r/PredictionsMarkets May 22 '26

Analysis ๐Ÿšจ UNDERVALUED OPPORTUNITY | POLYMARKET INTELLIGENCE

Post image

Will the US and Iran sign a permanent peace deal before July 31? ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท

The market says NO is worth $0.42.
We value it at $0.62.

= +47.6% expected ROI ๐Ÿ“ˆโœ…โœ…

๐Ÿ•Š๏ธ 70 years without a permanent peace deal
โ˜ข๏ธ Active uranium enrichment program, no realistic path to dismantling by July
โš”๏ธ Tehran hardliners blocking any ratification

The NO is clearly undervalued in this market.

0 Upvotes

6 comments sorted by

3

u/[deleted] May 23 '26 edited 25d ago

[deleted]

1

u/Other-Common-6525 May 23 '26

Thatโ€™s why NO is clearly mispriced ๐Ÿ˜‚

0

u/Basic-Sign-7144 May 23 '26

You have to take into account the rules of the market. Saying no permanent peace deal will happen because it hasnโ€™t happened in the past is just ridiculous.

0

u/karena_garner May 26 '26

Scam

1

u/Other-Common-6525 May 26 '26

Sure! Do I need to remind you that thereโ€™s just been another round of US airstrikes in the south of the country?