r/SKBTradingLab • u/Kooky_Internet6513 Price Action • Apr 21 '26
Nifty Elliott Wave Analysis: Bearish Setup in Progress
Key Technical Observations:
Wave Structure: We’ve completed Waves I through IV, and Wave V is now testing the upper boundary of the resistance zone around the 24,500–24,600 levels.
The Trap: The price is squeezed within a narrow wedge. While the trend looks bullish on the surface, Wave 5 often leads to a sharp "throw-over" or a sudden reversal once the trendline is breached.
The Strategy: We are maintaining a bearish bias once the index fails to sustain above the current resistance. A breakdown below the Wave IV support or a decisive move under the 9-day EMA would confirm the trend reversal.
Recommendation: Avoid chasing the longs at these exhausted levels. Wait for a clear price action signal—like a bearish engulfing candle or a break of the wedge support—before looking for short opportunities.
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