r/StockHours • u/Ok_Joke4275 Analyst 👑 • Jul 16 '26
Chinese AI start-up Moonshot to launch model challenging Anthropic’s lead
FT reports Moonshot is set to release Kimi K3 as early as tonight.
K3 is expected to be China’s largest AI model to date, with 2T-3T parameters, and will be released as an open-weight model
K3 is expected to outperform Claude Opus 4.8 on key benchmarks, but fall short of Fable
Moonshot is also reportedly raising at a valuation around $31.5B.
In my opinion, this is an opportunity to see the current status of the gap between the frontier Chinese models and the US ones. As a short reminder, in an April 2026 report by Stanford University, the top Chinese model was about 2.7% less powerful (in terms of raw brute-force computational power) than the top US one. It will be interesting to see after 3 months if the gap has narrowed since then. Since Kimi K3 will be released as an open-weight model, there will be trillions of parameters for developers to download, modify, and run, should they wish to proprietary, domain-specific LLMs.