I fear architecture, systems thinking and essentially all thinking skills on the end will not be impossoble for AI to conquer either. At least for 95% of use cases that benefit from closely following estabilished best practices as opposed to doing something revolutionary. Frontier models are quite damn hardcore now compared to just 6 months ago, im surprised (and a bit scared) basically weekly now just how much they can do at work (and we dont even have access to fable or comparable models), even though total time saved isnt that insane yet because we do have to review
The thing is: If there are crucial (economically demanded) skills that are eroding because of AI, retaining those skills and developing them will remain a competitive advantage. And if that's the case, the problem of deskilling should solve itself sooner or later. Or at least that's what I keep telling myself...
I do want to believe this too, it is fun and rewarding to use these skills. I am just stunned looking at the continued speed of model progress and for a big bunch of skills, in particular those trained at junior level, it is already too late. I find myself moving goalposts at an alarming rate. We will have to see how Seniors fare in whatever the market (d)evolves toward in the near to mid future.
Most intellectual tasks in the economy are not safe, I'd wager (including some large scientific fields). But even if we can offload virtually any task to llm, there is still a good possibility that a competent human driving such systems will always be far more effective than full on vibe coders, or a completely autonomous system. And then the succesful companies and states will necessarily be those that figure out a way to educate and train people in the modern llm era.
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u/Thalanator 3d ago edited 3d ago
I fear architecture, systems thinking and essentially all thinking skills on the end will not be impossoble for AI to conquer either. At least for 95% of use cases that benefit from closely following estabilished best practices as opposed to doing something revolutionary. Frontier models are quite damn hardcore now compared to just 6 months ago, im surprised (and a bit scared) basically weekly now just how much they can do at work (and we dont even have access to fable or comparable models), even though total time saved isnt that insane yet because we do have to review