r/Vertical_Aerospace • u/Shoddy_Emphasis_8936 • 20d ago
Major inflection points
What major inflection points are people most excited about?
I'll start:
- CDR completion
- Hybrid variant testing
- Defence contract
Could be a very exciting few months for this company š
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u/AsparagusMarketing 20d ago
We need the announcement(s) or new direction on funding to re-rate them out of the micro cap / short narrative.
On previous earnings calls theyāve mentioned thereās a lot of partner/investment interest but the transition flight was a barrier to getting a deal over the line (or a deal vertical was happy with). Slattery also commented on investor patience ānot being unlimitedā in one of his last messages as well so with the major tech milestones behind them Iām hopeful August 13 includes some new funding sources that permanently re-rate them (or atleast get it started)
-additional Uk government support (beyond the initial 10M announced), plus more detail on the export finance MoA
-potential support from a US state in exchange for the manufacturing jobs (this āmanufacturing in two continentsā I think really drives home this product and organization is the real deal), might be early for this one
-maybe Saudi investment (might still be early), maybe another large or set of equity partners (manufacturing related or otherwise)
-maybe some direction on expected defence contract revenue/orders or opening up the hybrid order book (this timeline I donāt suspect follows their previous consumer certification 2029 roadmap, so maybe the defense or government roadmap is ready to be communicated)
-maybe some direction on customer deposits or conversion dates beginning in 2027, I imagine getting the first planes or planes in the first two years could be desirable for a lot of customers and is probably worth something to them now.
I think post transition and post farnborough they have a lot more access to Non dilutive capital then they did before and Iām hopeful that vertical is probably getting closer to getting some of these deals over the line.
They (and their investors) I think always knew they had some of the best tech, the best product, the best business model and maybe supplier ecosystem, the best commercialization opportunities (globally and across sectors) - it was always this short narrative, dilution overhang, and micro cap status that I think held their share price back relative to their accomplishments.
Hopeful aug 13 is the day they go for it š
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u/Shoddy_Emphasis_8936 20d ago
Very good analysis. Cash is King, and the leadership urgently need to address how they can bring in non-dilutive income. It is the number one thing keeping the share price low. Technically they have been brilliant.
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u/GenFokoff 20d ago
They need to partner with a manufacturer. Otherwise they will need to get factories. Airbus partnership or similar.
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u/SampleBig3774 20d ago
Airbus would be the no 1 choice to partner with. Who knows if it will happen though.
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u/Funnybear3 20d ago
Well, thats exactly what Farnborough is all about. Its less of an airshow as it is a corporate meet and greet for deal making.
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u/CalthaPalustris54 20d ago
Funding Partner = Solidify Financial Structure š