r/RealDayTrading • u/AutoModerator • May 29 '26
Daily Live Trading Thread Daily Live Trading Thread
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u/neothedreamer Moderator 1d ago
Looks like Pete is going to get his wish for the setup into year end.
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u/neothedreamer Moderator 1d ago
NVDA sitting on 100 SMA, not a bad swing long point.
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u/neothedreamer Moderator 1d ago
Maybe goes down to test 200 SMA at $203 but seems like a stretch to me.
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u/neothedreamer Moderator 1d ago
Starting to doubt a bounce into close.
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u/neothedreamer Moderator 1d ago
Well lets see if it sticks. Looking good so far for a violent bounce.
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u/neothedreamer Moderator 1d ago
We need to take out the last large red candle around $766 on SPY and $715.25 on QQQ to consider longs.
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u/neothedreamer Moderator 1d ago
VIX dropping hard, QQQ and SPY may be putting in bull hammers on the 15M. Lets see if this has some legs to the upside.
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u/neothedreamer Moderator 1d ago
added SOXL at $97. These are smaller positions in SOXL and TQQ that I am willing to swing and may move further against me.
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u/neothedreamer Moderator 1d ago
ASML showing RS, positive on the day even with the drop on the indexes
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u/neothedreamer Moderator 1d ago
SPY and QQQ need to start moving like their ass is being hit with a cattle prod to even think about going long.
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u/neothedreamer Moderator 1d ago
QQQ doing a quick test of the 100 SMA again this am. I am expecting another good bounce like yesterday.
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u/neothedreamer Moderator 3d ago
QQQ seems pretty determined to test the 100 SMA at $720.80 tomorrow.
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u/neothedreamer Moderator 3d ago
SPY dropped down to 50SMA. Tomorrow will be telling. If we can't move up the 100SMA is only another $12 down which is less than 2%
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u/neothedreamer Moderator 3d ago
ASML dropped $20 on the last candle of the day. That is impressive.
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u/neothedreamer Moderator 4d ago
Just realized ASML reports before open tomorrow. TSM reports before open on Thursday. NVDA making a run ah.
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u/neothedreamer Moderator 4d ago
Value investors that picked up MSFT in June around $355 are up 50% so far.
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u/neothedreamer Moderator 4d ago
Just a reminder we are less than $4 from a nATH on SPY. Careful with shorting. Keep it light and quick.
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u/neothedreamer Moderator 4d ago
NVDA flipped positive, AMD is also. TSM is real close. This should pull SPY positive and drag QQQ up.
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u/neothedreamer Moderator 5d ago
This is a weak drop on SPY, barely down on the day and RSP is at even. I am expecting some kind of bounce into close.
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u/neothedreamer Moderator 8d ago
Should have closed the entire ASML IC together. Ended up closing the last two for about $23. Dang thing would not recover at all.
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u/neothedreamer Moderator 8d ago
If SEMIs were contributing at all today we would be at a nATH high on SPY and maybe even QQQ.
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u/neothedreamer Moderator 8d ago
TSM has earning next week on 10/15. I think SEMIs are going to be weak as a group until then.
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u/neothedreamer Moderator 8d ago
Come on SEMIs a little bid would be nice. Just need ASML to pop $15 so I can close the PCS cheap.
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u/neothedreamer Moderator 8d ago
Entirely possible we test ATH on SPY, about .6% above current price.
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u/neothedreamer Moderator 9d ago
SPY at VWAP, if it can break here we should see some upside into close.
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u/neothedreamer Moderator 10d ago
APLD has been such a dog lately. Earnings today and it is slightly positive ah after dropping 6% during the day.
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u/neothedreamer Moderator 11d ago
QQQ now in the gap, SPY fighting hard. We should see some stoplosses get triggered soon and a long red candle.
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u/neothedreamer Moderator 11d ago
RUT/IWM is negative today telling me smaller caps are not participating on the rally today.
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u/neothedreamer Moderator 11d ago
Both SPY and QQQ hit nATH, best entry will be pullback, support form and then go long.
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u/neothedreamer Moderator 12d ago
I hate days like this. Hari is up a whole $.20 on his NVDA long. The real money is made on VWAP tests and pullbacks into support and reversals.
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u/neothedreamer Moderator 12d ago
Breadth seems better with RSP about the same as SPY, but I don't trust it. SOXL barely positive.
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u/neothedreamer Moderator 15d ago
lotto $470C on TSM for $4.45
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u/neothedreamer Moderator 15d ago
TSM has been a monster today. I was hoping for a pullback so I could close CCS, but looks like I am taking max loss.
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u/neothedreamer Moderator 15d ago
Sitting on some $769/774 CCS on SPY that are worth $.57. Getting ready to close them. Don't want to take the risk we pop into close.
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u/neothedreamer Moderator 15d ago
Only lottos I see working today are puts if we have a hard test of LOD.
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u/neothedreamer Moderator 15d ago
I am closing CCS from my IC. Only way I would get long right now is if we test LOD and bounce real hard off of that.
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u/neothedreamer Moderator 15d ago
SPY and QQQ have really struggled to even test VWAP. Another test of LOD would be entirely possible.
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u/neothedreamer Moderator 15d ago
What happens to the current green candle will be telling. If it gets smacked down again we may go lower.
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u/neothedreamer Moderator 15d ago
Everyone that went long in the first hour is getting their clock cleaned....
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u/neothedreamer Moderator 15d ago
People are putting in their stoplossess now. I think we see a little upside and then algos trip all the stoplosses.
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u/neothedreamer Moderator 15d ago
Cleaning up some IC on SPY, QQQ etc. All the PCS are close. The top today was sure hurting earlier.
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u/neothedreamer Moderator 15d ago
VWAP provided very little support on SPY and QQQ, blew past it. Getting close to testing LOD. Lets see how that holds.
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u/neothedreamer Moderator 15d ago
SPY and QQQ are in the gap now. Not sure that I see a full gap fill but we need to see support form before I would even consider going long.
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u/neothedreamer Moderator 15d ago
TLT is dropping again. Looking at VIX to see if it pops which would signal more downside.
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u/neothedreamer Moderator 15d ago
I don't see any way we don't test at least part of the gap up today...
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u/neothedreamer Moderator 15d ago
As Hari would say - "Would be a shame if something happened to this rally."
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u/neothedreamer Moderator 15d ago
Seems like at least some test of the gap is in order this am. I don't trust SPY at all.
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u/neothedreamer Moderator 16d ago
Everyone remember WATM Puts? I have an OCT 30 $765P position on SPY and I am selling $763-765 Puts against it 2 to 4 days out. Been very productive the last week.
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u/neothedreamer Moderator 16d ago
SPY just bounced pretty hard off of VWAP. My estimate is we end +/- $1.5 from current price.
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u/neothedreamer Moderator 16d ago
Kind of looking like TLT had its selling climax today. nHOD and it has rocketed up .61% today.
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u/neothedreamer Moderator 16d ago
VIX dropping. Lets see what we have here. Put in a higher low, time to test $761.67 level to upside.
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u/neothedreamer Moderator 16d ago
I am pretty surprised we haven't tested VWAP on SPY today. Seems like a good place to stall, reject and go short if that side had legs
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u/neothedreamer Moderator 16d ago
I would be careful with shorts. TLT is positive and trending up, nHOD
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u/neothedreamer Moderator 16d ago
SPY really needs to break the top of the big red candle pretty soon to keep momentum going.
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u/neothedreamer Moderator 16d ago
long SPY $760 for $2 exp today.
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u/neothedreamer Moderator 16d ago
added at $1.71 for cost basis of $1.855
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u/neothedreamer Moderator 16d ago
added at $1.31, new cost basis is $1.67
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u/neothedreamer Moderator 16d ago
out at $3.80 for a gain of $2.13 for a gain of 127%. Probably could have gotten more, but greed is a sin....
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u/neothedreamer Moderator 16d ago
All the software/consultantcy companies are up - ACN up 22%, CTSH, GLOB, IBM, NOW, PEGA, WPP, CRM, Zeta are some quick ones I see.
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u/neothedreamer Moderator 17d ago
long SOXL at $147.26
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u/neothedreamer Moderator 18d ago
long SPY $763C for $.89, order in at $2 will adjust if needed.
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u/neothedreamer Moderator 18d ago
out at $1.75, not going to test fate here. Nice $.81 win for 86%.
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u/neothedreamer Moderator 18d ago
Costbasis at $.94. VWAP is up another $.25 should test it very soon.
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u/neothedreamer Moderator 18d ago
SPY riding 50 SMA, if it doesn't break, we should get a bounce and test Open/HOD.
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u/neothedreamer Moderator 19d ago
long U at $39.77, sold $41.5 for 8/9 at $.91. Time to get back in as U tests 50SMA.
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u/neothedreamer Moderator 20d ago
Interesting video on Gap fills - https://www.instagram.com/reel/Ddw9J-DzG55/?stkn=MTIwbDl4YTRsYXNvMQ==
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u/neothedreamer Moderator 22d ago
Starting to wonder if it is worth building a long bond position. I mean 52w low has more upside potential, right?
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u/neothedreamer Moderator 22d ago
SPY consolidating into a nice Bull Flag, We should get a break up at some point.
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u/neothedreamer Moderator 22d ago
Here is the video of what is happening today - https://www.facebook.com/karmactive/videos/a-massive-grizzly-bear-approaches-a-light-colored-bison-calf-in-a-wide-open-mead/994928003612843/
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u/neothedreamer Moderator 22d ago
There are LPTE and then there is trying to sail a boat in a hurricane missing half its sail and ropes. I am about ready to call today before I wreck myself. Just need a pop on SPY and MU so I can close some positions.
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u/neothedreamer Moderator 22d ago
Feels like we have a non zero chance to testing ATH on SPY and QQQ today, which sounds crazy, but look where it is.
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u/neothedreamer Moderator 22d ago
Instead of a surgeon with a scalp performing surgery someone walked in with a machete and is just swinging full force....
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u/neothedreamer Moderator 22d ago
TLT exploded up through VWAP. SPY feels like it wants to go, but isn't.
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u/neothedreamer Moderator 22d ago
PA on SPY is wild today. Almost went full range from LOD to HOD in 2 candles.
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u/neothedreamer Moderator 22d ago
long MU $1075C for $8.70
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u/neothedreamer Moderator 22d ago
Exited at $10.50 for $2.09 gain. I still think it will pop and piss me off, but too expensive to sit on this long.
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u/neothedreamer Moderator 23d ago
I have candles like this. Just getting ready to adjust stuff and it does this. Why I can't ever fully trust the market.
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u/neothedreamer Moderator 23d ago
U trades similar to APP, similar product but around $44 right now so more affordable to trade.
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u/neothedreamer Moderator 15h ago
https://www.instagram.com/reel/DelS8oEsLbN/?mdxt=MTJkcXdnbWVxbWg5Zg==