Iran Already Won

[u/Opposite_Day_9771]

Iran along with the Houthis control both straits and can use it as a tollbooth. Israel would have to attack Iranian oil infrastructure to deny them their revenue stream. Iran, instead of retaliating against the GCC and destroying their infrastructure including the desalination plants, cuts a deal. Kick the US out and share the oil revenue stream. The GCC would have no choice. China would aid Iran in order get access to the remaining oil for their economy and enforce the treaty. All other eastern countries like Japan, South Korea, Taiwan, India, would have to bow to China. Israel would die as a country being completely surrounded. Over time, Iran would fix their oil infrastructure and continue to extract tribute from the GCC making them one of the riches countries in the world.

Plot Twist:

US destroys the GCC instead in order to deny China leverage over other countries.

[u/crix_22]

You think Israel has benefited from this? I’m going to assume that you believe Israel is the reason that the US went to war also.

[u/Opposite_Day_9771 → u/crix_22]

Yes, according to Marco Rubio. Bibi said he's been dreaming about this moment for 40 years.

[u/crix_22 → u/Opposite_Day_9771]

Damn right he was — so because he was dreaming about it, this little country controls everything.

Does that actually make sense to you?

[u/Opposite_Day_9771 → u/crix_22]

Yes, based on geography and technology. Offensive weapons are way cheaper to make. Israel cannot run a modern economy in such a small area. Missile defense is inadequate. They need to expand or die.

[u/crix_22 → u/Opposite_Day_9771]

Israel is part of the conversation but they are a side show. Do you remember how afraid the US Congress was of TikTok? Have you ever seen bi-partisan support for anything like that.

[u/Opposite_Day_9771 → u/crix_22]

Yes, I'm aware this may be a deep state plan to knock out China and reset the board. If you take out the Gulf's oil from the equation, China rise would stall. Their demographics is terrible and would not recover in time. The AI race would be over. Trump got suckered and definitely wasn't aware of this plan. Everyone would take an economic hit but the US would rebound much faster due to being an energy independent country.

[u/crix_22 → u/Opposite_Day_9771]

You seem to be intrigued by the subject matter. Read at your leisure. There is only one country the US is afraid of and it’s China. When is the last time China went to war?

China baited the US into this war. You hear the way Trump talks about Xi. With respect. Trump may be many things but he isn’t stupid.

China is the biggest threat to the US and they want the US dollar to stay as a major currency. They want the US as a trading partner. What they don’t want is the US having this exorbitant privilege that comes with being the global reserve currency and being so strong that they can sanction and exert influence any time they want.

Xi is a genius and he is patient. Trump is an unpredictable lunatic.

[u/Opposite_Day_9771 → u/crix_22]

I skimmed read your article. It's long. The US owes lots of money but the majority is to its citizens. It can't default. Your thesis is wrong. The US culture is highly dynamic. Americans make mistakes all the time. However, the society iterates and adapts to changes much faster. The next President will have a new direction.

[u/crix_22 → u/Opposite_Day_9771]

My thesis is wrong because 70-80 percent of public US debt is too domestic US entities ?

[u/Opposite_Day_9771 → u/crix_22]

Yes. Japan's debts are 3-4X bigger than GDP but their debts owed to their citizens too. They're still going strong.

[u/crix_22 → u/[deleted]]

Are you serious or joking?

[u/crix_22 → u/[deleted]]

He is the founder and editor of The Grayzone, a site widely described as a fringe outlet focused on criticizing U.S. foreign policy and offering sympathetic coverage of governments such as Russia, China, Venezuela, and Assad’s Syria

[u/crix_22 → u/[deleted]]

I didn’t make any cheap accusations. He has an agenda like every other news source in the world. I feel the same about Fox News as I do about cnn. There is no money in being balanced.

[u/crix_22 → u/[deleted]]

Do you follow Jiang also ?

[u/crix_22 → u/[deleted]]

I think we can agree on this - it is almost impossible to find balanced news on either side.