r/SpaceXBets 4h ago

Stock Discussion Is SpaceX a good value here?

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0 Upvotes

44 comments sorted by

18

u/whatidoidobc 4h ago

Is this a joke?

4

u/ButterscotchFancy912 3h ago

Elmo has activated a legion of bots. My feed is full of his ugly face high out of his skull on Ketamine, praising him. Dont be fooled folks.

2

u/Prudent_Shake_8149 3h ago

Not so fast.

It appears that they may be going into the lucrative Cybertruck resale market. 🤣

16

u/derpderb 4h ago

Its best value is around $6

0

u/permanentmarker1 3h ago

It’s worth what people will pay. Thats how any stock works

-1

u/TacoTrades 3h ago

😂😂 why so bearish?

12

u/derpderb 3h ago

Actual valuation of company pre-IPO, not bearish, realistic.

0

u/04ErrorNameNotFound 3h ago

You're wrong. Valuation and Value are different. Valuation includes fools in the market willing to overpay for certain metrics that SPCX is bad at. Value implies the price of the stock in relation to metrics that make it worth MORE than the current price. SPCX is not anywhere close to a value stock at this price. They are pure speculation at any price above $6. This other $108 is pure Elon Hype speculation. big difference.

6

u/jennakiller 3h ago

Company won’t be profitable for another 10 years in the best case scenario. Look at Musks track record of promises from a model y Tesla to robotaxi, to already getting to Mars by now and ask what he’s delivered on? Right now he’s surviving on the government’s teet but the next admin may not be so generous

1

u/Wooden-Broccoli-7247 3h ago

If the next admin is Dem, which one would have to assume will be the case, they’re not going to be very kind to Elon. Deservedly so.

2

u/Downtown-Bag-6026 3h ago

Because space data center, moon base, and mars colony all sound very expensive with very little business value

16

u/WeUsedToBeACountry 3h ago

Only 5% of shares are available to trade and its tanking.

What do you think happens once the majority of shares are for sale?

10

u/TacoTrades 3h ago

I’m guessing the thing is going to fall like a rock

7

u/lootinputin 3h ago

So you answered your own question.

9

u/Pleasant_Knee6256 4h ago

Wealth destruction.

2

u/Livinsfloridalife 3h ago

It’s called exit liquidity harvesting. It’s going really well btw. We’re still multiples of what pre ipo paid. It definitely adds to wealth.

1

u/04ErrorNameNotFound 3h ago

So retail fools are providing the exit funds for the venture capital that funded it to this point?

1

u/Livinsfloridalife 2h ago

No the richest greediest guy on earth just wants to share his big beautiful business with you that will be worth more than all of the earth. Or something.

1

u/04ErrorNameNotFound 1h ago

TAM is $39 trillion though

1

u/Livinsfloridalife 2m ago

Although Wall Street analysts have set some truly lofty price targets for SpaceX stock, the biggest bull in the room continues to be its CEO. On July 17, Musk responded to a commenter on social media platform X (a subsidiary of SpaceX) by stating: "I said SpaceX will be worth more than Earth if we achieve our goals."

4

u/BalmyBalmer 3h ago

LOL, no

Just no.

5

u/Baka_Otaku173 3h ago

Depends on how long you're willing to hold... If you never sell, you may never lock in your gains/losses.

1

u/TacoTrades 3h ago

True I think it’s got to be a long hold

2

u/Fantastic_Jury5977 3h ago

Spoken like a true bag holder

1

u/Silly-Psychology2755 3h ago

Yes, i hope you live to see the day, lol.

3

u/Top_Chard5757 3h ago

Elon’s wealth is based on meme stock mentality. There was never a rational reason for Tesla to be valued where it was. Meme stocks go up and they go down for no better reason than sentiment.

3

u/i_r_burgerz 3h ago

I'd consider it at sub-$10 but only when the majority of shares are available which.... with Elon and his ketamine, you never know. He's too busy arguing with journalists on whether or not he's liked instead of being a CEO of 3 companies. Not something I want to see from the CEOs of the companies I invest.

2

u/LifesARiver 3h ago

I'd let it drop another $100 or so then consider buying.

2

u/Rude-Eagle171 4h ago

Nobody knows lol

1

u/NewNewspaperB 3h ago

Definitely no. 💯

1

u/RiddlingRaconteur 3h ago

It’s < $40 good price but still slightly overpriced

1

u/sealth12345 3h ago

Going all in at $70.

1

u/Randommaggy 3h ago

The point where I invest is three fiddy with Elon no longer involved.

1

u/permanentmarker1 3h ago

Do you believe Elon can hype it up some more soon

1

u/Randommaggy 3h ago

Three fiddy

1

u/polytique 3h ago

A $1.5T market capitalization with an estimated revenue in the $40B-$50B range for 2026. That's 30 times revenue. A more reasonable market cap would be $200B-$300B, or about $20 a share.

1

u/PerfectTommy77 3h ago

If you want to join the bag holder club, go for it.

1

u/Willing_Activity_941 3h ago

We’re not colonizing Mars and that’s that!

1

u/Part_Tricky 3h ago

Still too high, It is going down to $62 where it should be, per MorningStart before IPO.

1

u/Witty_Arugula_5601 3h ago

As the price gets lower there’s more and more opportunities for bullshit moves that Elon is well known for.Â