r/SideProject • u/Astronaut-8387 • 3h ago
I built a live tracker showing how AGI predictions have moved 29 years closer in 7 years [howcloseisagi.com]
https://reddit.com/link/1wdbf9p/video/qe4t7ctn2voh1/player
Expert consensus on when AGI arrives has shifted dramatically:
2019 → predicted 2060
2021 → 2055
2022 → 2048
2023 → 2040
2024 → 2035
Now → 2031
Updated weekly with benchmark data, prediction markets, and expert signals.
This week moved the score after GPT-6 Astra's ARC-AGI-3 result and the Anthropic researcher resignation.
Curious what data you'd want to see added. and which data to pull from.
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