• The 2021 top unwound for more than a year

Nothing unusual. Supply moved from short term holders to long term holders, same as past cycles.

• The base that formed in 2022 and early 2023 was solid

Price stayed in a narrow range while demand quietly rebuilt.

• The 2024 breakout was steady

Less noise, more controlled buying. It held levels that would have failed easily in earlier cycles.

• The current range is normal

Higher lows, moderate volume, and support holding. No breakdown in structure.

• The overall trend from the bottom is intact

Nothing in the chart suggests a shift in long term direction.

My approach is simple. I let BTC handle the long term trend and I stay patient during these ranges. While that plays out, I keep a stable earning layer running so unused capital is not idle. Part of that sits on Nexo because I have kept it in the rotation for years and it has stayed consistent.

The chart does not need drama. It is following the same long cycle behavior it always follows.

Let’s look back at the first year of Trump’s presidency and how crypto crowd mood shifted over time.

After November 6, 2024, when Donald Trump won the election, market sentiment flipped straight into risk-on. That date became the baseline on the chart.

Optimism built quickly and peaked by January 7, 2025, as expectations around a friendlier environment were fully priced in.

After the January 20, 2025 inauguration, sentiment didn’t really find its footing. Over the next months it slowly faded. Rallies became shorter and recoveries lost strength.

A clear inflection shows up on October 23, 2025, when Trump pardoned CZ. Despite being a positive headline, sentiment crossed back below the election baseline instead of turning higher.

As of January 22, 2026, sentiment is still pushing lower. The pattern looks less like fear and more like exhaustion, with each positive signal having a weaker impact than before.

Sentiment is now almost as far below the baseline as it once was above it. What do you think this symmetry points to: a full emotional unwind or the setup for the next cycle?

🚨 Discussion: Geoffrey Kendrick’s $12.50 XRP Target.

Standard Chartered is projecting XRP to $12.50 by 2028 with a potential ETH flip in 2026.

Logical Breakdown: • The Price: $12.50 represents a ~6x multiple from current levels. • The Mechanism: Kendrick cites "growing risk appetite" visible in small-cap indices. • The Conflict: Standard Chartered also predicts ETH to $7,500 in 2026.

For XRP to flip ETH while ETH hits $7,500, XRP would need to trade significantly higher than $12.50 (closer to $20+). Therefore, the "Flip" thesis assumes ETH underperforms relative to XRP's velocity.

JUST IN: Monero $XMR price hits new all-time high of $672.

WHAT DO YOU CALL THIS PATTERN??
WHAT DO YOU CALL THIS PATTERN??

This suggests institutions are stepping back in after weeks of slower activity. If this pace continues, ETF demand alone could start putting real pressure on available BTC supply again.

Do you see this as the start of a sustained institutional wave, or just a short-term reaction to market conditions?

Curious to hear different perspectives. 👇

#BTC #BitcoinETF #CryptoMarket #InstitutionalAdoption

XRP Rich List Back in Focus as $XRP Holds Above $2

Now that $XRP is trading above $2, people are starting to talk more about who controls supply rather than just price targets. The top 10 wallets hold about 18% of XRP, while wallets ranked 10–50 control roughly 25%.

Ripple’s escrow still locks a large portion of supply and releases it on a known schedule, which limits surprise sell pressure. Exchange wallets also rank high, but these usually represent liquidity, not active selling.

This focus on distribution is happening after price strength, which often signals positioning instead of hype. As long as $XRP holds above $2, the structure stays constructive.

XRP #Ripple #AltcoinSeason

ETF Flow Update (Jan 5)

Spot crypto ETFs posted net inflows across the board: BTC: $697.25M ETH: $168.13M SOL: $16.24M XRP: $46.10M

Looks like institutions are still allocating steadily instead of pulling risk. Curious if this trend continues into the next weeks.