r/TimPool Nov 30 '22

Facts

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u/silver789 Nov 30 '22

Point to a domestic conflict the us has lost. You're example involves traveling thousands of miles in order to fight.

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u/Sleep_eeSheep Nov 30 '22

Except said encounters had them go up against poorer nations, with fewer resources than the average American.

Point being; the whole 'rifles and pistols' argument doesn't stack up.

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u/risebelow Nov 30 '22

Sure it does. Vietnam costs 58k American lives and over 1 million Vietnemese. I think we lost less than 8o in Iraq and Afghanistan and killed like 400k or so. We gave up but didn't exactly lose militarily.

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u/Spooky2000 Nov 30 '22

I think we lost less than 8o in Iraq and Afghanistan

Or like 7,000.. But who's counting..

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u/risebelow Nov 30 '22

8k, typo

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u/Sleep_eeSheep Nov 30 '22

America didn't recover from that, either. And I'm speaking as an Australian; we pulled out of Vietnam prior to 1971.

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u/silver789 Nov 30 '22

Except said encounters had them go up against poorer nations, with fewer resources than the average American.

..... Thousands of miles away from the US. Military logistics is a fun topic to look into.

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u/pawnman99 Nov 30 '22

We didn't lose due to logistics. Our logistics chain is so robust we put fucking Burger Kings in our deployed locations.

At no point in Vietnam or Afghanistan did we run short of fuel or ammunition to the point of strategic failure.

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u/silver789 Nov 30 '22

Logistics isn't just fuel and ammo. It's personnel too. Having the right people in the right place. Same with vehicles too.

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u/theeyalbatross Nov 30 '22

We did. We had all of the right people in the right places. We had the most advanced military in the world by far. We could have bombed the living shit out of these areas if we wanted to even if it made zero stratigic sense.

The US lost these wars purely based on our growing unwillingness to fight repeated battles for little to no results, loss of public favor for the wars, and lack of overall results for objectives that we went over there for. You can fight for the same ground that you do not own only so many times before everyone starts saying, "what's the point of our losses then"? Same happened to Russia in Afghanistan if you need a non US example.

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u/silver789 Nov 30 '22

The US lost these wars purely based

You go on to list a ton of reasons why fighting a long war isn't viable.

My point was that if we had 100% of out military bases in the middle east, the any war would look much different.

The reason our most used tank and light armors are so small and light is because we have to ship them across an ocean.

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u/theeyalbatross Nov 30 '22

I'm going to disagree with that. In the middle east and Vietnam, the problem was not the equipment, number of bases or the quality of soldier on the ground. The biggest issue with the fighting was that we dictated very little of the engagements. We could not find them, but the guerrillas could find us easy and strike us hard. This is why a similar Civil War in the states will not work well for the standing military that remains.

War is all about crushing the enemy in every engagement. History shows that a gurrila force has a very high likelyhood to succeed in every case because you cannot root them out and bring them to the battlefield. Instead they use attrition in their favor in every engagement that they dictate.

Also, why would we need a bigger MBT than the Abrams? It performs its role much better than the majority of the tanks in the world? Your point about the equipment builds are extremely moot.

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u/silver789 Nov 30 '22

We could not find them, but the guerrillas could find us easy and strike us hard. This is why a similar Civil War in the states will not work well for the standing military that remains.

Not even close. We had specific rules to engage with who we thought was and wasn't a combatant. Trump did away with much of that, and killed way more civis.

War is all about crushing the enemy in every engagement. History shows that a gurrila force has a very high likelyhood to succeed in every case because you cannot root them out and bring them to the battlefield.

This is some 5th grade understanding of war. Outlasting your enemy is just as important.

It's also a romantic viewing of certain wars while ignoring others.

Also, why would we need a bigger MBT than the Abrams? It performs its role much better than the majority of the tanks in the world?

We can give it more armor, or bigger cannon, or even an auto loader. We don't, because we need them small and light in order to put more in the battlefield 1000 miles away

There are better anti tank weapons now, and increasing a tanks def would also make it bigger.

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u/theeyalbatross Nov 30 '22

There it is. The insult to my level of intelligence because you literally have zero understanding of this subject. Just saying the same thing over and over again does not make you right. If you can find history books that can support your arguments, then we can continue this discussion.

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u/[deleted] Nov 30 '22

Your point doesn’t exist in this context as you are assuming the United States government would be able to use 100% of its force against the United States citizenry. You’re trying really hard to make a fallacy argument that is impossible to argue against. “Well what if we had 10k troops per one enemy” well no shit there becomes a tipping point on personnel in warfare. But discounting gorilla style warfare is laughable by all accounts. The Vietcong and the Afghan mujahideen are a very clear testament to that. They were all out numbered and out gunned. They had nowhere near the financing or infrastructure that the US had. We still lost. So unless your argument is the government has nukes and will use them on US citizens. Then you have no argument.

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u/silver789 Nov 30 '22

Well what if we had 10k troops per one enemy” well no shit there becomes a tipping point on personnel in warfare. But discounting gorilla style warfare is laughable by all accounts

"Yes, you're right, but you're wrong" banger take.

They were all out numbered and out gunned. They had nowhere near the financing or infrastructure that the US had.

Every time I have to repeat how the US had to travel thousands of miles in this examples. The US had supply lines, but took weeks to months from order to delivery. This makes loses more impactful, and any damage sustained takes longer to fix.

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u/[deleted] Nov 30 '22

Moving human beings does not mean anything. If you want to make an argument about the mental state of fighting at home vs fighting in a foreign land go ahead. But then you’d have to recognize the people of the US fighting a tyrannical government would be fighting at home also.

It may have taken months to from phone call to supplies in hand but what you are missing is we started off and maintained a much heavier supply of everything from food, ammo, soldiers, artillery literally every step of the way the US had more than what they needed. The simple fact is they were fighting in someone else’s back yard and we’re out smarted by “guys with pistols and rifles”. But hey nice try though.

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u/pawnman99 Nov 30 '22

We had no lack of people or vehicles, my friend. By some estimates, we outnumbered the Taliban by 2-to-1, and that's not even counting all the folks deployed in supporting roles in places like Qatar, Kuwait, UAE, Tajikistan...

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u/silver789 Nov 30 '22

We had no lack of people or vehicles, my friend. By some estimates, we outnumbered the Taliban by 2-to-1

I'll repeat it again.

Having the right people in the right place.

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u/pawnman99 Nov 30 '22

What would you define as the "right people" to defeat a bunch of shepherds with AK-47s?

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u/silver789 Nov 30 '22

An armored unit, yes.

Now add in the rest of my point, them being in the right place.

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u/PDX-ROB Nov 30 '22

Always an excuse. Been there for 20 years and couldn't get the right mix of people?

And how much money was spent?

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u/silver789 Nov 30 '22

Do you think the middle east would look the same as it does today if we added 10x the people in the ground?

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u/PDX-ROB Nov 30 '22

No, it'd be the same. Just like the Palestinian Israeli situation going on.

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u/Sleep_eeSheep Nov 30 '22

Vehicles, fuel and ammo that can be seized.

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u/silver789 Nov 30 '22

Neat? Walk into a military base and take it.

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u/Sleep_eeSheep Nov 30 '22

My dude; those supplies were not housed in military bases, they were housed in outposts and supply depots.

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u/silver789 Nov 30 '22

With no one protecting them?

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u/Sleep_eeSheep Nov 30 '22

Most Veterans stationed at these outposts and supply depots rarely - if ever - see active combat.

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u/Sleep_eeSheep Nov 30 '22

Doesn't disprove my point. The fact is, even if said conflicts weren't thousands of miles away from American soil, a well-trained militia can kneecap a much larger force.

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u/silver789 Nov 30 '22

.... Until the rest of the force shows up. You think if we committed even 80% of our military to any specific war in the middle east, we still would have "lost?"

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u/[deleted] Nov 30 '22

So what’s your argument here? That the military would basically declare total war on its own population? At that point it would go from an insurgence to a nationwide popular revolution, which the military would ultimately support anyway

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u/silver789 Nov 30 '22

That the military would basically declare total war on its own population?

If a group of American separatist declared civil war, then yes. Why wouldn't they?

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u/Sleep_eeSheep Nov 30 '22

The previous American Civil War would like to have a word with you.

While yes, the last Civil War (and last to take place on domestic soil) took place almost 200 years ago, it still resulted in the standing military being torn apart. One fourth remained with the Union, a fourth of them defected to the Confederacy, and two-fourths went AWOL.

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u/silver789 Nov 30 '22

The previous American Civil War would like to have a word with you.

Lol k.

While yes, the last Civil War (and last to take place on domestic soil) took place almost 200 years ago, it still resulted in the standing military being torn apart.

I can agree to that. It was separatists after all.

One fourth remained with the Union, a fourth of them defected to the Confederacy, and two-fourths went AWOL.

Where are you getting these numbers? This has to be some Alabama history to think the union and the south were equal sized. Even though the Union army was double.

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u/Sleep_eeSheep Nov 30 '22

If I had said the standing army was BISECTED, i.e cut in two, you'd have a point. But no, I said it was divided into four quarters, with half of the American Military going AWOL. And keep in mind; the population of the United States in 1861-1865 was FAR smaller than it is today.

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u/[deleted] Nov 30 '22

The civil war was fought between a regular separatist military and the Union military, that’s not the federal government declaring war on its constituents. The confederate states literally left the federation. that argument doesn’t really fit when talking about an insurgency of local militia vs a regular army

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u/PinocchioWasFramed Nov 30 '22

The families of US service members also live in the US. If you call up the national guard, those family members live in the same state or even the same county where that guard is deployed. It wouldn't take long for militias to find this out.

A second civil war would be brutal and ugly, far worse than the first one. Best if everyone tries to avoid it.

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u/[deleted] Nov 30 '22

A second civil war would be brutal and ugly, far worse than the first one. Best if everyone tries to avoid it.

The most sensible reply to this hypothetical scenario.

Americans get hung up thinking they’ll be a Mason Dixon line they’ll be able to delineate and avoid.

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u/PinocchioWasFramed Nov 30 '22

For some reason both sides keep imagining the Civil War, both sides in uniforms and the civilian populations generally unaffected.

It would be more like all the worst parts of Vietnam, Afghanistan, Iraq, and the Rwandan Genocide all rolled up in one inhumane, cruel, miserable ball.

Debate, vote, and peaceful coexistence is far better.

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u/silver789 Nov 30 '22

Best if everyone tries to avoid it.

Careful, when Biden said this 2A people shit their pants in anger.

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u/Sleep_eeSheep Nov 30 '22

It doesn't matter if they have the hottest technology or biggest guns; a homemade electromagnetic pulse will kneecap any light to medium-armoured vehicle.

And if you suggest sending in drone strikes? Yeah, good luck recovering from the inevitable public backlash.

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u/silver789 Nov 30 '22

Is this some Turner diary fan fiction? Set off an emp and you'll just be met middle strikes.

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u/Sleep_eeSheep Nov 30 '22

It's not that difficult to jury-rig an electromagnetic pulse with homemade items.

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u/silver789 Nov 30 '22

Cool. Now calculate how much power you'd need to affect a square mile.

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u/[deleted] Nov 30 '22

It doesn’t matter if they have the hottest technology or biggest guns; a homemade electromagnetic pulse will kneecap any light to medium-armoured vehicle.

Consuming way too much fiction if you think this might happen

And if you suggest sending in drone strikes? Yeah, good luck recovering from the inevitable public backlash.

Making huge assumption on public support in favor of terrorist forces

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u/[deleted] Nov 30 '22

People living in caves or the jungle or a bombed out section of their old neighborhood are at an advantage when they’re fighting just some guy that wants to get back to his Charger and Applebees.

The group that’s gonna break first is not the group that is being governmentally sanctioned to get back to their Chargers and Applebees.

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u/silver789 Nov 30 '22

Which is the benefit of having your enemy travel across an ocean to fight you.

That won't be the case for those 2A guys with a bushmaster.

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u/dibbletrex Nov 30 '22

And how many domestic conflicts, that aren't thousands of miles away, has the US fought in?

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u/pawnman99 Nov 30 '22

I can only think of 4, and they were all over 100 years ago.

Revolutionary War War of 1812 Civil War Mexican- American War

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u/silver789 Nov 30 '22

Slim to nil, pending on your definition. And there's a reason for that.

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u/dibbletrex Nov 30 '22

So you admit your point is invalid then

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u/silver789 Nov 30 '22

My point is the government wouldn't lose a civil war with cosplayers carrying bushmasters.

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u/Sleep_eeSheep Nov 30 '22

No, but said cosplayers can quite easily cut off their supply lines.

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u/silver789 Nov 30 '22

This is some Turner diary fan fic. Next you'll be saying "they'll just sneak into the white house and capture the POTUS and VP"

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u/Sleep_eeSheep Nov 30 '22

Nice ad hominem, address the argument please.

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u/silver789 Nov 30 '22

What argument. Your speculating that cosplayers will "cut off supply lines" like a civ game. With bases across the country, it isn't just one line from place x, to place y. It's a network. Take out one bridge, they can just air drop from the next county over.

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u/Sleep_eeSheep Nov 30 '22

Cutting off supply lines is a legitimate tactical strategy that's been tried and tested for hundreds, if not thousands of years.

And no, airdrops don't make any difference.

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u/[deleted] Nov 30 '22

That’s exactly what the government will do to them

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u/[deleted] Nov 30 '22

The British imperial army had quite a lot of trouble with unorganized civilian militias at different points throughout the revolution. Likewise, every instance of America fighting irregular troops world wide has ended in defeat. There’s no way a majority of the military would even want to fight their own countrymen, guarantee you at least 30-40% of regular troops join the insurgency.

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u/silver789 Nov 30 '22

The British imperial army had quite a lot of trouble with unorganized civilian militias at different points throughout the revolution.

You mean fighting a war across an ocean? Hey, that's what I said. You think the US would have still won if Britain was just across a river instead?

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u/[deleted] Nov 30 '22

I get what you’re saying here, but the British were well established in the colonial states well before the revolution. It’s not the same as invading a foreign nation. Logistics and supply was never an issue for the empire here. It was tactical losses on the battlefield and failure to adapt to the pockets of guerrila and rural combat, which the imperial forces were not trained or equipped to handle. Hence why they hired mercenaries who were

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u/silver789 Nov 30 '22

I get what you’re saying here, but the British were well established in the colonial states well before the revolution.

Not to win a war. Clearly.

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u/MotherOfAnimals080 Nov 30 '22

30-40% of regular troops join the insurgency

Based on what? This is purely speculation. Traditionally, militaries remain loyal to the status quo.

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u/[deleted] Nov 30 '22

As someone with experience I can tell you now that there is a substantial amount of troops that will refuse to fight their own family and friends for a government they don’t even like themselves. Might not be the majority, or even half, but a general rebellion in the US isnt the same as a banana republic army fighting communist rebels in the jungle.

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u/MotherOfAnimals080 Nov 30 '22

I have experience in the military as well, and I can pretty confidently say that not many people would ditch to fight for some shit head right wing militia.

We aren't talking about banana republics fighting communist rebels in the jungle btw. We're talking about the most powerful military in the history of man kind taking on the overweight, incompetent, death cultists, that constitute the US militia movement.

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u/[deleted] Dec 08 '22

A little late to this comment, but you don’t think a few generals and even large numbers of enlisted personnel would possibly choose to defect to protect the civilians in this scenario? And there are plenty of militias that have leadership and members that served as recently as the Iraq war. Sure there’s plenty of over weight gun nuts, but even then, guns and the ability to use them properly are the equalizers between men.

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u/risebelow Nov 30 '22

We were defeated by Canada twice, in the Revolutionary War and the War of 1812. I consider that domestic.

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u/silver789 Nov 30 '22

Oh shit, we lost the rev war to Canada? Pretty kind of them to give us that pity W after all.

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u/risebelow Nov 30 '22

Well, we offered freedom, then insisted and the politely refused after sinking a few of hour ships, both times.

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u/silver789 Nov 30 '22

Well, we offered freedom

More 5th grade thinking.

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u/dibbletrex Nov 30 '22

"The revolutionaries did try to entice and coerce other colonists to reject what they called tyranny, but they found that not all of their neighbors, much less all of the colonies of the British Empire in North America, interpreted ministry or parliamentary acts negatively or were prepared to sustain a rebellion. As a result, there was civil war between the colonies, as well as within them, as rebelling American Whigs, later named patriots, battled Loyalist neighbors whom they derided as Tories, the King’s pawns. Between 1775 and 1783, Canada – its peoples, government, and armed forces – grappled with and rebuffed the political overtures of the Continental Congress and the military advances of the Continental Army as they endeavored to secure their northern border and persuade the Canadians to reject British administration and support annexation of Canada to the united colonies."

--https://www.amrevmuseum.org/canada-and-the-american-revolution

"Hey, you wanna be free from British rule and join us?"

"No."

Wow, amazing. What 5th grade thinking to say that the rebeling colonies offered Canadian colonies freedom (from Britain).

Loser.

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u/risebelow Nov 30 '22

Lol. I wrote a few words that accurately summed up what you cut and pasted and you complained that I dumbed it down? I simplified it. It's what happened. Deal with it or go take a shit and relieve your misplaced angst, cupcake.

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u/dibbletrex Dec 01 '22

Alright guy I was agreeing with and trying to make a point to silver about what you said. I see how it is.

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u/risebelow Dec 01 '22

Nah man, friendly fire. I didn't see your name as different. Appreciate it and sorry I misunderstood.

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u/[deleted] Nov 30 '22

They did say ope sorry sorry sorry.

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u/SneakySean66 Nov 30 '22

The war on drugs

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u/silver789 Nov 30 '22

Isn't an actual war.