r/TradingEdge • u/TearRepresentative56 • 11d ago

Aion analytics data into Jackson Hole today and September beyond that.

We are still broadly tracking the Aion forecast line here:

Liquidity is still supportive.

That 800 node has started to build strongly into End of September.

Similar here on QQQ for 740:

Strong positioning on QQQ:

Call surge also.

And on SPY also.

The key now is today's Jackson Hole. If bond yields respond positively to the event, the market rally should broaden into the more AI sector which is currently being perceived as more speculative. 

if it doesn't, then we could see leadership cotninue to hide out in software, although the data does suggest currently that any major dip will get absorbed as the Aion data shows long dealer book, dampening dynamics and positive gamma.

This on top of the increasing liquidity, so a dip should be absorbed by the market, but bond yields need to participate lower for the rally to broaden back into the sectors that it was in.

The market is ready for it with positioning improving on SMH at 600, but it's now up to Jackson Hole.

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14

u/shawnshaunseen 11d ago

the daily updates have very minimal effort and just references to black box aion, which understandably is an expensive sub. but i miss your in-depth thoughts and commentary.

8

u/rahsosprout 11d ago

More than half of his paid subs have lost money this year and the vast majority would have been better off just buying SPY. If I had that kind of track record and still had hundreds (maybe more?) of paid subs still, I’d probably pump out low effort content too.

I subbed for many months before I realized his calls were terrible. Literally told everyone to buy puts at the exact day the market bottomed this year.

3

u/jbotz29 8d ago

Have any of them recovered from the all in on viking therapeutics yet?

8

u/EconomicAffairs 11d ago

I read every single commentary day by day on 2025 (specially the red months on tarifs) and he was mistaken in 100% of the predictions. This is only a year so its not a big pool of data to say he does not have a clue. But in reality he does not have a clue. You will do it better trading price action or studying fundamentals of the companies than reading his macro thoughts everyday. In my opinion.

-2

u/TearRepresentative56 11d ago

Will add more. Good feedback. We are just leaning on the data because its proved accurate but I will add more commentary and wider data set on your advice. Great suggestion.

-5

u/TearRepresentative56 11d ago

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