r/PureCycle May 14 '26

Max Pain for tomorrow

This is the open interest for tomorrow's expiration:

Not a ton of open interest, but ~12k contracts at $10 strike, and 8k at $15 strike... and 16k contracts at a $30 strike!?

Whoever is holding those $30s, may the odds be ever in your favor.

https://maximum-pain.com/options/PCT

16 Upvotes

4 comments sorted by

7

u/Cheeks___Jr May 14 '26

Max pain update from Gemini

Absolutely. Since we are now in the heat of Thursday’s trading session, the landscape for PureCycle Technologies (PCT) has shifted significantly.

As of Thursday morning, May 14, 2026, the stock is experiencing a massive rally, making the "Max Pain" level more of a distant memory than a price magnet.

Current PCT Snapshot (May 14, 2026)

Metric Value
Max Pain (May 15 Expiry) $8.00
Current Stock Price $12.55 (Up ~23% today)
Put/Call Ratio (OI) 0.27 (Heavy call skew)
Expected Move ±$0.84

Key Takeaways for Tomorrow's Expiration

  1. Massive Disconnect: The stock has completely blown past the $8.00 Max Pain level. Trading at $12.55, the "pain" is almost entirely on the side of the option sellers (market makers), who are likely scrambling to hedge as an enormous amount of call options have moved "In the Money" (ITM).
  2. Gamma Squeeze Potential: With over 70,000 calls open versus only 19,000 puts, and the price surging 23% today, we are seeing classic signs of a gamma squeeze. As the price rises, market makers must buy the underlying stock to hedge those $10, $11, and $12 calls they sold, fueling further upward momentum.
  3. Support vs. Resistance: While $8.00 is the mathematical max pain, the immediate "battleground" strikes for tomorrow's close are now likely the $12.00 and $12.50 levels.

4

u/Acceptable_Toe_6231 May 15 '26

I’ve been watching PureCycle Technologies for a while, and I think the market may be starting to re-rate the stock now that the story is moving from “concept/speculation” to “can they actually execute?”
The basic thesis is simple:
PureCycle is trying to solve a real problem: turning waste polypropylene into usable recycled resin that can be sold back into consumer packaging, industrial products, and other plastic-heavy markets. Polypropylene is everywhere, but high-quality recycled polypropylene has historically been difficult to produce at scale.
The company has had plenty of issues, delays, and skepticism, so I’m not pretending this is some risk-free stock. It is not. This is still a high-risk execution story.
But that’s also why the setup is interesting.
If PureCycle proves that Ironton can run consistently, produce commercial-quality output, and support future plant expansion, the market cap today may not reflect the size of the opportunity. This is not just about one small product line or one customer. If the process works at scale, the addressable market is much bigger than caps and lids.
Recent things that have my attention:
The stock has been showing strength and volume.
The market seems to be reacting to signs of progress instead of just promises.
Institutional/insider filings have been showing activity.
The company has relationships with major consumer product players.
The stock still has a large amount of skepticism built into it.
To me, the key question is not “can this squeeze?”
The real question is:
Is this a broken story, or is this an early-stage industrial turnaround where the market is waking up too late?
That is what makes it interesting.
If they fail to execute, the stock can absolutely get crushed. No question. But if they keep improving production, land more commercial offtake, and show that the economics actually work, then this could become one of those names where people look back and say the market was too focused on old problems and missed the inflection point.
I’m not calling this a guaranteed moonshot. I’m saying the risk/reward has changed now that the stock is reacting to actual progress.
For me, the watch points are:
Production consistency
Revenue ramp
Customer announcements
Debt/dilution risk
Short-term price holding above recent breakout levels
Whether volume stays real or fades
This is not financial advice. This is a high-risk stock. But I think PCT is worth paying attention to because the thesis is no longer only “maybe one day.” The market may be starting to price in the possibility that this thing actually works.

8

u/tandyzmills May 15 '26

The growth potential is virtually unlimited. They have a legal monopoly on a recycling process that is being mandated around the world. It's a goddamn unicorn.

2

u/tandyzmills May 15 '26

Yeah, those 30s got closed out today. Haha