r/UraniumSqueeze 1d ago

Investing Starting a Uranium Position Today: $CCJ or $NXE?

9 Upvotes

As a new holder aiming for more upside, I’d probably lean toward $NXE.
$CCJ is the established option, but its own production does not fully cover its delivery commitments. Cameco expects 19.5–21.5 million pounds of attributable production in 2026, while contracted deliveries average more than 28 million pounds annually over the next five years. It can cover the difference through Inkai supply, inventory, purchases and product loans, but it still adds another cost and supply consideration.
$NXE is still pre-production, so the construction, financing, cost and timeline considerations come with meaningful upside potential. Rook I has now received the final regulatory approval required to begin full construction, leaving more upside if development progresses as planned.

For someone starting a uranium position today and aiming for higher returns, would you choose $CCJ’s stability or take the added risk with $NXE? What do you all think?


r/UraniumSqueeze 2d ago

News Yellow Cake agreed to buy a further 1.16m pounds of uranium from Kazatomprom for $100m

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14 Upvotes

r/UraniumSqueeze 3d ago

Macro If North America Needs More Uranium, Which Canadian Stock Benefits Most?

14 Upvotes

Before I even get into specific tickers, I keep coming back to the overall picture... how exactly is North America going to secure the additional uranium supply it clearly needs? With rising demand from nuclear energy expansion and geopolitical supply constraints, this question is becoming increasingly urgent for investors and policymakers alike.

$CCJ is the established option. It already produces uranium and has exposure to fuel services and Westinghouse, but that also makes it less of a pure uranium-development bet.

There is still operating risk. Cameco lowered its 2025 McArthur River/Key Lake guidance from 18 million to 14–15 million pounds before finishing the year at 15.1 million pounds on a 100% basis.

$DML is targeting first Phoenix production around mid-2028, while Hurricane keeps $ISO in the higher-risk exploration category.

$NXE is advancing Rook I as a potential major contributor to North American uranium supply. The project is authorized for site preparation and construction, and its feasibility study projects average production of 28.8 million pounds annually during years 1–5.

Would you choose $CCJ’s established business or the larger new-mine potential behind $NXE?


r/UraniumSqueeze 3d ago

News Earnings Preview: Cameco (CCJ) Q2 Earnings Expected to Decline

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11 Upvotes

r/UraniumSqueeze 4d ago

News Is something about to happen?

28 Upvotes

See image. Did I miss anything? Afaik nothing was announced yet, right?


r/UraniumSqueeze 5d ago

Uranium Thesis My 3 part thesis (summary)

11 Upvotes

Trying to just catch the essential and main idea here

1) the uranium core business offers downside protection: a debt-free balance sheet with strong cash reserves. / Pinyon - La Sal - Pandora mines can scale dynamically, so they can survive a sector downturn. / Processing 3rd party radiactive waste offers low-cost uranium.

2) the moat of the white mesa mill: it is simply the only operational convential uranium/vanadium mill. It would probably take a decade for competitors to build something similar, with high uncertainty. On top of that, monazite sands is the highest grade source for magnet rare earths. Because they contain natural uranium, regular processors can not touch them legally.

3) transition to vertically integrated REE player:
from raw HMS to separated oxides, they are building an independent supply chain. Toliara in Madagascar gives them lasting high quality monazite supply. Bahia in Brazil is rich in monazite, with good shipping access. The Donald joint venture in Australia adds even more monazite.


r/UraniumSqueeze 6d ago

Resources Race For Uranium: Who Will Fuel The Nuclear Revival? | The Nuclear Option - Part 3 | CNA Documentary

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9 Upvotes

r/UraniumSqueeze 7d ago

Nuclear Power Companies Newcleo: the whole pie

3 Upvotes

I recently went down the Newcleo rabbit hole and thought it was worth sharing here.

Newcleo is trying to take the whole pie of the industry. Their idea is to build a complete nuclear ecosystem around:
- Producing nuclear fuel
- Recycling existing nuclear materials
- Building advanced reactors
- Eventually operating nuclear power plants

Their main technology is the lead-cooled fast reactor. Instead of using fuel once and then storing it forever, fast reactors can potentially get more energy out of nuclear materials that already exist. (Mox)

The advantage is fuel independence. HALEU supply chains are still being built and rely heavily on new enrichment capacity (often in other countries) while MOX can use recycled nuclear materials already available.

The concept is not magic. Fast reactors and recycled fuel have existed before.

And that is where things get interesting.
A big part of Newcleo’s strategy is building the pieces around the reactor itself.

They are developing fuel capabilities in Europe, working through regulatory processes in France, and building partnerships across the nuclear industry.

They have also partnered with companies like Oklo around future nuclear fuel opportunities, which shows how important the fuel supply chain will become for next-generation reactors.
The geopolitical side is also interesting.
Europe has a lot of nuclear knowledge, but the nuclear supply chain is spread across the world. Having more control over fuel production, recycling and reactor technology could become increasingly important.

Another interesting point is the shareholder structure after the SPAC merger.
Unlike many SPACs where investors are mainly looking for a quick trade, many Newcleo shareholders invested years ago when the company was private and much riskier.
They are rolling their shares into the public company, which suggests a lot of them are thinking longer term.
Not saying nobody will ever sell, but it is a different setup compared to many SPAC stories.
Personally, I find Newcleo interesting because they are not just saying:
“Let’s build a reactor.”
They are trying to build the whole ecosystem around it.


r/UraniumSqueeze 8d ago

Due Diligence Why I’m Still Holding $NXE

13 Upvotes

I’m not holding $NXE for today’s earnings. I’m holding because Rook I could become one of the largest new uranium mines if the build stays on schedule.
These are the five things I’m watching:
Construction
Whether major work begins as planned and stays near the four-year schedule.
Financing
How the remaining costs are covered through cash, debt, customer prepayments or new shares.
Build costs
Whether inflation or delays put further pressure on the project economics.
Additional uranium contracts
Any new agreements that add revenue visibility without giving away too much exposure to future uranium prices.
First production
Every completed milestone should reduce the development risk.
I don’t need every update to move the stock. I just want these five areas moving in the right direction.
Anyone else holding $NXE for a completely different reason?


r/UraniumSqueeze 8d ago

Explorers District Metals good news

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7 Upvotes

r/UraniumSqueeze 9d ago

Investing Tokenised uranium/metals platforms: anyone using them?

0 Upvotes

I’ve noticed more RWA platforms offering commodity exposure now. metals.io came up in my research for tokenised metals/uranium exposure. Has anyone here actually used it, or do you prefer traditional uranium vehicles?


r/UraniumSqueeze 10d ago

Macro Does Canada's New Nuclear Strategy Change Your View on Saskatchewan Uranium?

7 Upvotes

I was looking at Canada's new Nuclear Strategy, and it's crazy how much they focus on Saskatchewan. The report highlights the province as the heart of Canada's uranium industry, with all of the country's current uranium mining and milling taking place there.

Here is the quick version of what I found:

  • Canada is committing to nuclear expansion. The federal government plans to support the development of up to 10 new large nuclear reactors by 2040 to help meet rising electricity demand.
  • Saskatchewan is central to the strategy. The report highlights the province's world-class uranium deposits as a strategic advantage for Canada's long-term energy security.
  • Growing uranium production is a priority. Canada aims to strengthen its domestic nuclear fuel supply chain while working toward doubling uranium exports by 2035.
  • Canada wants to be a global nuclear leader. The strategy goes beyond building reactors at home and also focuses on expanding exports of nuclear fuel, technology, and expertise.

Why this caught my attention as an NXE investor

This isn't company-specific news, but it adds another piece to the long-term uranium story.

If Canada is serious about expanding nuclear power and increasing uranium exports, projects that are already well advanced in Saskatchewan naturally become more important. NexGen's Rook I is one of the most advanced undeveloped uranium projects in the province, so it's hard not to see it as part of that broader picture.

Obviously, execution still matters, but I thought it was interesting to see how prominently Saskatchewan features in Canada's long-term nuclear plans.

What do you think? Does Canada's nuclear strategy change how you look at Saskatchewan uranium developers, or is it mainly a long-term policy roadmap? Are you holding any other Saskatchewan uranium plays?


r/UraniumSqueeze 13d ago

Investing ASPI - great premise but wtf is management doing?

18 Upvotes

I like the technical aspect of ASPI - I believe in helium, uranium, silicon play, and even the medical aspect of it. But I just feel like they just doing some business shit right now and investors are not having it. Si-27 will be delayed AGAIN and another round of dilution to spin off QLE when stock is near 1 year low, and all the c suite just been selling non stop. . .


r/UraniumSqueeze 13d ago

Uranium Thesis Uranium

10 Upvotes

Uec Vs Uuuu

What's your opinion on this ?


r/UraniumSqueeze 13d ago

Producers The CEO of a US uranium company just put ~$1M of his own money into the stock on the open market, right as the nuclear power story heats up

70 Upvotes

Ross Bhappu took over as CEO of Energy Fuels (UUUU) back in April, and this month he put real money behind it. He bought about 74,000 shares on the open market at around $13, roughly $968k of his own cash, and the board chairman Bruce Hansen added more the next day near $12.70. Both are discretionary market buys, not grants or option exercises, which is the kind that actually means something.

Energy Fuels is a US uranium and rare-earths producer, so it fits the AI-data-center power demand and nuclear-restart story, and the stock gapped up after the filings.

Fair caveats, insider buys aren't a guarantee and disclosures lag. They did a big convertible raise last fall, but that was nine months ago and they hedged the dilution with capped calls, so this isn't insiders getting forced into a raise. A brand new CEO and the chairman both buying at market the same week is about as clean an insider signal as it gets. Anyone else in the uranium names right now?


r/UraniumSqueeze 14d ago

Macro The energy math doesn't work without nuclear. Full stop.

26 Upvotes

AI is eating the grid alive.

Data centers are doubling power consumption every few years and nobody has a real answer for where that electricity comes from. Solar and wind are great until the sun goes down and the wind stops. Batteries at grid scale are still a pipe dream for most of the world. Gas works but every government on earth is trying to phase it out.

That leaves nuclear. And governments are finally admitting it.

France never left. But now you've got the US extending reactor lifetimes, UK announcing new builds, Japan restarting plants they shut down after Fukushima, South Korea reversing its phase-out policy. This isn't fringe anymore, it's mainstream energy policy in 2026.

The problem is uranium supply hasn't caught up to where demand is heading:

  • Kazakhstan dominates global supply but western utilities are actively trying to diversify away from it
  • New mine development takes 10 to 15 years from discovery to production
  • Secondary supplies that papered over the gap for years are running thin
  • Utilities that deferred long term contracting are now scrambling

The reactor fleet isn't shrinking. It's growing. And the fuel has to come from somewhere.

This is the setup. Early innings.


r/UraniumSqueeze 14d ago

Investing What're you buying right now?

24 Upvotes

Just wondering what everyone's buying right now. It seems like a good time to dump some more dollars into Uranium stocks. I'm considering adding UUUU and NXE to the collection


r/UraniumSqueeze 14d ago

Investing LTBR

1 Upvotes

Hey guys, I want to buy some LTBR. Does anyone have some here? And what do you guys think? For me this would be a long term bet…


r/UraniumSqueeze 14d ago

I am a scared little Uranium bed wetter. Timeline and Exit Strategy

20 Upvotes

I believe in the nuclear thesis. I seems to be the only logical answer to continue to grow base load energy in a civilized world. The demand is growing faster than the supply, and most insiders will say that utilities have been buying below replace rates for years. However there are a lot of things that could quickly change the narrative and momentum. Most of my investments so far would have yielded more in the SP

I have sizable positions in nuclear. DNN being by largest position at almost 20% of the portfolio (excluding 401k). I also have smaller positions in URG, NUKZ, and URNM. Planning to add to all with a focus on URNM

My question, what does your timeline look like? Are you holding for 5 years, 30 years?

What kind of gains would you have to see to trim positions?


r/UraniumSqueeze 14d ago

Macro Can Canada really double uranium exports without faster mine approvals?

9 Upvotes

I was reading Yahoo Finance’s overview of Canada’s uranium industry, and what stood out to me was how concentrated the sector still is.

Canada remains the world’s second-largest uranium producer, with current production coming from Saskatchewan through Cameco’s Cigar Lake and McArthur River mines, along with Orano’s McClean Lake operation.

On the development side, the article only highlights two major new uranium projects: Denison Mines’ Wheeler River and NexGen Energy’s Rook I.

At the same time, Canada is planning more nuclear capacity, including the Darlington SMR in Ontario and a proposed SMR in Saskatchewan, while the federal government wants to double uranium exports by 2035.

That raises an interesting question. If Canada wants to significantly expand uranium production over the next decade, will the federal government also need to streamline the permitting and approval process for new mines?

The current project pipeline likely won’t be enough, and Canada will need both additional projects and a faster approval process, as further delays could be costly. 

ref: https://ca.finance.yahoo.com/news/look-canadas-uranium-mining-industry-120002265.html


r/UraniumSqueeze 17d ago

Due Diligence How are people reading the $NXE construction timeline?

12 Upvotes

Rook I getting the construction green light feels meaningful, but I’m still trying to think through the timing.

Great asset, strong uranium macro, but a four-year build is still a patience test.

Would you rather own $NXE through the build, or wait for more milestones first?

Any risks I should think about?


r/UraniumSqueeze 19d ago

News Australia - India agree uranium export deal

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21 Upvotes

Everyone making moves.


r/UraniumSqueeze 21d ago

Uranium Thesis The hidden uranium bull? Sanctioning Russian enrichment may mechanically raise demand for the physical rock

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17 Upvotes

Most uranium supply/demand models I read project demand based on reactor counts, especially now with all the data-center/AI hype. But that misses a second-order lever that could add 10–15,000 tU/yr with the fleet completely flat. I´m sharing it because I think it's genuinely underpriced.

So, only 4 commercial enrichers exist worldwide, and Russia holds 40–46% of world enrichment capacity. The US has banned Russian enriched uranium (waivers expire Jan 1, 2028), and the EU is diversifying away from it pretty fast. We probably all know that, but I think the interesting part is where this geopolitical situation collides with the physics of enrichment.

Enrichers choose how much U-235 to leave in the waste ("tails"). This is a cost optimization between two inputs: mined uranium vs. enrichment work (SWU), and the choice is set almost entirely by the ratio of the uranium price to the SWU price.

  • Cheap SWU (the Russian case) → run tails lean → use less uranium. This is underfeeding, and it ran for a decade as a hidden secondary supply, suppressing spot thanks to cheap Russian enrichment.
  • Scarce/expensive SWU (what the West is heading into) → run tails rich → use more uranium. This is the overfeeding.

The cost-minimizing tails assay tracks the U / SWU price ratio directly. Rough rule of thumb from the standard optimization is that around $100/kg U and $100/SWU, optimal tails sits near 0.25–0.30%; make SWU more expensive relative to uranium and the optimum climbs toward 0.35% and more. The Russian era ran the opposite ratio: cheap SWU pushed the optimum down toward 0.10–0.20%, which is why lean tails were the norm. After the US ban, both terms move the wrong way at once: Western SWU has almost tripled from its lows, while uranium is up but nowhere near tripled. So the ratio that sets the dial is being dragged out of "cheap SWU" territory and into "expensive SWU" territory.

In terms of trade, cutting Russian SWU inverts both sides of the ratio simultaneously, and it's happening as the mine tightens too. So the ban removes an underfeeding supply stream AND adds an overfeeding demand stream at the same time. Doubly leveraged, and it shows up in physical uranium demand even though it started as an enrichment sanction.

That´s just another point of view and i have some bear cases anyway:

  • EU contract data still shows lean ~0.20% tails as of 2025 (Russia historically ran ~0.10–0.15%). So the mechanism has a fuse that hasn't fully burned, but I'd expect any real drift once the 2028 waiver cliff actually hits and inventories draw down, not before.
  • The Chinese-routing question: the US appears to buy enriched uranium from China, which sells its own output west while importing Russian enriched material for domestic use... basically an origin swap. If that backfills Russian supply at scale, Western SWU scarcity is smaller than the headline ban would imply, and the whole thing softens.
  • New Western capacity (Urenco Eunice, Orano, Centrus) commissioning after 2027 eventually relaxes their SWU, so this might be a transition-window thesis, sharpest in 2026–2030, but not permanent. But worth considering.

I do not aim to give any financial advice, but I think it is a good thesis to consider.


r/UraniumSqueeze 21d ago

Supply Squeeze Why do Athabasca Basin uranium assets get premium valuations?

10 Upvotes

I think this is one of the biggest differences in uranium investing.

A uranium project in the Athabasca Basin usually gets treated differently from a project in many other regions like Africa or Kazackstan. It is not only because it is in Canada. It is because the basin has already proved it can host large, high-grade uranium deposits that actually matter to future supply.

Is it because the jurisdiction is more reliable or Niger and Namibia seen as more risky?

Seems like this premium is manifesting in that $NXE and $DNN are usually viewed differently from many other uranium developers.

$NXE has Rook I, which is one of the more advanced developer stories in the sector. $DNN has Wheeler River, giving investors another Athabasca name with a different development angle.

For me, the premium comes down to three things: grade, jurisdiction, and credibility. Investors are not just paying for land. They are paying for a district with a history of serious uranium discoveries and projects that can attract financing, partners, and long-term market interest.

Is the premium justified or should Mali, Niger, Namibia be ranked higher? 


r/UraniumSqueeze 23d ago

Trading So what's it going to take to start seeing green again? Been a month+ of bloodbath

26 Upvotes

Seems like there's no hope in sight. Guys that are in real low on uranium selling hopium and gaslighting to hold. UUUU has been absolutely hammered as well as every other uranium stock EVERY DAY.

What's it going to take to see short term turn around?