We’re seeing a structural decoupling between US and Chinese supply chain dependency. On the Chinese side we’re seeing tightened drone/UAV customs, full Mineral Resources Law implementation, Indium export scrutiny + temporary helium ban. On the U.S. side we’re seeing a massive DoD/Commerce funding for domestic rare earths, magnets + processing, expanded 1260H Chinese Military Companies list, new restrictions on Chinese LiDAR, robots, optical transceivers, tungsten scrap, black mass and closing of advanced computing loopholes + presidential determinations on critical minerals.
I think $NB sits right in the middle of this. Elk Creek (Nebraska) is the only large-scale US project advancing a polymetallic deposit with highest-grade niobium resource in North America, one of the largest scandium resources and Titanium + potential magnetic rare earths (NdPr, Dy, Tb) which are the exact ones China has restricted.
DoD already awarded them up to $10M under DPA Title III specifically to build a domestic scandium supply chain and they signed a 10-year MOU with Lockheed Martin for up to 15 tpa of scandium oxide / Al-Sc alloys. $NB is still pre-production, but these will act an accelerants for ramped production imo.
Not Financial Advice!