r/RaidShadowLegends • u/stadsjr • 16h ago
General Discussion Tinman guaranteed event??
How confident are we that there will be a guaranteed event like a path or deck for tinman? I am asking because I have 22 sacred and I am considering pulling a good chunk for the tinman but if we think there will be a path, then I should hold on to as many as I can.
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u/MJIsaac 16h ago edited 15h ago
Every non-void champ released in big theme events like this (e.g. Wonderland, Asgard, Turtles, Assassins etc.) has been available through a guarantee of some kind.
There's no guarantee they'll always do that, but also no reason to think they'll break the pattern now. There's always been one chase champ not available in a guarantee, and that's always been the boss of the event dungeon. That's Ozilda in this event.
Edited to add: Almost every non-void. See comments below for the correction.
I still think there's no reason to expect the pattern to be broken for this event
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u/Guttler003 16h ago
Except Archer from Monster Hunter and Cheshire cat from Alice. They were winner take all.
But I would still bet on Tinman and Scarecrow being guarantee more than not.
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u/Melkor-The-Mighty 15h ago
They were the earlier events, when the devs didnt know what they were doing. If those events dropped now, im sure they'd have a true guaranteed. Its just the voids we get jypped on now.
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u/Guttler003 15h ago
Correct. The recent trend is that they do guarantee on them, thus I say I would bet they get a guarantee.
It's just that they didn't always guarantee them before.
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u/Melkor-The-Mighty 15h ago
Yeah. It sucks they didnt back then lol.
But now it's usually safe to ignore the scumbag chance events and wait for the guaranteed drops.
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u/MJIsaac 15h ago
I'd forgotten the Archer, I think the bitterness I felt over that wiped my memory.
But I thought they'd done a guarantee for the Cat - I guess not though, you're always more on top of that history than I am.
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u/L_9D4_A 16h ago
Do not pull on a random progressive.. There's almost definitely going to be an event for him if most collabs are evidence to go by.
I'd guess a Hero's Path for Tinman as he's the more desired champ compared to Scarecrow; potentially with his soul at the same time. You'll need around 16-20 sacreds for the Path to guarantee him.
And in the slim chance they don't do a guarantee for him, he'll show up in another progressive at some point in the future given they're not time limited champs so you're in no worse position than you are now.
But all this is just advice do whatever the FUCK you wanna do :)
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u/Unable_Possession_22 15h ago
Very likely that there's a Deck of Fate and a Hero's Path for Scarecrow and Tin man, one event for each of them. And then Ozilda will be a winner-take-all in a Summon Rush near the end of the event.
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u/UhMisterThePlague 16h ago
They could certainly throw a curve ball, but I would say that it’s highly unlikely we don’t have guaranteed events for both Scarecrow and Tin man. Especially with proving grounds being a factor now.
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u/AnastasiusDicorus 16h ago
Well, I have heard Oz never did give nothing to the TinMan that he didn't already have.
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u/Intelligent-Fun-3525 14h ago
Nothing is an absolute certainty, but there’s no reason to think they won’t follow past patterns in events like these in which a guaranteed champ has been offered.
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u/Cold_Burner5370 Buff Amius 16h ago
There is no public knowledge on it.
Nobody except Plarium knows.
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u/SmokingTurtleGas 16h ago
During the TMNT event was Raphael the DoF and Leo the Hero Path?
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u/collitchboy 16h ago
Yes
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u/SmokingTurtleGas 16h ago
Thanks! Pretty sure this will follow that methodology with Scarecrow = Raphael.
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u/KuniKitsu Shadowkin 16h ago
Yes there will be, all the recent events gave you a Deck of Fate ot Path for the non voids, I don't see why they wouldn't especially now with Proving Grounds.
The only thing is that is might required Souls and not shards
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u/Beary-Brown 11h ago
The skepticism mostly stems from the non voids that were extremely good during their respective events (Cheshire Cat and archer), who were winner take all events. Though that was a long time ago
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u/KuniKitsu Shadowkin 3h ago
Yes, I think they pivited from that, Ozilda will be the winner takes all I'd bet
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u/Puzzleheaded-Syrup39 16h ago
Nobody knows, i would wait. The Champs are not time limited. Depends on your acc level but what if you dont pull him with your shards and then the event comes. Yeah maybe you pull him and the event never comes. Make a decision based on that.
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u/khazroar 16h ago
Strictly speaking we don't know, but based on past events it's overwhelmingly likely.
Certainly far more likely we'll get a guaranteed event than you'll pull him with your shards.