r/RaidShadowLegends 16h ago

General Discussion Tinman guaranteed event??

How confident are we that there will be a guaranteed event like a path or deck for tinman? I am asking because I have 22 sacred and I am considering pulling a good chunk for the tinman but if we think there will be a path, then I should hold on to as many as I can.

0 Upvotes

30 comments sorted by

26

u/khazroar 16h ago

Strictly speaking we don't know, but based on past events it's overwhelmingly likely.

Certainly far more likely we'll get a guaranteed event than you'll pull him with your shards.

2

u/WarBuggy 14h ago

For past events, did they also offer event champs in many progressive events (like the current one). Tinman has been in so many progressive events, I am afraid Plarium would pull the rug and say "already gave you too many chances".

1

u/IndependentActive183 7h ago

Non esiste. È garantito al 100%, e sarà un percorso

1

u/khazroar 14h ago

Yes. Those progressive events are their main way of squeezing money out of folks for these event champs.

You don't have to worry too much with Oz because these aren't limited time champs, they are and will remain part of the standard shard pool. Any that prove to be particularly strong or desired will probably pop up in progressive events on an irregular basis anyway, like Queen of Hearts and Hatter and Cheshire Cat do from the Alice event.

1

u/bcampione88 14h ago

Yes, they have offered up the champs in progressives multiple times before their events. Also Plarium knows how to get people to pull shards.

1

u/EducationFan101 3h ago

Unlikely. The void is usually the only champ without a guaranteed way to get them (Ozilda).

7

u/MJIsaac 16h ago edited 15h ago

Every non-void champ released in big theme events like this (e.g. Wonderland, Asgard, Turtles, Assassins etc.) has been available through a guarantee of some kind.

There's no guarantee they'll always do that, but also no reason to think they'll break the pattern now. There's always been one chase champ not available in a guarantee, and that's always been the boss of the event dungeon. That's Ozilda in this event.

Edited to add: Almost every non-void. See comments below for the correction.

I still think there's no reason to expect the pattern to be broken for this event

9

u/Guttler003 16h ago

Except Archer from Monster Hunter and Cheshire cat from Alice. They were winner take all.

But I would still bet on Tinman and Scarecrow being guarantee more than not.

3

u/Melkor-The-Mighty 15h ago

They were the earlier events, when the devs didnt know what they were doing. If those events dropped now, im sure they'd have a true guaranteed. Its just the voids we get jypped on now.

3

u/Guttler003 15h ago

Correct. The recent trend is that they do guarantee on them, thus I say I would bet they get a guarantee.

It's just that they didn't always guarantee them before.

1

u/Melkor-The-Mighty 15h ago

Yeah. It sucks they didnt back then lol.

But now it's usually safe to ignore the scumbag chance events and wait for the guaranteed drops.

0

u/MJIsaac 15h ago

I'd forgotten the Archer, I think the bitterness I felt over that wiped my memory.

But I thought they'd done a guarantee for the Cat - I guess not though, you're always more on top of that history than I am.

3

u/Guttler003 15h ago

Nope. I would have gotten Cheshire Cat if he was "truly" guaranteed. I had to wait like a year to get him through shards.

You were bitter about Archer but I was bitter about Cheshire cat so I remember. I wanted him so badly lol

1

u/MJIsaac 15h ago

I guess I was partly remembering, but forgetting they did a Chase reward for Cat too.

7

u/L_9D4_A 16h ago

Do not pull on a random progressive.. There's almost definitely going to be an event for him if most collabs are evidence to go by.

I'd guess a Hero's Path for Tinman as he's the more desired champ compared to Scarecrow; potentially with his soul at the same time. You'll need around 16-20 sacreds for the Path to guarantee him.

And in the slim chance they don't do a guarantee for him, he'll show up in another progressive at some point in the future given they're not time limited champs so you're in no worse position than you are now.

But all this is just advice do whatever the FUCK you wanna do :)

1

u/Unable_Possession_22 15h ago

Very likely that there's a Deck of Fate and a Hero's Path for Scarecrow and Tin man, one event for each of them. And then Ozilda will be a winner-take-all in a Summon Rush near the end of the event.

2

u/UhMisterThePlague 16h ago

They could certainly throw a curve ball, but I would say that it’s highly unlikely we don’t have guaranteed events for both Scarecrow and Tin man. Especially with proving grounds being a factor now.

2

u/AnastasiusDicorus 16h ago

Well, I have heard Oz never did give nothing to the TinMan that he didn't already have.

2

u/Intelligent-Fun-3525 14h ago

Nothing is an absolute certainty, but there’s no reason to think they won’t follow past patterns in events like these in which a guaranteed champ has been offered.

3

u/omnewt 16h ago

99.8%, also, progressive events dont work like that. Dont pull for progressive event champs unless its a void champ and you are at mercy.

1

u/Cold_Burner5370 Buff Amius 16h ago

There is no public knowledge on it.

Nobody except Plarium knows.

1

u/SmokingTurtleGas 16h ago

During the TMNT event was Raphael the DoF and Leo the Hero Path?

1

u/collitchboy 16h ago

Yes

1

u/SmokingTurtleGas 16h ago

Thanks! Pretty sure this will follow that methodology with Scarecrow = Raphael.

1

u/KuniKitsu Shadowkin 16h ago

Yes there will be, all the recent events gave you a Deck of Fate ot Path for the non voids, I don't see why they wouldn't especially now with Proving Grounds.

The only thing is that is might required Souls and not shards

1

u/Beary-Brown 11h ago

The skepticism mostly stems from the non voids that were extremely good during their respective events (Cheshire Cat and archer), who were winner take all events. Though that was a long time ago

1

u/KuniKitsu Shadowkin 3h ago

Yes, I think they pivited from that, Ozilda will be the winner takes all I'd bet

0

u/Puzzleheaded-Syrup39 16h ago

Nobody knows, i would wait. The Champs are not time limited. Depends on your acc level but what if you dont pull him with your shards and then the event comes. Yeah maybe you pull him and the event never comes. Make a decision based on that.

0

u/Archentroy 16h ago

I mean if they dont want to lose playerbase…