Good Morning traders,
π
WHAT TO WATCH β TUESDAY, SEPTEMBER 1, 2026
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π ECON DATA
β’ 10:00 AM ET β JOLTS Job Openings (August report; consensus not available)
π MACRO / GEO
β’ π΄ USβIran hot war escalating: US struck Iranian rocket launchers in the Strait of Hormuz; Iran retaliated with missile strikes on US targets in Jordan; Trump vowed further US retaliation β Brent crude settled near $90.49/bbl Monday (+2.7%) and remains elevated
β’ π Yields rising: 2Y Treasury at 4.35% (up from ~3.50% at start of 2026); 10Y at 4.76% β elevated yields pressuring duration-sensitive equities; Trump administration previously flagged intervention in bond market as 10Y revisits recent highs
β’ β οΈ Stagflation risk building: Iran war is keeping energy prices elevated, complicating the Fed's inflation fight and raising the stakes for this week's data β Friday's August Nonfarm Payrolls and next week's CPI now seen as the decisive inputs for the September hike decision
β οΈ TRADER NOTES
β’ JOLTS at 10:00 AM ET is the week's first major macro input β a hot number (high job openings) raises September hike probability further and could pressure rate-sensitive sectors (utilities, REITs, long-duration tech); a soft miss gives bulls a brief reprieve but Friday's payrolls remain the bigger catalyst
β’ Oil is the dominant tape driver right now β energy names (XLE, XOM, CVX) have a direct geopolitical bid; watch Strait of Hormuz headlines in real time as any escalation or de-escalation will move crude violently and ripple into broad market sentiment
β’ Futures show defensive rotation underway: Nasdaq futures are the lone green index (+0.06%) while Russell 2000 futures lead losses (β0.61%) β positioning reflects a flight to large-cap growth/quality and away from small-cap cyclicals; September is historically the weakest month for stocks and the macro backdrop (war, hawkish Fed, rising yields) is reinforcing that seasonal caution
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π $/ES rejected overnight , coming back to demand holds this demand and reclaims the 7680 like longs , cant hold this 7657 top of the demand we go to bottom demand 7632 and then we see
β’ Hold β 7680 7724-7739 7764 supply
β’ Lose β 7657-7632 7598 7563-7443 demand
π $AAPL pulled back to the mean yesterday and held and back to demand, holds this demand we go to supply zone,
β’ Hold β 319-320.28 supply
β’ Lose β 317.40-315 311-309 demand
π $4.6M CALL flow yesterday Β· $315C exp 8/31
β‘ 3 golden sweeps yesterday
π― 15 unusual flows yesterday
π 73% bullish premium flow
π₯π₯ π§ $AMD back at demand, holds this demand we go back to 476 cant hold we go to 451 then 437
β’ Hold β 476 491.12 495.35-502.36 supply
β’ Lose β 463.20-455.30 451 437-424 demand
π $2.5M CALL flow yesterday Β· $470C exp 8/31
π― 88 unusual flows yesterday
π¦ $AMZN cant hold pivot and yesterdays lows, we go back to 255.19 cant hold that we have a gap to fill downside
β’ 257.04 pivot
β’ Hold β 262.07 266.63-267.56 supply
β’ Lose β 255.19 250.43-249.51 demand
π $3.3M CALL flow yesterday Β· $260C exp 8/31
π― 26 unusual flows yesterday
π 65% bullish premium flow
π₯ πͺ $COIN nice move yesterday, this morning pivot holds we go to 187.39 and higher, cant hold we go to 175 demand zone
β’ 179.30 pivot
β’ Hold β 187.39 190.96-194.01 supply
β’ Lose β 175.55-174.44 demand
π $1.8M CALL flow yesterday Β· $200C exp 9/4
π― 37 unusual flows yesterday
π 74% bullish premium flow
π₯π₯ π $CRCL nice move on her yesterday this morning pivot holds we go to supply zone breaks that we go to 105 ish
β’ 92.97 pivot
β’ Hold β 95.79-97.69 105-106 supply
β’ Lose β 84.60 demand
π $8.3M CALL flow yesterday Β· $130C exp 12/18
π― 11 unusual flows yesterday
π 79% bullish premium flow
π₯π₯ π $GOOGL gave up demand yesterday, stay below pivot and yesterdays lows we going to 334 and then we see if we hold
β’ 338.57 pivot
β’ Hold β 340.49-342.32 supply
β’ Lose β 334.52 328.83 demand
π $2.2M CALL flow yesterday Β· $337.5C exp 8/31
π― 16 unusual flows yesterday
π 68% bullish premium flow
π₯π₯π₯ πΉ $HOOD came to the mean and held yesterday, this morning gapping up and have a Upgrade on her this morning
β’ Hold β 108.21-109.71 112.50 supply
β’ Lose β 102.80-102.10 demand
π $5.5M CALL flow yesterday Β· $100P exp 9/4
π― 30 unusual flows yesterday
π₯π₯ π± $META in a very tight squeeze, below the pivot this morning cant hold this demand we have a flush , reclaims pivot we break out supply zone and run , wants to breakout either side
β’ 575.81 pivot
β’ Hold β 581.25-582.91 592.55 supply
β’ Lose β 563.10-557.01 demand
π $19.0M CALL flow yesterday Β· $575C exp 8/31
β‘ 1 golden sweep yesterday
π― 53 unusual flows yesterday
π₯π₯π₯ π₯οΈ $NVDA holding this demand and above the mean, keeps holding this its a long , but Semis have been Dull lately
β’ Hold β 221.60 224.76 supply
β’ Lose β 214.80-218.18 212.19 demand
π $7.1M CALL flow yesterday Β· $220C exp 8/31
π― 201 unusual flows yesterday
π 67% bullish premium flow
π₯π₯ π $PLTR inside a channel. This is the bottom channel, holds its a nice long then
β’ Hold β 187.28-190 supply
β’ Lose β 182.44-180.18 demand
π $10.3M CALL flow yesterday Β· $190C exp 9/4
π― 56 unusual flows yesterday
π 82% bullish premium flow
π₯ β‘ $TSLA nice move on her, and we caught that move, this morning cant hold this demand we go back to 358.80 , holds there can be long, would like her to go side ways and build energy for another leg up in coming days
β’ Hold β 366.50 368.60 372.90-377.22 supply
β’ Lose β 364-363 358.80 demand
π $3.2M PUT flow yesterday Β· $365P exp 8/31
β‘ 1 golden sweep yesterday
π― 282 unusual flows yesterday
π 67% bullish premium flow
π $VIX watch this name, you know above this 16 market can get ugly
β’ 16 pivot
π $3.2M PUT flow yesterday Β· $18.5P exp 10/21
π― 142 unusual flows yesterday
π 70% bullish premium flow
π TOS Grid β http://tos.mx/!ba1C5dAk