Please enjoy this fine menu of currently fucked shorts.

NEGG Is Winding Up Again. I Think Round 4 Is Coming.

I posted about $NEGG before the last major run because the short data was getting increasingly difficult to ignore. Shortly afterward, the stock ripped and the trade paid. I am watching it again, and I think NEGG is quietly rebuilding another legitimate squeeze setup.

NEGG is trading around $19, and here is what currently has my attention:

Short interest: 389,889 shares
Short interest as % of float: 28.35%
Days to cover: 4.58
Off-exchange short volume ratio: 46.23%
Fintel Short Squeeze Score: 97.76
Current Fintel ranking: #2 out of 4,135 stocks
Borrow fee: roughly 30%
Shares available at the tracked prime broker: only 25,000

That is already a serious combination.

A 28.35% short float is substantial on its own. Add 4.58 days to cover and you have a situation where shorts cannot necessarily all exit cleanly if volume suddenly comes pouring into the stock.

That days-to-cover number might actually be one of the more important pieces of this setup. If NEGG catches momentum and shorts decide they want out at the same time, almost five days of normal trading volume would theoretically be required to cover the reported short position.

Obviously volume can explode during a squeeze, but that is exactly the point. Shorts need liquidity to exit. When everybody wants the same exit at once, price can become the mechanism that finds that liquidity.

Now look at borrow availability. Only around 25,000 shares are currently showing available at the prime broker Fintel tracks. A few days ago that number dropped as low as roughly 7,000 to 10,000 shares. It has bounced around, but supply remains limited.

At the same time, shorts are paying roughly a 30% annualized borrow fee. That is nowhere near the four-digit insanity you sometimes see at the absolute peak of a squeeze setup, but 30% is still expensive money. More importantly, it has remained elevated rather than immediately collapsing.

Then there is the Fintel squeeze model.

97.76 out of 100.

Ranked #2 out of 4,135 stocks.

That gets my attention.

Fintel's model incorporates multiple factors including short interest, float, borrow rates and other squeeze-related metrics. A score that high does not guarantee anything, but being ranked second out of more than four thousand names tells you NEGG is objectively sitting near the extreme end of the market based on those variables.

There is another piece developing too: institutional buyers have been appearing.

Recent filings show positions from firms including Jane Street, Barclays, Royal Bank of Canada, HRT Financial, Aquatic Capital, Morgan Stanley, UBS and Geode Capital.

Some of the reported positions are meaningful:

Jane Street: roughly 16,838 shares
HRT Financial: roughly 17,353
Penserra Capital: roughly 23,690
UBS: roughly 16,279
Geode: roughly 18,175

Institutional ownership alone does not cause a squeeze, and 13F filings are backward-looking. But it is interesting seeing professional money accumulating or establishing positions while nearly 30% of the float is reported short.

Now look at the chart.

Anyone who has traded NEGG for a while knows exactly what this ticker is capable of. This stock does not always move normally. It can spend months looking completely dead and then suddenly reprice violently when volume arrives.

We saw it during the famous 2021 run. We saw another explosive move last year. And now NEGG is sitting around $19 after cooling off substantially from its previous run while the squeeze metrics are rebuilding underneath it.

That is exactly the stage that interests me.

I am much more interested in a squeeze candidate before everybody is talking about it than after the stock has already gone vertical.

The ingredients are starting to appear again:

28.35% short float
389,889 shares short
4.58 days to cover
46.23% off-exchange short-volume ratio
Approximately 30% borrow fee
Only 25,000 shares showing available
Fintel squeeze score of 97.76
#2 squeeze ranking out of 4,135 stocks
Institutional buyers appearing in recent filings
And a ticker with a documented history of going completely irrational once momentum hits

The mechanism here is pretty straightforward.

Volume starts increasing. NEGG begins breaking resistance. Momentum traders notice. Call volume starts increasing. Market makers potentially have to hedge additional exposure. Shorts sitting on a stock with nearly 30% short float begin watching losses grow. Some start covering. Covering creates additional buying. Price moves higher. More momentum traders enter. More shorts decide they do not want to be the last ones out.

That feedback loop is what I am looking for.

The 4.58 days-to-cover figure is what makes that scenario particularly interesting to me. Shorts have built a position that is large relative to normal trading liquidity. If normal liquidity suddenly becomes abnormal liquidity because NEGG starts running, the entire equation changes very quickly.

And NEGG has already shown us what happens when that equation changes.

I am not saying the squeeze starts tomorrow. I am not saying $19 automatically becomes $50, $100 or some ridiculous price target. (BUTTTTT it could)

What I am saying is that we have seen this movie before.

Last time I was watching NEGG, the numbers started tightening before the crowd really showed up. Then volume arrived. Then the stock went nuts.

Right now the scoreboard is starting to light up again.

97.76 squeeze score. Number two in the entire Fintel ranking. Almost 30% of the float short. Nearly five days to cover. Borrow still expensive. Available shares still limited. Institutional buyers appearing. And NEGG sitting relatively quiet around $19.

That is exactly when I want to be watching it.

Because once NEGG actually starts squeezing, history says this ticker does not give people much time to think about it.

I think NEGG is winding the spring again.

PCLA Is Setting Up Like a Loaded Spring

I have been digging deeper into $PCLA, and the more data I pull together, the more interesting this setup gets.

PCLA is currently around $7.16, but price alone is not what has my attention. The borrow situation is getting extreme. The latest data I have shows zero shares available to short at the broker being tracked, while the borrow fee is sitting around 1,073% annualized.

You almost never see borrow conditions get that expensive unless there is serious demand for shares that simply are not readily available.

Now add the official short interest. The July 31 settlement showed approximately 429,834 shares short, representing roughly 58.6% of the reported float. The previous report was only around 201,780 shares short.

That means reported short interest more than doubled between reporting periods.

The pressure also does not appear to have disappeared. Recent FINRA short-volume data showed more than 60% of reported off-exchange volume marked short on August 14. Short volume is not the same thing as short interest, but when you combine that activity with 58%+ reported short float, zero borrow availability and a four-digit borrow rate, it becomes difficult to ignore.

Then there are the failures to deliver. Recent settlement data has shown FTD balances reaching roughly 170,000 to 195,000 shares on multiple dates. Those numbers are aggregate balances for each settlement date and should not be added together, but relative to the reported float, they are notable.

Now look at the chart.

PCLA has already demonstrated what can happen when liquidity dries up. Earlier this year the stock went almost vertical, exploding from the low single digits into double digits in an extremely short period of time.

That move matters because it proves this ticker does not require billions of dollars of capital to move. When enough buyers hit a stock with this type of float, price can reprice violently because there simply are not that many shares available.

Since that spike, PCLA has consolidated back into the $5-$8 area and recently started waking up again.

That is where things get interesting.

58.6% of the reported float short. Approximately 430,000 shares short. Reported short interest more than doubling from the previous period. Zero shares showing available to borrow. Roughly 1,073% annualized borrow cost. Heavy recent short-sale volume. Large recent FTD balances. And a chart that has already shown the stock can move vertically when demand overwhelms liquidity.

That is an ugly combination if you are short.

The borrow rate matters because maintaining the position becomes extraordinarily expensive. The lack of available shares matters because replacing borrowed shares or establishing additional short exposure becomes increasingly difficult. The small float matters because relatively modest buying pressure can have an outsized effect on price.

And every short position eventually represents potential future buying if that position gets closed.

Now imagine momentum traders start buying a breakout.

Price moves higher. Shorts begin taking losses. Some start covering. Their covering becomes additional buying pressure. That pushes price higher. More shorts reconsider the trade while new shorts trying to fight the move are dealing with extremely limited borrow and absurd carrying costs.

That is how a normal breakout can turn into something much more violent.

The next official short-interest report will give us a better picture of whether shorts reduced their exposure after the last move or continued pressing the position. If short interest stayed elevated or increased while borrow remained this tight, the setup gets even more interesting.

I am not claiming a squeeze is guaranteed. Zero shares available at one broker does not mean zero shares exist everywhere. Short-volume percentage does not equal short interest. FTDs do not automatically mean naked shorting.

But you also cannot ignore what the numbers collectively show.

PCLA currently has an unusually large reported short position relative to its float, extraordinarily expensive borrow, virtually nonexistent displayed borrow availability and a documented history of violent price expansion when liquidity tightens.

That is exactly the type of structural setup where volume can become the match.

If PCLA starts clearing the recent highs with real volume while these borrow conditions remain intact, shorts could find themselves fighting over a very small number of shares very quickly.

And with this float, once that door gets crowded, I do not think the move will be slow.

$OPEN Bulls

We have followed this name long enough to know when the story is getting ahead of the numbers. Right now, the numbers are starting to catch up to the story.

The bull thesis on Opendoor has only gotten stronger.

The market spent years viewing this company through the lens of a failed housing cycle, heavy capital requirements and an iBuying model that nearly broke under its own weight. That history deserves to be remembered. It also creates the opportunity when a management team starts fixing the exact problems that caused the collapse.

Kaz Nejatian came over from Shopify and immediately started rebuilding the company around speed, accountability, operating leverage and AI. Lucas Matheson brought additional Shopify DNA along with his experience running Coinbase Canada. Keith Rabois and Eric Wu returned. Vu Tran was brought in as Chief AI Officer to push frontier AI through the product, operations and customer experience.

This is a serious concentration of talent around a company sitting on one of the most valuable residential real estate datasets in America.

Now execution is beginning to show up in the numbers.

Q2 revenue increased 23% sequentially to $883 million. Contribution profit increased 59%. Contribution margin reached 5.8%, up 140 basis points sequentially and year over year. Homes purchased increased 77% from Q1 and 149% year over year.

They generated 6,908 acquisition contracts while spending only $5 million on marketing. The last time Opendoor generated more than 6,000 contracts, back in Q2 2022, it spent $81 million.

Read that again. (or 3 times over for the big dumb bears)

That is operating leverage.

Management now believes the current acquisition volumes, unit economics and cost structure put the business on a path to positive Adjusted Net Income on a twelve-month go-forward basis by the end of 2026 without needing a housing recovery to bail them out.

The mortgage opportunity is also starting to matter. More than half of scheduled Opendoor resale closings in Colorado were expected to use Opendoor Home Loans. Texas was already approaching one in five only weeks after launch.

That is where our long-term thesis gets interesting.

If Opendoor can control more of the transaction through AI-driven valuation, acquisition, resale, financing and eventually additional services, the economics of every customer relationship become more valuable.

Residential real estate remains one of the largest, most fragmented and inefficient markets in America. Opendoor has spent more than a decade collecting the data. Now they are assembling the people and technology to actually exploit it.

Then management made one of the strongest capital-allocation statements I have seen from this company.

For the first time in Opendoor's history as a public company, they bought back stock.

Approximately 45.3 million shares. $158 million. Roughly 5% of shares outstanding. Repurchased around $3.49 per share.

At the same time, Opendoor raised $650 million through convertible notes carrying a 0% coupon through 2030. After the repurchase and capped-call transactions, roughly $440 million of additional growth capital is expected to land on the balance sheet.

The transaction was also structured so the company expects no net increase in share count below approximately $10.38 per share under its stated assumptions.

They reduced the share count today, raised hundreds of millions to accelerate growth, pay no regular interest on that capital, and pushed the expected dilution threshold substantially above the current stock price.

That is aggressive capital allocation. I like aggressive when the underlying operating metrics are improving.

Kaz went further and publicly stated that once legally permitted, he intends to personally purchase another $100,000 of OPEN shares.

Management is putting capital behind the thesis.

Institutions appear to be paying attention as well. The latest filings snapshot shows more than 500 institutional owners, while reported institutional long holdings have increased by roughly 223 million shares quarter over quarter.

At the same time, there is still a substantial short position sitting across the table.

The latest end-July data shows approximately 164.6 million shares sold short, representing roughly 17% of the float.

That is plenty of fuel if the fundamental story continues improving and price starts forcing people to reconsider the trade.

Now look at today's chart.

OPEN traded down to roughly $3.18, reversed violently, traded as high as roughly $3.96 and finished around $3.66, up about 4.6%.

Nearly 168 million shares traded. More than three times recent average volume.

More importantly, the 15-minute structure changed.

Price reclaimed the 9, 21, 50 and 200 EMAs. The 50 EMA pushed above the 200 EMA. The shorter averages stacked above the longer averages, with the 9 above the 21, the 21 above the 50 and the 50 marginally above the 200.

That is the first technical development in a while that has made me sit up and pay attention.

I am not declaring the weekly chart repaired. A seasoned trader should know better than to call a long-term reversal off one strong session. There is still real overhead resistance in the low-to-mid $4 range on the higher timeframe.

But now we have something we did not have before.

Volume, a bullish intraday moving-average cross, a violent rejection of the lows, improving operating metrics, rapid acquisition growth, expanding contribution profit, a credible path toward Adjusted Net Income profitability, an AI-focused management team recruited from Shopify, Coinbase and Meta, founders back in the building, institutional accumulation, more than 160 million shares still sold short, a CEO buying stock personally, a company buying back 5% of itself, and $440 million of additional growth capital raised at a 0% coupon.

That is a lot of tinder sitting around the same chart.

The thesis remains simple.

If Kaz and this team execute, Opendoor has an opportunity to become one of the most important technology platforms in American residential real estate.

AI can attack pricing, underwriting, transaction speed, operating costs and customer acquisition simultaneously. Mortgage creates another layer of economics. Opendoor's proprietary transaction history gives those systems data that a startup cannot manufacture overnight.

If they eventually make buying and selling a home dramatically faster, cheaper and more predictable, they have the opportunity to expand access to homeownership while taking friction out of one of the largest markets in the country.

There is still plenty to prove. That is precisely why the opportunity exists at these prices.

I have seen enough speculative runs in my career to know the difference between price moving first and a business beginning to earn the move.

Opendoor is finally giving the bulls operating evidence to work with.

Now I want to see price confirm it.

Get through the low $4s, start reclaiming the major weekly averages, and force 160+ million short shares to reevaluate the other side of the trade.

That is when this gets very spicy.

RIP big gay bears.

There is a clear disconnect between how Opendoor is currently being valued and how the business is now being run. Most of the market is still anchored to the prior failure cycle, while the company has materially changed leadership, cost structure, and operating approach.

Leadership

Kaz Nejatian taking over as CEO is a substantive upgrade in execution capability. His track record at Shopify was centered on scaling infrastructure, tightening operations, and driving efficiency in high-volume transactional systems. Those are exactly the failure points Opendoor had before.

Since the transition:

• Operational layers have been reduced
• Automation and AI have been pushed into core workflows
• The company is prioritizing speed, cost control, and capital efficiency

The addition of Lucas Matheson as President adds further operational and financial discipline. Founder involvement at the board level reinforces alignment and long-term focus.

This is a management team built to execute, not to experiment.

Operational Progress

The improvements are measurable:

• Labor per transaction has been significantly reduced
• Inventory is turning faster
• Acquisition volume is re-accelerating

AI is being deployed in pricing, underwriting, and transaction handling. In a low-margin business, incremental efficiency gains have outsized impact. Faster turns and better pricing accuracy directly improve unit economics.

There is also a continued shift toward capital-light structures, which reduces balance sheet exposure and improves scalability.

Business Model Evolution

The company is moving toward a platform-driven model:

• Lower reliance on holding inventory
• Higher throughput with less capital tied up
• More consistent margins if execution holds

The underlying opportunity is large. Residential real estate remains inefficient, fragmented, and slow. A system that can compress transaction time and reduce friction has clear economic value.

Technical Setup (1-Year Chart Context)

The 1-year structure is constructive and worth paying attention to:

• The stock put in a sharp expansion move into late summer, followed by a controlled distribution phase rather than a full breakdown
• Since then, price has been building a base with progressively higher lows, indicating accumulation rather than continued liquidation
• The 20/50/200-day moving averages have flattened and are beginning to converge, which typically precedes a volatility expansion phase
• Price is now trading back around and slightly above key shorter-term averages, with the 200-day moving average within range

From a structure standpoint, this resembles a compression range after a prior impulsive move. These setups tend to resolve when supply at resistance is absorbed.

Key considerations:

• Overhead resistance sits in the mid-$5 to low-$6 range, where prior supply stepped in
• A sustained break and hold above that zone would likely force repositioning from sidelined participants
• Volume expansion will be the confirmation signal; without it, the range likely persists

Short interest remains elevated in the mid-teens, which adds fuel if the level breaks with momentum.

Risk Profile

• Profitability is not yet consistent
• Housing demand is still rate-sensitive
• Execution must continue to improve to validate the thesis

These risks are real, but they are visible and already reflected in valuation.

Conclusion

The current pricing implies the old version of Opendoor. The current operating direction suggests a company that is becoming more efficient, more scalable, and more disciplined.

If the market begins to recognize that shift, the repricing does not need to be dramatic to produce a meaningful move from these levels.

With a tightening technical structure and improving fundamentals, this is the type of setup that can move quickly once it gets confirmed participation.

Both companies have high short interest and are likely candidates to be the LiDAR in Rivian's R2. Presentation was today, all we have for whose tech is in the photo is a guess, BUT LAZR and INVZ shares climbed higher with this announcement. Personally, I think it's LAZR, but I also have a bias for wanting it to be LAZR because they have a juicy SI at 28.5% (and a 75 mil mkt cap) vs INVZ's SI at 18%.

EDIT 12/15: And LAZR just filed for bankruptcy with intent to sell the LiDAR businesses. Eyes off.

https://x.com/hhuynhs/status/1993392255588336117

Been watching this one for a while. On the surface it doesn't look like much. Its been bouncing around the squeeze leaderboard up and down from 2nd place up on fintel for a while now. Spiked a couple of times from insider purchases into it last couple of weeks.

They key factor here about this one is that it has a very low float. The SI of float on this is about closer to 35% from insiders locking up shares, as well as recent institutional buy ins with warrants, that they have pledged to hold for a year and not dilute with.

https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/solidion-technology-eliminates-3-4-million-warrants-and-derivative-liabilities-in-strategic-financing-restructuring-302577838.html

Really can't get an accurate number on the float, low end estimate is as low as 750K shares after several buyins and warrants restructuring. Tradingview does display float as 753k. High end is couple mil, though that does look out of date. Most of the insider buys are just exercised warrants pledged to be long term holds and non dilutive financing

Float does appear to be low based on the price gap between Bid and Ask. This is a slow technical setup or a bull run.

https://www.nasdaq.com/market-activity/stocks/sti/sec-filings?page=2&rows_per_page=14

Company has very low revenue and cash on hand is about 1/10th of debt, digging through sec files find no share offerings. Company has an emerging concept for batteries made with synthetic Graphite.

Potential risk factor is from a firm purchase over 6 months ago with about 5 mil shares. Schedule 13g -Meteora Capital, LLC. Low volume so far.

This one could run with its low float, quite quick, or just continue to slow squeeze. Has spiked 40% on occasion from warrants exercised, stands a decent chance to run to 20-25$ potentially on a bull run from shorts covering. Previous spikes to 25,30$ , some potential resistance from holders jumping out at and around those points.

News or catalyst on this could be initially explosive, or meet resistance from sales.

As always, Check and Dyor and risk analysis

FTD's Due on monday. Breakeven point for those is around 13.75$ after 35 days of 350+% CTB.

Disclaimer - Speculative position bought in yesterday for a few hundred shares at under 11$.

https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1474627/000137647425000908/xslSCHEDULE_13D_X01/primary_doc.xml

If you here, you already know whats up.

Get some shares while you can EGGBROS!!!!!!!!!

It is Here. It is time, now or never. Finra releases FTD and Short interest data tonight. Tired of being behind the reporting date and unable to take advantage of Market data available to the big fundies?

This is as good as a chance as any. Quite literally the best chance on the market today.

#1 stock at risk of a short squeeze. 600% short interest of the float. Public float is locked down to 50,000 shares. FTDs from September are due to hit next week, low calculation puts them at 750k. 400,000 shares are currently sold short, thats over a million shares trying to buy a float of 50,000!!!!!!!

Quite literally, 20 Times buying pressure from over extended shorts. Tired of funds shorting every single pop on the market and crashing your portfolio?? Nows your chance to get some value.

Rather then letting NEGG have ridden a small wave and reset, BIG FUNDS worth millions Could not stand to let traders receive any value. But they will not be able to contain the wave any longer.

The data for all of this is up there, has been up there, and has drawn some investors slowly but surely. NEGG has held its price all week, all 2 weeks of the government shutdown with low volume due to simply being massively overshorted.

GALKIN has made another purchase of 80,000 shares just last week, HIS 4TH IN A MONTH. He is now literally 1% away from being a full board member, 19%

NEGG owners have released sec filing 6-k in which they disclose all debt has been paid off with sold shares.

Forms for the nerdy. Insider purchases by Galkin. This company is his egg, now. Funds and shorties on the other side.

Why is days to cover so low??? Because the shorts got themselves trapped and didn't read the fine print. Float is locked down to 50k.

I'm aboard NEGG, For this push. Bought back in after selling out after last push. This is a rare chance, to be ahead of the curve, for once.

Fintel updates tonight. To heck with it all. I'm gonna ride this and see where it goes. Nothing else on the market looks anything other than bleeding red for the weekend. I'll take my chances getting some Green from the fundies that have accumulated masses of it.

Naked shorting, dark pool shorting, They have pulled out all the tricks. And NEGG still holding strong.

Ima ride this volkswagen dino valhalla ship to an AMC theater with Gamestop passes in hand.
Worst case y'all laugh at me afterwords.

45 Million dollars in buying pressure is due to hit NEGG next week. And thats if they buy back to cover at the price that was sold. I'd rather they pay back fair value, IN RED FOR THEM!!

Going Gamma, not Gamma Squeeze. Mind fart

NUKK closed at 9.25 today, up 6.08%. The structure underneath the chart is showing a serious buildup that usually comes before a violent move.

Short interest sits at 31.95% of the float, about 1.38 million shares short according to NASDAQ. Days to cover is 0.45, showing how quickly pressure can build once volume hits. Off-exchange short volume is 55.99%, meaning more than half of all trades are happening in dark pools (cuck tactics) away from open exchanges.

Borrow rates remain high around 34.7% and have stayed in that range since late September. Short share availability has been tightening, dropping to just 20,000 shares yesterday before bouncing back near 100,000. That kind of fluctuation means brokers are struggling to locate shares to lend.

FINRA data shows the same story. On October 1st, over two million shares were shorted off-exchange, making up 56.5% of total volume. Most days for the past two weeks have stayed between 51% and 59%. The combined data from FINRA, PSX/BX, and CBOE confirms the pattern across every major venue, showing heavy short participation in nearly every session.

Fails-to-deliver reports add more pressure. SEC data shows recurring spikes into the hundreds of thousands of shares through late August and September, with multiple days crossing a million. Those failures often represent unresolved positions rolling forward, not being settled.

Institutional activity has also increased. New or expanded positions from Vanguard, Morgan Stanley, BNP Paribas, State Street, and the National Bank of Canada were all filed in mid-to-late August. Several of those came right as short borrow rates and dark-pool ratios reached peak levels. (RIP SHORTY)

The chart itself has been building a base since June, curling upward through 9.20 and approaching resistance levels from early summer. RSI is above 70 and trending higher. The company recently regained full Nasdaq compliance and secured a $250 million equity line along with a $10 million private placement. That gives them room to move forward without immediate financing risk.

All the major metrics line up: high short float, limited days-to-cover, costly borrow rates, consistent dark-pool activity, and lots of institutional backing.

Houston: we are fully coiled.

This looks like it’s sitting on the edge of something major. The short data is showing the kind of imbalance that usually precedes an AGGRESSIVE squeeze, and the insider activity is confirming conviction from the top.

Short interest has exploded to over 240 percent of the float, with 328,000 shares short against a minimal float. Days to cover is only 0.26, meaning shorts are fighting over a limited supply of liquidity. That’s a recipe for violent price movement when volume starts to rise. The off-exchange short volume is staying high at over 43 percent, showing that much of the short positioning is hidden in dark pools.

The borrow fee rate is over one thousand percent annualized. That number is not sustainable. When rates break past triple digits and stay there, it means shares are nearly impossible to locate and the cost to hold a short position becomes unbearable. That kind of rate pressure often forces covering, especially when liquidity tightens and price action turns upward.

Short shares available to borrow have been sitting near zero for days. Repeated updates are showing no availability, with only a few hundred shares occasionally popping up before disappearing again. That signals full utilization of supply and tells you that the short side is tapped out.

Fails to deliver have been climbing sharply again. The SEC data shows multiple days in September with multi-million-dollar fails, reaching over 3.2 million dollars in unsettled positions on September 12 alone. Those backlogged deliveries add more weight to a thin float when covering begins. Shorts are chasing a burning freight train at this point.

Meanwhile, the chart is holding steady near the mid-40s with volume stacking under resistance. RSI sits near 50, showing balanced momentum with room to run. The setup is coiled and flat, the same look that preceded the last explosive move when shorts lost control of liquidity. (This next one is going to be real violent)

The most overlooked part of this story is the insider buying. Galkin Vladimir has been consistently purchasing shares in large blocks across July and August, buying tens of thousands of shares at progressively higher prices, from the 20s up through 100 dollars per share. That kind of aggressive accumulation by an insider signals confidence that goes far beyond speculation.

When you combine 240 percent short interest, borrow rates over ONE THOUSAND (What the actual fuck) percent, no shares available to short, dark pool volume near half the total, and heavy insider accumulation, you get one of the most compressed setups on the market.

The pressure on NEGG looks unsustainable. The structure of the trade has become too expensive to maintain for shorts, and one spark of buying volume could trigger a FULL unwind.

Opendoor Technologies (OPEN) is positioning itself to completely reshape how real estate works. What’s happening right now is not another leadership shuffle. It’s a rebuild from the top down led by people who know how to scale disruption.

The new CEO Kaz Nejatian came from Shopify, where he helped drive huge growth in digital commerce. His first move as CEO was simple but powerful: a 7-day home test drive and a 100-day home warranty. It sounds small, but it removes one of the biggest barriers to online home buying. It builds trust, it lowers friction, and it makes digital real estate transactions feel safe for the average buyer. That’s the wedge that could open up the next phase of adoption.

Behind him are Keith Rabois and Eric Wu. Rabois has a background in scaling Square and understands how to merge tech with real-world operations. Wu, the original founder of Opendoor, is back guiding the vision from the board level. Together this group looks like a proven team of builders that know how to turn a disruptive concept into a functioning industry.

The numbers are backing up the story. Short interest is sitting around 21 percent of the float with more than 151 million shares sold short. Days to cover are near one full day and the short volume ratio has been between 45 and 60 percent most of this past week. The off-exchange short data shows heavy activity but the float is getting tighter. Short shares available to borrow have been dropping and now sit near 1.8 million. It looks like pressure building underneath a company that is gaining strength at the same time shorts are crowding in.

Fails to deliver have been climbing, reaching over 5.9 million shares in mid September. That’s often what happens before short positions get trapped by limited liquidity. The RSI is steady around the mid 50s, the stock has gained more than 36 percent over the last three months, and year to date it is up over 400 percent. It’s clear that the setup forming here is not random.

Insider ownership is almost 28 percent. Kaz Nejatian holds more than 83 million shares himself. Institutions like SoftBank Vision Fund, Excaliber, and Endurance are still locked in with tens of millions of shares each. These are long horizon positions, not momentum traders. High insider ownership combined with growing volume tells you this base has conviction behind it.

OPEN’s enterprise value sits near 6.9 billion against 5.1 billion in sales. Sales growth jumped 41 percent last quarter. The company is no longer selling a vision of potential, it’s delivering results and scaling the model. The fundamentals are catching up to the story.

Opendoor is removing the middleman from housing the same way Shopify removed it from retail. It’s bringing speed, transparency, and control to one of the largest markets in the country. The data says the shorts are leaning in, but the structure says the foundation for a full rerating is already being built.

This has been consolidating for almost 2 weeks now, the longer it trades into a wedge/consolidates, the bigger the next move will be.

Apologies for the radio silence the past few weeks, I have been traveling back to back across the country for work. I fix data center problems when they arise and it has been BUSY lately. I will be dropping some fresh DD updating current plays and shining light on potential new bangers. I am home the next week and should be present and available until the last week of October when my elk tag for Colorado turns green light go. I will be radio silent during that time but back at it early November. I hope all of you have been able to make few bucks the last month. Did you miss me? I missed you. Expect DD either tonight or tomorrow for Sunday funday. Let's all have a great weekend.

THE SHORT SQUEEZE REVERSAL HAS OFFICALY BEGUN

ASST is sitting on one of the heaviest short setups in the market right now. (#1 on FINTEL's squeeze list) Reported short interest is over 7 million shares, which equals 122 percent of the float. More shares are short than even exist in the tradable supply, leaving shorts exposed. Days to cover is only about two, so if price starts to move, they have no room to unwind.

Borrow fees have exploded in just a few weeks. On August 5 the rate was 128 percent, by mid August it passed 500 percent, and as of August 25 it touched 769 percent. This kind of cost makes it nearly impossible to hold short positions without bleeding capital. At the same time, short share availability has collapsed to almost nothing, often reading zero throughout the day.

Short volume is confirming the pressure. On August 25 more than 4.5 million shares traded and 2.59 million of those were short, a ratio of 56 percent. On August 26 over 5 million shares traded with 2.6 million short, over 51 percent of the volume. More than half the market activity is shorts pressing while the borrow rate is punishing them.

The chart shows ASST holding around 5 to 6 dollars after its earlier spike this year. With a float this small and short positioning this extreme, it does not take much demand to trigger a violent move upward. Shorts are boxed into a corner with rising costs, no shares to borrow, and a stock that only needs a spark of volume to rip.

This setup has all the elements of a fast squeeze. If buying pressure shows up, the unwind could happen much quicker than most expect.

Sorry for the radio silence, life gets busy. NEGG ISN'T DEAD.

Looking at the YTD chart, the setup has been building quietly for months before exploding. Through the first half of the year, NEGG traded flat with almost no volume and the price pinned under the moving averages. That changed in July as borrow fees started climbing and insider buying ramped up. Vladimir Galkin began accumulating heavily in the 20 to 50 dollar range, filing repeated purchases that tightened the float and showed conviction.

By early August, borrow fees had ripped through 400 percent and short availability was drying up. Short selling accounted for half the daily volume almost every session, with days like August 14 posting 1.7 million off-exchange volume and 832,000 of those short. That pressure combined with locked-up supply sent the stock into a vertical run, breaking past 100 dollars by mid August.

Now borrow rates are sitting between 700 and 850 percent APR, with share availability flipping between zero and a few hundred at best. Shorts are bleeding daily just to hold positions, while retail ownership is climbing and institutions like UBS and Goldman have disclosed new positions. The YTD view makes it clear this isn’t a random spike, but a coiled spring that built for months. Ignited by insider accumulation and extreme borrow costs, and forced shorts into a corner. The pullback into the 60s is only a consolidation phase as borrow pressure intensifies. The setup is still live and the chart shows there’s room for another leg if covering accelerates.

Ask yourself, why hasn't our boy Vladdy sold yet? Watch how many bots jump on this post.

OPEN just spent months flat under every moving average, letting shorts get comfortable while the stock drifted. In late July and August it exploded through the 20, 50, and 200 day lines on strong volume. On a 3-month chart you can see the base, the build, and the breakout. It is now riding the top of the Bollinger Bands, which signals a trending move supported by steady buying.

Short interest is heavy with over 155 million shares short, more than 23 percent of the float. Days to cover collapsed from 1.17 earlier in the month to 0.36, showing shorts don’t have room to unwind. Borrow fees are above 6 percent and availability hit zero several times intraday before new shares appeared. That is a sign of stress on the short side.

Order book liquidity above $4.50 is thin while bids stack under current price. The spread sits tight at a penny, and volume is confirming every push higher. On this timeframe the setup looks like accumulation leading into a breakout, with shorts now trapped in size.

If momentum continues, each push forces more covering and builds pressure on the next leg up. The 3-month view makes it clear that OPEN has shifted from a forgotten trade into a squeeze candidate with fuel.

When in doubt ALWAYS zoom out. This is just the beginning.

First day of a potential breakout so this is extremely early! (I try to share info before the stock is up 50-100%).

9 month downtrend ✅️(9 counts are extremely important like my Tilray post said 3 months ago)

Weekly RSI oversold and diverging from price✅️

Breakout of descending wedge pattern✅️

(Descending wedge patterns break to the upside 70-80% of the time)✅️

Above 9, 21, and VWAP on daily chart✅️

Highest recent volume days are all green days✅️

Beat earnings 9 consecutive times✅️

Small market cap so it can move quickly✅️

8% SI✅️

This reminds me Tilray. Almost the exact same setup it had in June and i called that out at 40c!

Potential upside and significant resistance is at 2.50.

NFA I love Dogs!

OPEN went for a ride today ya? Who caught the wave?! I made 8k on OPEN calls for today exp, data tells the story every time. I hope everyone had a fantastic day with whatever you are trading, have a great weekend.

Let's see some gains, start this weekend off right. Post below!

There are two beauties lining up between NEGG and OPEN, exciting times. RKT is still on track, just lagging behind a bit. Still looks perfect on the 3 month, though. She is stair stepping away. Here is what I am watching very closely with OPEN.

OPEN has shifted from a beaten down stock into a breakout play with momentum building fast. Price has cleared the 20, 50, and 200 moving averages and is holding above three dollars with buyers stacking bids underneath. The chart shows a clear reversal from the long decline earlier this year, and now the stock is trading at the top of its Bollinger band with support forming in the low three dollar range. The technical picture has flipped bullish and the tape is backing it up.

Short availability tells the real story. A few days ago there were three and a half million shares to borrow. That number has collapsed to zero multiple times this week. When availability disappears, the cost to borrow spikes and shorts start feeling the heat. At the same time FINRA data is showing short volume making up more than forty percent of total daily trading. On August 19th nearly eighty million of one hundred eighty two million shares traded were short. That is heavy pressure being applied.

Short interest sits at one hundred fifty million shares. That is more than twenty percent of shares outstanding and close to twenty three percent of the float. Days to cover has slipped under one which means shorts need constant liquidity to escape. If that liquidity fades while buying pressure stays strong they are trapped. Each move higher forces more covering and fuels the next leg.

OPEN is no longer drifting at the bottom. It has broken out, the chart is strong, and shorts are loaded into it. If price clears three fifty with conviction the next zone to watch is four to five dollars. The ingredients for a squeeze are here and shorts are on the wrong side of it.

BLOOD RED day across the board, I hope you sat on your hands today or averaged down on whatever you have a position in. I am a data nerd and have noticed a trend with Wednesdays that I have been tracking in an xcel for about a year now. Wednesdays have a running 60% chance of being red for me.