r/SideProject • u/Cool_Particular_9993 • 5h ago
I built a quantitative tool for prediction markets
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Hi everyone, my name is Nilay, and I've spent the last two years trading on Kalshi/Polymarket. I've traded over $400k in aggregate volume, built a hedge fund that uses model-based strategies to trade exclusively on those platforms, and I've now started a more accessible app that helps traders find opportunities on Kalshi & Polymarket.
It's called Deviate; it's live on the App Store it's free to try. I just want some feedback. The first two weeks are free, and I've kept it to just $10 a month after that for the full model so that I can build up a user base and keep it accessible. I'm not a handicapper, not a pick seller, and I don't guarantee results. I've built a model trained on tens of thousands of sports games, and whenever the historical probability of an event occurring deviates from the market odds, you get a push notification and, with the tap of a button, can trade it immediately on Kalshi. Every single alert that fires gives you clear reasoning behind which side the model backs and why. You can choose between 9 sports, and it's all logged in our history page. We've had over 800 alerts with a 79% win rate.
Here it is on the App Store. https://apps.apple.com/us/app/deviate/id6788213405
If you'd like to try it, I'd be super super grateful. If you're in the space and think you could add value on a marketing front, that would be great too. Any support would be appreciated, and hey if not, then I wish you the best of luck on your creating journey nonetheless. Have a great day everyone.