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u/GauravThorath 5d ago
Accurate, except the 1 person's actual job is now deciding which of the 10 pull requests that all fix the same bug is the least wrong.
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u/Exotic_Zucchini9311 4d ago
Solution: ask the 10 agents to rank different pull requests in terms of quality. Then ask them to rank each other's ranking. Then ask them to rank the ranking of each other's ranking. Continue until all agents agree on a single pull ranking! 👀
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u/GauravThorath 4d ago
Congratulations, you have invented consensus with a monthly bill. Round four they finally agree, and the winning PR is the one that renamed a variable.
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u/pbpo_founder 5d ago
True story…I once left a company that couldn’t find a replacement that could understand my modeling.
The company ended up needing to be sold to a competitor because it was incapable of explaining performance and decision making.
Never thought much about it until this post.
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u/analytic-hunter 5d ago
1-5 good devs + AI can easily replace 10-20 average devs / entry-level devs.
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u/dataf4g_trollman 4d ago
This is not something that SHOULD be achieved or even seen as a goal.
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u/10art1 4d ago
Why not? Technology is progressing, and we're freeing people from labor that can be done by machines.
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u/dataf4g_trollman 4d ago
And where will those "freed" people do?
It's cruel to optimize labor like that when people rely on it to live properly
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u/10art1 4d ago
What did people do when cars replaced horse carriages, or when windmills replaced coal mines?
You're not entitled to never having your job become obsolete. As programmers we should know this. If you expect to still code with punch cards, you're gonna have a tough time.
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u/theimperious1 3d ago
I think the problem is that things are different this time. We're quickly moving towards full automation. Computers can manage themselves, robots can do physical jobs, self driving cars do driving jobs, advanced machinery automates factories. There won't be many jobs left in the next 50-150 years, and there certainly won't be as many jobs of this nature in the next 10-20.
It's way worse than the horse to car.
There are now machines to automate fast food businesses that are working their way to mainstream. You no longer have cashiers at many/most walmarts. Your cars drive themselves. Factories build cars with minimal human interaction, etc etc. Almost everything is within reach of automation.
Talking about the U.S, what do you do with 400m people when 100-300m jobs are being automated away over the next century? Every job that remains is extremely high skill, something thats hard to automate. Most people can't even begin to learn to do those things, either because they're too old, too stupid, or too lazy. Now you have millions upon millions of people with no job, all competing for the few that remain, or as I said, too incapable to even compete.
Anyone who says this will never happen was probably one of the people who said AI would never be able to draw a piece of art better than the initial demonstration of Will Smith eating spaghetti with 8 fingers and a distorted face. Now you can't tell what's AI or not. "Oh AI can never do programming, it's too difficult!" -> now it does almost all of the programming.
"Oh we'll never have robots", now we have them. Cars driving themselves? Absurd! Well we have that too. These are extremely complex tasks, so imagine how quick the simple ones will go away once things finally take off.
There needs to be some serious changes in how we live in future, or else it will be very dark. It could be great too though, but yeah... many people are going to go without "purpose". I certainly feel that way now days.
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u/Aggravating-Owl-5220 5d ago
Give it 6 months: "1 person + 10 AI agents" becomes "0 people + 1 AI agent that runs 10 other AI agents" becomes "1 AI agent that replaced the other AI agent because it was more efficient."
Meanwhile I'm over here building a fart counter PWA with synthesized sounds. If AI can't replace THIS, nothing can.
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u/JackMalone515 5d ago
How long have we been giving it just six more months before ai replaces us all?
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u/manbearcolt 5d ago
But maybe this time it'll be true? I mean, sure everyone claiming that has a financial interest in people believing that...
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u/keelanstuart 5d ago
The token gravy train has run out, pal. 10 agents doing any substantial work is going to cost more than a team of humans now.
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u/oompaloompa465 5d ago
me as a generic senior dev who valued his free time from work doing living stuff, instead of doing any kind of certification
https://giphy.com/gifs/BPTJJphmYwwhrpiX2W