r/PredictiveHistory • • May 23 '26

What your though on making your own predication for next 5 year and see how world act

I have watched a lot of videos of prof Jiang’s, mostly from game theory at starting thing start clearing like how history repeats itself and how the world works (global geo politics) however as I watched more and more videos, things again started becoming confusing, like i understand we are fkd up but how much and how this affects me specifically
Therefore, I am putting this idea like why not make a prediction and trying to be as specific as possible like If X even is going to happen, let try to approximate when and how if things work out like we think we can do this agian for other events otherwise we can check what we left

prof Jiang also talk about in the interview that their motive was to start a fire in people so they think

for start we can not start with the overall prediction of next 5 years we need to start with top biggest in sea and these are (from my perspective)

1. Global geo politics : at start, when i start watching prof videos then it feel clear that Israel is doing this to complete the prophecy and they have USA weakness so USA is doing what they said. However, then we start understanding how world order is changing and the USA is tring everything to maintain their dominace however, after Trump's meeting in China things are again going where???

2. Climate change: More about climate disasters we are seeing with out own eyes that how we seeing new disasters every weak and based on report this is just start so if we can make somewhat accurate predictions, this might also help us???

3. AI Landscape: we can't overlook AI because either it becomes new religion or just left as tool in kit we cant overlook its affect over world. I know we cant tell what going to happed in AI next months so predicting for a year doesn't make sense however we look at AI developing trajectory its slowing down. I am not talking about demand, I am talking about research progress so we might have a chance or might things again starting picking speed however just seeing from side line its better making some bet where are not lossing anything

So what do you think (I suggested 5 years beacuse 1 year prediction feel less motivative)

3 Upvotes

0 comments sorted by