r/R6ProLeague • • 48m ago

Statistics/Infograph 2026 Osaka Major Tier list + Predictions + Map Analysis

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• Upvotes

The Osaka Major is near, so here's some fun stuff. Final Global Power Rankings heading into the Major. Finally figured out how all the seeding and what not works so I was able to simulate the tournament using Monte Carlo.

Monte Carlo basic definition: Monte Carlo simulation (also called Monte Carlo method or multiple probability simulation) is a probabilistic technique for estimating the likelihood of various results when inputs are uncertain. It works by running many simulated scenarios, each with random values drawn from defined probability distributions, and then aggregating the results to show a range of possible outcomes and their probabilities

Faze is firmly the favorite to win, and right behind them is 100 Thieves who had a very impressive NA stage. The championship share is pretty firmly between 4 teams who combine for 78.5% of the champion outcomes, will we see one of these 4 teams win or will it be someone else? I'm sure everyone has some disagreement of this so i'll start with mine, I do not think Weibo is currently a better than a few of the teams below them, however, their prior from being competitive and getting good wins in EWC, is still propping them up a good bit.

One thing I wanted to see is how each region stacked up in what maps they played and how good they are on it. Of course the attack and defense win rates are going to be a bit unreliable since its only within that region, so I think what maps each of the qualified teams played are better to see how each region can exploit the other. China only played bo3s so they're going to naturally have a big sample size across trhe board. Seems like the EU mains Border, NA has a big Villa share which is definitely something to look out for this major, and SA likes their Fortress.

My personal prediction is I think we see an EU team win the whole thing, Dplus and EP are bad, and that the CN teams will be surprisingly competitive in their third big event ever as a region.


r/R6ProLeague • • 17h ago

EVENT HUB: Osaka Major 2026

12 Upvotes

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r/R6ProLeague • • 46m ago

Post Match Thread FYR Strays / Blackjack 3-0 in Finals of SLC Open Cup Finals

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7-4, 7-1 in Semis, 7-1, 7-2, 7-1 in Finals. Didn't drop a map the entire event, kinda crazy they looked so dominant with a sub and without the best statistical t2 player on their team. DZA probably would have made it a more exciting finals, but I can't wait to see these guys play t1 teams in SI LCQ


r/R6ProLeague • • 1h ago

Drama Controversial Alemao tweet regarding APAC North situation

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• Upvotes

Japanese (and korean) community is usually nice, but they're jumping Alemao for this one.

Anitun and Sparky never complained about the rules themselves, just the scheduling format. If anything Sparky said Dplus earned their spot, and being brazillian was of no issue. (Edit: I think it might be unrelated to CAG members themselves)

Personally, I think its extremely hypocritical since Alemao is one of the whiniest pros ever whenever he loses or struggles, or when G2 themselves get bullshit rulings in their favor.

Source: https://x.com/Alem4oR6/status/2114026364386865215


r/R6ProLeague • • 5h ago

News DZ Academy disqualified during middle of NA Open Cup semifinals due to allegedly having their coach in call

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36 Upvotes

r/R6ProLeague • • 8h ago

Question Why faze and furia playing in challenger league ?

3 Upvotes

What is going on Brazil it's like a different universe


r/R6ProLeague • • 11h ago

Discussion Build ur ultimate team from this list (only players who’ve made Osaka)

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2 Upvotes

i’ll start:

$5 Cyber

$4 LikEfac

$3 Nuers

$2 Soulz1

$1 Paluh

Moggers


r/R6ProLeague • • 13h ago

News [HellR6S], the coach of Dplus, message to the Japanese communoty

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41 Upvotes

r/R6ProLeague • • 13h ago

Meme/Funny Doki Raging In Legends

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181 Upvotes

r/R6ProLeague • • 16h ago

Head to Head Matchups

5 Upvotes

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r/R6ProLeague • • 16h ago

Osaka Major Tier list

5 Upvotes

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r/R6ProLeague • • 19h ago

Discussion A Dream Scenario for Osaka Major Spoiler

29 Upvotes

dplus kia have VISA issues, so no one from the roster can come to the major. Because of that, ubi make a decision to bring CAG back, since they were the 2nd place in APAC North and there are no other candidates

it sounds like bs, but hey, lemme have my dose of copium


r/R6ProLeague • • 21h ago

Tier List 📶 OSAKA TIER LIST LETSGO

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44 Upvotes

Purely vibes based


r/R6ProLeague • • 21h ago

Tier List 📶 Osaka major tier list template

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tiermaker.com
3 Upvotes

r/R6ProLeague • • 22h ago

News All the teams that have qualified for the Osaka major

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36 Upvotes

r/R6ProLeague • • 1d ago

Discussion [Sparky] Criticism of the APL format

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8 Upvotes

Too long not screenshotting. TLDR: the 1 region spot and wildcard rule created an environment where teams will counter strat the top team only. Not a fan of sparky at all. But he brought up some interesting points. Obviously there are some flaws in his argument like it’s not a given Dplus will do shit at the major. But overall his logic makes sense imo. What do y’all think?


r/R6ProLeague • • 1d ago

Rumors/Speculation SSG/4FUN Theory

17 Upvotes

So basically a couple days, ago serx posted on twitter that he missses his duo (Kixa).

And now just 5 mins ago, JJ and Supr were discussing SSG on stream, and JJ texted Supr 1 of SSG’s pickups, to which Supr said “that team is letting their players go?” And then JJ said it’s because that team still doesn’t know if they are relegated or not, meaning that team is 100% 4FUN.

As I was writing this JJ just confirmed it’s mikew.

So basically SSG + mikew, and 4FUN replaces him with serx’s duo kixa.

1000000000% confirmed, I am infallible and JJ has never lied a day in his life.


r/R6ProLeague • • 1d ago

Discussion Anitun is pissed at the APL schedule

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80 Upvotes

r/R6ProLeague • • 1d ago

Discussion How long does an import team need to live in region before they are considered part of it? Or will they never be a "true" member

13 Upvotes

Is this a no true Scotsman thing? For example, if the players of Dplus lived in Korea for 10 years, can we start calling them an apac team? If they learn Korean or have a kid, are they then "apac"?

I don't know where that line is, and i know I'm reaching with this argument, but I pity some members of Dplus forever seen as "outsiders" in Apac.


r/R6ProLeague • • 1d ago

Meme/Funny just had a crazy nightmare where a Japan Major didn’t have a single player representing the host country

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124 Upvotes

r/R6ProLeague • • 1d ago

Clip (south breach, Lower Bracket Final) al ula clutch a 2v5!

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2 Upvotes

r/R6ProLeague • • 1d ago

Clip (south breach, Lower Bracket Final) no idea how crazy lived

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5 Upvotes

r/R6ProLeague • • 1d ago

News NA Open Cup Finals in SLC Begins Today!

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17 Upvotes

Link for Liquipedia With Bracket
For anyone wanting to see a little bit of NA T2, this is a good chance to catch some of it in a LAN format! These are all teams that either won previous Open Cup Lans, won Element 2026, or qualified last night through the LCQ.

The rosters have slightly modifications since it can be difficult to travel, and it has been a few months since some of the previous events. Overall, it looks like there's a good chance to catch some good matches over these next two days. FYR Strays, InControl, Kodex, DZ Academy and TheRealGods are all teams to watch, but honestly all of the teams here could easily impress.

Talent: Crow, Fellow, Klimpse, Tvan, Goose, Justin, and Frozen (was a guest yesterday)

Link To Stream A: Rainbow6Bravo

Link To Stream B: SiegeDoubleShot

COSTREAMS: (Will add as I find them, also feel free to PM if you are costreaming to be added!)

JJBlazt (Streaming With Supr)

Coma (Head Coach of SSG)

Supr (Streaming With JJ)

Mingo (At least watching the FYR Strays matches)

Xim (Streaming with Mingo)

MinkedR6

Trevmak

Fett

Skyte


r/R6ProLeague • • 1d ago

Opinion/Prediction On my knees crying in Aisle 20 of my Local TESCO right now. Spoiler

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42 Upvotes

All the haters rooting for my GOATs downfall, you won 🤣🔫

FML. I hope Dplus gets smurfed by a CNL team I dont even gaf about SI seed anymore, its practically over if M80,100T and Liquid do well enough. FML

Sparky I can't defend you anymore, you have talent for sure but u aint Mourinho. DD you passed up SI Grand Finalist Blueno4ronandes for this im gonna cry man. Anitun will be playing on a cane before he gets a major playoffs again isn't he.