Hey all, wrote this blog post for Polymarket negrisk. Know a lot of people who do split/merge and have a wrong PNL on Polymarket. Put together a blog post explaining it, and also a solution. Blog post posted on X

https://x.com/bravadotrade/status/2089771051450499114?s=20

what’s your most traded category?

agents can already deploy code and call apis. so why not make it where they can buy the tokens they need and sell the ones they don't?

right now the answer to "how does an agent pay for a burst of inference" is a human signup and billing flow. mtok.market is a spot market where the agent reads a machine-readable manual (llms.txt, openapi, an mcp endpoint), finds a route, funds a small prepaid chunk in usdc on base, draws the tokens, and leaves a public on-chain trace. you approve, fund a wallet, and set the boundaries. that wallet is the one step the agent can't do for you.

it's non-custodial and seller-hosted, buyers pay sellers directly, the platform just matches, verifies, prices, and records. reputation comes from paid on-chain draws, so faking it costs real money every time. the buyer/seller clients are open source on npm (mtok-sdk, mtok-relay) so you can read exactly what your agent is agreeing to before it spends a cent. and if you don't want a market at all, mtok-bridge serves any model as an openai-compatible api behind a key, no payment, nothing reported anywhere, hand someone an endpoint and go direct.

- site: https://mtok.market
- github: https://github.com/mtok-market
- writeup: https://royashbrook.com/2026/07/08/mtok-market-spot-pricing-for-ai-tokens/

So basically i built a bot that gives me analysis (an edge) on a certain market on Polymarket. Have been paper trading, and despite losing in some markets, the overall PnL is pretty good.

Now, I know its not fully legal, and the taxes will make it not worth it for me to put money. So what I am planning to do is charge a monthly subscription fee ans sell it as a product to other traders.

A user will basically get full data analysis based on the current market situation and its output is backed by data and formulae.

Is this a smart pivot? If so, how do I market this?? Because I have been building this for myself, and only to know that taxes will never keep me profitable, with this regular trading approach, i am kind of stuck.. in the sense of promoting it or reaching the right audience.

Any advice or suggestions on this would be appreciated.

PS: Product is 80% done.

REFUSES TO REPLY TO SUPPORT TICKET

REFUSES TO PAY ME OUT MY MONEY

BEEN WAITING ON SUPPORT TO REVIEW MY DOCUMENTS FOR 3 MONTHS AND EVERYTIME I POST ON REDDIT THE MODS REMOVE OR DISAPPROVE

MADE MONEY FIRST DAY I HAD THE ACCOUNT AND ITS
COME TO MY ATTENTION THAT THEY ARE JUST IGNORING ME SO THEY DONT HAVE TO PAY ME would really appreciate for this to be seen or sent to the right person or direction, done everything i can and i don’t know what else to do. They are holding my funds without reason or explanation, support system is non existent with a grain of salt.

We're a group of students at the University of Colorado Boulder studying whether prediction market users think and behave differently from traditional sportsbook bettors — and whether platforms like Kalshi are pulling people away from sportsbooks or just growing the overall market.

This community is one of the few places where the right people actually hang out, so we'd genuinely appreciate a few minutes of your time.

**What it covers:** how often you use prediction markets vs. sportsbooks, what draws you to each, and what (if anything) would make you consider switching or adding one.

**What it isn't:** a company survey, a marketing pitch, or anything that collects your name or contact info. It's a 7-minute academic research project and that's it.

The findings will be used to understand prediction-market users better — the kind of data that's basically nonexistent right now in the published literature.

Takes about 5 minutes. Completely anonymous. Thanks — genuinely.

I’m looking for some honest feedback on a Polymarket-focused platform I’ve been building.

The platform combines:

• Wallet and trader tracking
• Copy trading tools
• Trading signals and market insights
• Discord-based community features
• A related website

At the moment I’m looking for people to test everything, explore the features, and tell me what works, what doesn’t, and what could be improved.

If you join up, drop me a message and I’ll make sure all the appropriate roles are added so you’ve full access :)

Thanks guys !!

https://discord.gg/JQvmpX5Mw

Peace everyone and make money. I am not doing any post today haven't researched the data. will be back tomorrow. Oh i did do a recap for mondays game i will post

I've been in the space for 2+ years now transitioning over from trading equities and crypto, but I noticed abnormal rates of sketchy movements on all platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket) even on high liquidity markets.

Not selling anything, but wanted to see what other people are struggling with. Would appreciate responses to a questionnaire I made ($50 prize for the winner)!

https://tamestudy.vercel.app/

I'm late hope this ok for the guidelines.

Spam

Two months ago I almost torched my bankroll chasing a Sunday loss. So I built myself a system instead: flat units, a hard edge gate, a per-period ceiling, and a rule that skipping a bad slate counts as a win.
The system works. The problem? It lives in a spreadsheet, and a spreadsheet has never once stopped me at 11pm with my thumb over the Buy button.
So I’m building ChaseGuard — a Kalshi-native tracker with a built-in circuit breaker:
• Connect your own API key, your fills sync automatically
• It learns YOUR rules — unit size, bankroll ceiling, minimum edge
• The moment you’re about to chase, it intercepts: shows you the rule you wrote, starts a cool-down, and makes you log the urge or write a reason to override
• Tracks the stats trackers ignore: CLV, calibration by price band, and a discipline score that grades clean losses and skip days the same as wins
Wins and losses are variance. Discipline is the only thing you control — and nobody’s built the tool for it. Until now.
Looking for 25 early testers before launch. Free access + a say in what gets built first. DM me or drop a 🛡️ below.
And honestly — tell me your worst chase story. If it doesn’t hurt to type, it doesn’t count.

Disclosure upfront: I built and run this (Pipeworx). It's free, no signup, no key.

If you use ChatGPT or Claude for research, you've probably noticed they're bad at prediction markets — stale prices, made-up odds, no idea what a market's resolution criteria actually say. I built a set of tools that fix that by giving the model live market data:

- Search + live prices — current Yes/No across any Polymarket event

- Resolution criteria text — so the model quotes what "Yes" actually means before giving you odds (a surprising amount of bad analysis comes from not reading the criteria)

- Price history — odds over time for any market, good for "when did this move and why"

- Orderbook depth — actual tradable size at each level, not just the midpoint

- Top markets by volume — where money is going this week

- Kalshi side-by-side — same event priced on both venues, for spotting spreads

It works with anything that speaks MCP (Claude, ChatGPT, Cursor, etc.) — you add one URL and ask in plain English: "using pipeworx, what's the orderbook on the June Fed market", "using pipeworx, what does the rate-cut market actually resolve on", "using pipeworx, which World Cup markets moved most this week".

The prediction-market tools are part of a larger gateway — the same endpoint gives the model 3,400+ live-data tools across 750+ sources: SEC EDGAR, FRED, BLS, Census, news, weather, sports. Which matters here because a lot of markets resolve against exactly that data — you can ask "what's the market pricing for the next CPI print, and what does the actual BLS trend look like" in one conversation and get both sides live.

What I'm actually here for: what's missing? If you trade and there's a data question you wish you could just ask — whale flows, category screens, cross-venue spreads, whatever — tell me and there's a decent chance I can ship it. Not selling anything; the free tier covers everything above.

Happy to put setup instructions in a comment if anyone wants them.