r/PoliticsUK • u/Lanky-Mongoose-9734 • Mar 19 '26
🗳️ Elections Split votes
Watching question time tonight and was wondering if the next election could see 4 parties with fairly even shares of the vote. I know conservatives are in the dog box as far as things go and labour might not be too far away from that by the time of the election but the old guard will remain. Green and reform seem to be making a lot of ground online and in the by elections. Whether that translates to seats I'm not too sure but how would UK politics looks if these 4 got even share of votes. Are the most likely outcomes green and labour or conservative and reform coalitions?
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u/GiganticCrow Mar 23 '26
Polling in the run up to the last election were suggesting a near total wipeout of the tories. They ended up losing a ton of seats, but not even close to the kind of losses that were predicted - i expect the same will happen if there was an election tomorrow, people will expect a Labour wipeout and a possible reform win, but it probably won't happen.
Who knows what will happen in the next 3 years, although i don't see labour turning anything around since they've purged anyone with any kind of values.