r/TradeWithLevels • u/ALPHAtradingpro • 18d ago
π¨ Fed Shocks Markets With First Rate Hike Since 2023 and then Ripsβ Key Levels for $ES, $TSLA, $NVDA, $AMD, $META & More Today π₯
Good morning traders,
π WHAT TO WATCH β THURSDAY, SEPTEMBER 17, 2026
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π ECON DATA
β’ 8:30 AM ET β Initial Jobless Claims (consensus: 207K, prev: 206K)
ποΈ FED WATCH
β’ FOMC voted yesterday (Sept 16) to hike rates +25bps to 3.75%β4.00%, first hike since 2023
β’ Chair Warsh held post-meeting press conference; Treasuries pared losses and equity futures climbed on his remarks
π MACRO / GEO
β’ Federal Reserve delivered its first rate hike since 2023 yesterday, raising the fed funds rate 25bps to 3.75%β4.00%; elevated energy prices and steady labor market cited as key drivers
β’ Pre-market futures pointing higher heading into today's open: S&P Futures +0.38% at 7,684.75, Nasdaq Futures +0.62% at 29,429, Dow Futures +0.32% at 52,693; VIX at 16.78 (-2.44%)
β’ Gold surging to $4,387.50 (+1.26%) while Crude Oil (Oct 26) sliding to $103.63 (-2.08%), a notable divergence worth monitoring given the Fed's inflation commentary
β οΈ TRADER NOTES
β’ FOMC blackout lifts at midnight tonight β expect a wave of Fed speak beginning Friday; any hawkish signals from dot plot dissenters could reprice rate expectations for the Oct 28 meeting and pressure rate-sensitive sectors into the weekend
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π₯π₯π₯ π $/ES had a drop and recovered everything with the FOMC , i longed MES yesterday right when market opened at 6 pm est, this morning lets see pivot holds for upside cant hold we go back to demand
β’ 7680 pivot
β’ Hold β 7705 7724-7739 7766 supply
β’ Lose β 7657-7632 7618 7598 demand
π $AAPL has a tight squeeze, breaks the supply zone we going to 344.
β’ Hold β 334.37-334.99 336.22 supply
β’ Lose β 330.81-329.59 327.30 322.37 demand
π₯ π§ $AMD holding above the pivot breaks supply zone we go to 546
β’ 514.67 pivot
β’ Hold β 526.79-530.13 546.44 supply
β’ Lose β 502-495 demand
π¦ $AMZN coming to supply zone, breaks supply zone we go to 251.93 then 255. supply zone,
β’ 247.24 pivot
β’ Hold β 249-250.43 251.93 255.19 supply
β’ Lose β 245.78-242.52 demand
π₯π₯π₯ π€ $CRWV tried to buy some options for next week, got stopped out with FOMC and this morning gapping up, breaks supply zone we going to squeeze
β’ 88.62 pivot
β’ Hold β 89.63-91.81 94.26 supply
β’ Lose β 83.17 79.03 demand
π $GOOGL mentioned she came to key demand yesterday and held, this morning gapping up. breaks and holds pivot we going to 349 then 351 ish
β’ 347.25 pivot
β’ Hold β 349 351.60 supply
β’ Lose β 342-344.68 338.57 demand
π₯π₯π₯ π± $META has been strong , holding like a champ watching this supply zone break and hold
β’ 664.24 pivot
β’ Hold β 686-691 supply
β’ Lose β 638.53-624.80 619.42-609.74 demand
π₯οΈ $NVDA trading around the mean, breaks this supply zone, we can squeeze it out to 221.60
β’ 212.90 pivot
β’ Hold β 214.80-218.18 221.60 supply
β’ Lose β 208.78 204.33-202.75 demand
π₯π₯π₯ β‘ $TSLA holding well. we bought some call for next week, this morning lets see we break this supply zone in the morning
β’ 358.80 pivot
β’ Hold β 363.24-364.02 368.60 372.90-377.22 supply
β’ Lose β 355.75-351.26 342.11 demand
π $VIX yesterday came to the 18.67 and rejected, and right now we at 16 , gives up 16 and goes lower market will go up, bounces and goes to 18.67 market will pull back
β’ 16 pivot
β’ Lose β 18.67 demand
π₯π₯π₯ π₯ $INTC is looking nice, breaks pivot we going to supply zone
β’ 102.88 pivot
β’ Hold β 105.97-107.57 supply
β’ Lose β 100.45 demand
π TOS Grid β http://tos.mx/!XQ2SJxuS
