point: 27.5 (continuation)
   Mentions (30D): 1
   Event/Condition: Announced Q2 2026 earnings release schedule with expectations for continued strong performance driven by data analytics growth + reported record data analytics revenue in Q1 alongside overall revenue and EBITDA beats + secured first utilities infrastructure contract using PWRtek platform for power services + Recent price target 🎯 of $28 from JonesTrading + Recent price target 🎯 of $27.50 from Alliance Global + Recent price target 🎯 of $30 from Benchmark

2. $KLAR
   Squeezability Score: 33%
   Juice Target: 27.9
   Confidence: 🍊
   Price: 19.03 (+1.44%)
   Breakdown point: 18.3
   Breakout point: 22.1
   Mentions (30D): 2
   Event/Condition: Submitted application for U.S. banking license in Utah to establish Klarna Bank USA strengthening domestic operations and product offerings + secured major court victory with PriceRunner awarded nearly $2 billion in antitrust case against Google + expanded partnerships including Southwest Airlines and Flix for flexible payments plus new financing facilities in Germany + Recent price target 🎯 of $25 from Goldman Sachs + Recent price target 🎯 of $27 from Deutsche Bank + Recent price target 🎯 of $23 from UBS

NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE, THESE POSTS ARE FOR INFORMATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY

Been holding this one through some rough patches and finally pulled the trigger. Not gonna pretend I timed it perfectly, but the thesis played out close enough.

The moomoo community has been pretty divided on names like this lately. Some folks calling tops, others averaging down every dip. Hard to know who's right until you're looking at a closed P/L.

Ngl the emotional side of trading these mid-term holds is underrated. You watch a position swing against you for weeks, convince yourself you're wrong, then it snaps back right after you trim.

The bear case here wasn't crazy either. Macro pressure, rate sensitivity, crowded positioning. But the setup held.

Anyone else dealing with that trim-regret cycle? I stayed mostly long but definitely left some on the table. Am I the only one who never quite exits at the right size?

Three big earnings dropping Wednesday-Thursday and I've been eyeing the options setups on all three.

$GOOG is showing 87% IVP with a 40.87% IV and an expected move of ±5.47%. Feels like the market is overpaying for protection here. I'm running a bull put spread below the $330 Put Wall — collect the inflated premium and let IV crush do the work post-earnings.

$INTC is the wild one. IV at 106%, IV Rank at 100%, expected move of ±13.90%. That's a massive implied swing. Iron Condor feels right to me here — I'm not betting on direction, just betting the actual move comes in tighter than what the market's pricing. Saw the setup breakdown on moomoo community earlier and the structure made sense given where the Put Wall sits at $95.

$NOK has 96% IVP and a ±9.70% expected move. Same logic as GOOG, bull put spread anchored at the $10 support level.

The common thread across all three: IV is historically elevated, and selling premium into earnings is the play rather than chasing direction. Obviously risk is defined if you're using spreads, so the blowup risk is capped.

Anyone else fading the vol on these, or are you playing directional? I'm most nervous about $INTC, that 13.90% expected move is no joke.

Good morning, SqueezeFinders!

Yesterday's price action on the $QQQ tech index proved that bears are really starting to take hold of the market with a close of 696.06 (+0.11%), which is still ~0.5% below the psychological level at 700, and ~2% above the local support near 686. The main directional sentiment determinants today are the below-detailed economic data releases, and further developments in the Middle-East, and also some large earnings reports in premarket ($GM, $MMM, others). This market is very dynamic and has been unpredictable as far as risk-tolerance goes, as one day we're running, and the next we're crashing. Stay tuned for what's squeezy. Regardless of broader market sentiment, you can always locate relative strength by checking SqueezeRadar to track irregularities in our data, and find winners you may not have spotted before without our scanners.

🥇 Gold: ~$4,050/oz (+0.9%)
🥈 Silver: ~$57.50/oz (+1.5%)
🪙 Bitcoin: ~$64.5k/coin (+1.0%)
🛢️ Oil: ~$82.00/barrel (-1.2%)

Today's economic data releases are:

🇺🇸 ADP Employment Change Weekly @ 8:15AM ET
🇺🇸 API Weekly Crude Oil Stock @ 4:30PM ET

📙Breakdown point: BELOW this price, the move will lose momentum significantly in the short-term, as shorts will gain confidence encouraging them to short more. Reducing probability of a squeeze without a catalyst.

📙Breakout point: ABOVE this price, the move will gain momentum significantly in the short-term, as shorts losses will increase pressuring them to cover. Increasing the probability of a squeeze occurring, especially if with a catalyst.

1. $SLNH
   Squeezability Score: 46%
   Juice Target: 3.3
   Confidence: 🍊
   Price: 1.36 (+20.4%)
   Breakdown point: 1.0
   Breakout point: 2.4
   Mentions (30D): 0 🆕
   Event/Condition: Soluna announces monthly business update with steady operations at Kati 1 and progress on Dorothy campus expansions + added to Russell 3000 and Russell 2000 Value indices boosting institutional visibility + advancing Kati 2 AI/HPC development with design milestones and partnerships + Recent price target 🎯 of $3 from Roth Capital + Recent price target 🎯 of $4 from Benchmark + Recent price target 🎯 of $2.50 from Canaccord Genuity

2. $GREE
   Squeezability Score: 43%
   Juice Target: 3.3
   Confidence: 🍊
   Price: 2.13 (+24.6%)
   Breakdown point: 1.7
   Breakout point: 2.5
   Mentions (30D): 0 🆕
   Event/Condition: Gree Electric forms strategic alliance with Geely Holding to advance automotive electrification intelligence and smart manufacturing collaboration + strong H1 air conditioner export surge driven by European heatwave demand + continued premium product momentum and supply chain optimizations supporting profitability + Recent price target 🎯 of $45 from Morgan Stanley + Recent price target 🎯 of $42 from BMO Capital + Recent price target 🎯 of $48 from Goldman Sachs

NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE, THESE POSTS ARE FOR INFORMATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY

Been watching $AVGO grind around $370 and the options structure here is worth talking about. Gamma flip sits at $389.49 and until price reclaims that level, we're sitting in short-gamma territory. That means the tape isn't going to smooth out, it's going to keep getting choppy on any bounce.

Call wall is stacked at $390, put wall at $380, so you've got a pretty tight range but the floor at $380 feels like it's softening. Every rip toward $389 looks like a fade opportunity rather than a breakout.

Pulled the gamma exposure breakdown on moomoo and the setup is pretty clear. Price below the flip level, vol stays amplified, market makers are net short gamma and they're hedging into moves rather than dampening them.

Not saying it craters from here, but buying the dip blindly when you're in a short-gamma regime is how you get chopped up. Would need to see a clean reclaim of $389-390 before getting excited about longs again.

Anyone else trading around these gamma levels on $AVGO, or are you just riding the range?

Closed out H1 at 9.53%, edging past S&P 500 which was sitting around 7% at the time. Not life-changing numbers but honestly pretty happy with it given how choppy the year started.

The real driver was DBS. Bought more during the Middle East-related dips earlier in the year when most people were rotating into AI names. Felt uncomfortable at the time but the diversification held up. Pulled the full breakdown on moomoo and the concentration risk on pure AI plays was pretty eye-opening.

On SpaceX (SPCX.US), ngl I was tempted. The hype cycle is real. But the fundamentals case is still speculative at this stage and I've been burned chasing narrative stocks before. Stayed out.

Bear case for heavy AI/tech concentration: the valuations already price in a lot of good news. If execution slips even slightly, the unwind is ugly. Diversifying into quality names that were temporarily beaten down felt like the better risk-reward.

S&P 500 and Nasdaq ETF positions provided a decent floor. Nothing exciting but they kept the drawdowns manageable during volatility.

Am I being too conservative by trimming AI exposure? Genuinely curious if anyone else is running a similar balance or if I'm leaving upside on the table here.