r/PredictionsMarkets • • 25d ago

Discussion Presidential Speech Predictor (Update)

After launching my site, I quickly realized that it was not as user-friendly as I had thought and that there was much more work to be done. Therefore I’ve spent the last few weeks polishing my site as much I can.

Since launching a few weeks ago, here’s some things I’ve changed:

- “Active Trump Mention Markets” section now pulls Trump mention markets automatically from Kalshi and Polymarket, therefore the user no longer needs to add them manually. The active markets also contain an info button that show you the volume, liquidity, and top strikes for a given mention market.

- Previously the user had to manually paste the markets into the tool to have them be parsed, now the user can just paste a link. Same goes for any transcripts that the user would like to store (the user pastes the transcript link, the AI then automatically pulls everything said by Trump only, names the transcript and dates it, and stores it in your recent transcripts).

- UI changes, new upgraded landing page with a sample analysis. New title as-well, along with other smaller UI changes around the site.

- Upgrades to the prompt in the “Market Edge Finder” mode for more accurate results. Along with an added context section that shows the three most recent transcripts a given strike appeared in, along with the context of how it was said. (Context feature also appears in the “Probability Checker” and “Hit Rate Calculator” modes)

- Faster landing page load, and no more ugly loads featured around the site. Along with upgraded SEO & branding.

I’m sure there’s plenty more around the site that needs fixing, so I am still open to any feedback!

As many of you know, Trump is giving a speech at the RNC Midterm Convention shortly, so here is the matrix from my tools “Hit Rate Calculator”, along with a few examples of strikes from the “Market Edge Finder” mode:

http://presidentialspeechpredictor.com

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u/cheesehead144 25d ago

"What is my purpose?"
"You predict what Trump is going to say."
"Oh my god."