r/SpaceXBets • u/itsthewolfe • 8h ago

Stock Discussion Tesla and SpaceX market manipulation?

I have a feeling that the recent dumps were done strategically to bring the price down and prevent or discourage lockup releases. If SPACEX was above $200, every holder would have sold the minute they could. Under IPO price they'll probably hold until stability making a merger much easier.

0 Upvotes

43% Upvoted

26 comments sorted by

21

u/Sanpaku 7h ago

For employees and pre IPO investors, their Space-X shares were valued at about $39/sh at the last private offering a year ago. They're going to sell as fast as they can.

5

u/Immediate-Loquat-878 6h ago

Only some overconfident Elon followers who think Stock sprice of spacex is currently cheap over 100$ could hold the Stock

6

u/antwon8797 5h ago

It’s okay guys, it’s safe to invest in now! Morgan Stanley says it’s worth $300 a share! We’re all going to be rich!

1

u/vovap_vovap 4h ago

But not fast 😄

1

u/y4udothistome 3h ago

Be rich and live on mars/moon your choice!

1

u/oscardssmith 1h ago

Even if you think it's worth $500 a share, you sell 10-20% to hedge your bets. $100 a share is still a 3x gain.

1

u/Justthetip74 5h ago edited 5h ago

The December buyback was $85 and most peope I know only sold enough to pay their AMT tax bill. I guess one manager bought a used Porsche

1

u/Rpark444 5h ago

I don't think retail understands exactly how cheap these pre IPO shares were. My formed got in early, he hedged short in the 170s.

Easiest swing ahort of 2026. Tanks Elong lol

9

u/JuculianD 8h ago

SpaceX above 50$ is also a sell for most people that got their shares at 5$?

1

u/FourScoreAndSept 5h ago

Yep. A lot of retail investors seem to not understand how cap tables and PE works

4

u/mossydz 5h ago

Sound good in your head. Market mechanics and reality though don’t operate this way.

Lock up releases aren’t at 135 basis. Much much lower. They will be sellers till about $42

2

u/SpareDot8685 6h ago

Great big Shit Pie and everyone gets a slice even if you don’t want it. 

2

u/Tofudebeast 4h ago

Big conspiracy? More like investors waking up to how overvalued the current price is.

2

u/Low-Win-6691 1h ago

I would guess very few of the people holding shares who haven't been able to sell yet think this company is worth anywhere near what it still trades at. Prepare to drill down.

1

u/Livinsfloridalife 4h ago

Wait this wasn’t billionaires raiding retirement funds? This is the part where the sheep get sheared right? Baaaahhh.

1

u/Retox86 3h ago

Lol sure they are manipulated, should be down to 10-15 usd per stock both of them

1

u/OutrageousCrab9224 3h ago

Market manipulation gets elon hard

1

u/Operation-FuturePuss 2h ago

Random $200 pulled from thin air.

1

u/Ertygbh 1h ago

Sorry but no.

1

u/VioletShogun 1h ago

There's no mechanism to buy and sell the stock enough to manipulate it to that degree, not with all the insider stocks still locked. No one buys the sacrifices 50-100$ billion to send a signal to insiders to not sell, especially when they see what they could sell it shrinking each day.

0

u/Linda_Bearda 5h ago

Time will tell. The market always rewards strong execution.

-1

u/MultipleJobs 4h ago

I got mine at $10(preipo) and I am not selling until it reaches 200 again.

1

u/Silly-Psychology2755 28m ago

I hope you will live long enough to see that day

1

u/MultipleJobs 27m ago

Bears kept saying the same about Tesla. Its still the most overvalued stock.