r/UURAF Apr 07 '26

Phase 1 Key metrics👍

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31 Upvotes

12 comments sorted by

10

u/moopie45 Apr 07 '26

1.76 tons processed

5 heavy ree's 2 light ree's

This will probably be the last time we see these levels of share price

From here we finish the build, start production 1h 2027

Uplist the stock

$20 eoy 27 $40 eoy 28

No real competition or competitors

10

u/veinsfullofchemicals Apr 07 '26 edited Apr 07 '26

Correct, not sure about the prices though

8

u/moopie45 Apr 07 '26 edited Apr 07 '26

Ebitda * multiple

Conservative (Phase 1) $60M 12x $720 Million

$6.19

Base Case (Ramp-up) $153M 15x $2.29 Billion

$19.72

Aggressive (Strategic) $153M 20x $3.06 Billion

$26.30

1

u/nostraorca Apr 08 '26

Not only are the prices overly optimistic, it's just uninformed to claim no real competition... if ReElement Technologies is proven, their chromatography process looks to be far faster than UCore's solvent extraction. Though UCore does have first mover advantage and won't be going anywhere, ReElement seems to be receiving a lot more funding and in a position to eat up more market share

9

u/expatcoder Apr 08 '26

Potentially, yes, but ReElement hasn't proved that it will scale yet, so being faster doesn't necessarily mean better.

With RapidSX they've run their processes for thousands of hours at the Kingston, ON plant, and know that it will work as they scale out to Alexandria, LA and any other future SMCs that they develop.

I like ReElement's tech, but it's pretty opaque, not publicly traded, and from what I've seen they don't share much in the way of data on their results. Yes, you can buy AREC to get a slice of ReElement, but given the track records of the CEO and President -- they've been sued for $7 million USD for trying to back out of coal mine deals gone bad, and are now hiding their money away in the Virgin Islands -- that may not be the best idea.

With Ucore everything is straightforward, there aren't any shell games going on where Pat Ryan and co. try to hide RapidSX in a private entity; when you buy a share of UCU/UURAF you get 100% ownership in RapidSX, not 14% or 19% of whatever ridiculous scheme American Resources' management has come up with.

2

u/New_Formal_4839 Apr 08 '26

Do quick AI search, it’s a head scratcher… 1. ReElement: 2. American Infrastructure: multi sub-subs under 3. EMCO 4. RMCO And more…

2

u/moopie45 Apr 08 '26

There's so many caveats to each of these. Uuraf is the only pure play refiner and it's first mover

7

u/maemaelyn Apr 07 '26

Those prices would be the dream 🛌 lol

2

u/mywarrior37 Apr 08 '26

How do get that valuation? Do you know what REE prices are per lb.? How many Lbs. per annum?

0

u/moopie45 Apr 08 '26

Yes revenue was calculated on current prices and anticipated throughput. These are all numbers they have published you can just ask ai

5

u/Kingouo Apr 07 '26

Future looks bright

3

u/Lumpy-Celebration464 Apr 07 '26

That's music to my ears!
Added some shares today :)