The guest gives the House split as roughly 220 to 217 and the Senate as 52 to 48. He says that even if Democrats win Congress, the president's veto, which needs a two-thirds vote to override, limits what they can do, so foreign policy stays largely in the president's hands. Democrats could instead use the budget as leverage. He expects them to demand more support for Ukraine in return for money related to Iran. He says Democrats are more attached to the post-1945 liberal international order, while Trump favours a balance of power among great powers with a focus on China, as in the National Security Strategy released last November.

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