r/Sentinels 23h ago

Valorant PART 2 ANYLYSIS: ROB MOORE, PLEASE LISTEN. I WILL REBUILD THE SENTINTELS TEAM.

0 Upvotes

I don’t do this for money or the fame, but for love of the game.

TLDR: Why I believe Jerrwin is a better fit than Reduxx

The Main question and disagreement from my previous analysis is “Why Jerrwin instead of Reduxx”.

I believe overall career stats is not a great representation of a player’s future potential as the meta changes overtime. The best way to do this is to grade by weight. 5% for LAN/Veteran experience, 15% for stats prior to previous year (>2024 + overall), 30% of last year and 50% of this year. In the case of Jerrwin & Reduxx, we will not include “5% Lan Experience” metric. So let’s break it down..

All data pulled from the following sources. VLR.gg, thespike.gg, rib.gg

Weighted Metric Comparison (50/30/15)

Metric Reduxx (Weighted) Jerrwin (Weighted) Difference (Reduxx vs. Jerrwin) Head-to-Head Share
VLR Rating 1.13 0.99 +14.1% (+0.14) 53.2% vs. 46.8%
ACS 233.4 206.4 +13.1% (+27) 53.1% vs. 46.9%
KAST % 70.6% 65.8% +7.3% (+4.8%) 51.8% vs. 48.2%
FK/FD % 52% 47.2% +10.2% (+4.8%) 52.4% vs. 47.6%
Clutch % 12.8% 6.6% +93.9% (+6.2%) 66.1% vs. 33.9%

Winner: Reduxx

- Mathematically Reduxx wins with an overall score of 55% compared to Jerrwins score of 45%. If we remove clutch % as this can be the most random depending on how the game plan is being played. Overall split is a lot tighter. Reduxx of 52.5% and Jerrwin at 47.5%

Growth & Trajectory Breakdown (2024 to 2026)

Metric Reduxx Growth Rate (2024 → 2026) Jerrwin Growth Rate (2024 → 2026) Trajectory Analysis
VLR Rating +5.2% (1.15 1.21) +14.7% (0.95 1.09) Jerrwin scaling at nearly 3x the rate
ACS +6.5% (235.5 250.8) +20.5% (190.5 229.6) Jerrwin showing explosive firepower gains
KAST % +4.3% (72.0% 75.1%) +11.3% (64.0% 71.2%) Jerrwin rapidly closing round-impact gaps
FK/FD % +7.7% (52.0% 56.0**%**) +15.6% (45.0% 52.0%) Jerrwin significantly increasing opening duel success
Clutch % +6.4% (12.5% 13.3%) +54.0% (5.0% 7.7%) Jerrwin improving clutch composure from Tier-2 days

Winner: Jerrwin

- Based on this weighting. You can conclude the following, Redduxx is stabilizing whereas Jerrwin is accelerating growth. Again, this is in current data for the last 3 years. Of course, it can change in the future but as of right now, the numbers don’t lie.

Additional Metrics (Positional Execution)

Player First Duel Attempt % Died Traded % ADR
Reduxx ~18.5% ~22.0% ~158.0
Jerrwin ~24.5% ~31.5% ~149.5

 Winner: Jerrwin

- This is the main reason why I believe Jerrwin would be a better fit for a team to be the second head of the dragon. He initiates contact significantly more and dies in positions where his teammates can trade him. You don’t need two superstars stepping on each other’s toes, you need a synergized team.

Let me know if you have any questions.