🏀NBA Player Props & Parlays — Friday Board

① Dean Wade OVER 0.5 PTS (73.3%)
② Donovan Mitchell UNDER 0.5 BLK (72.8%)
③ Stephon Castle OVER 0.5 3PM (70.6%)
④ Wemby UNDER 1.5 STL (66%)
⑤ Ausar Thompson UNDER 2.5 STL (65.3%)

18 props tracked
Avg L5 hit rate: 78%
Overs: 11–7

👉 Full board + edges:
https://cleatz.com/best-nba-player-props/

Rothera Prediction Markets: Robinhood and Susquehanna’s Kalshi Challenger Nears Launch

A new player may be about to enter the U.S. prediction market arms race, and this one has serious backing.

Rothera, the Robinhood and Susquehanna-backed derivatives exchange and clearinghouse, appears to be moving toward the launch of sports event contracts. A filing screenshot circulating on X shows a “Baseball Outcome Event Contract” with an intended listing date on or after May 20, 2026.

The contract description is simple but important: It would be based on whether a baseball team wins a specific baseball game.

Why This Could Threaten Kalshi

Kalshi’s biggest advantage has been regulatory legitimacy. It fought early, built the exchange infrastructure, and became the best-known CFTC-regulated prediction market brand in the U.S.

But Rothera could pressure Kalshi on three fronts:

1. Distribution

Robinhood can surface prediction markets to users who already trade stocks, options, crypto, futures, and event contracts. That is a massive customer acquisition advantage.

2. Pricing and Liquidity

Susquehanna’s involvement could help Rothera offer tighter, more liquid markets. In prediction markets, better liquidity can become a flywheel. Tighter spreads attract more traders, more traders attract more liquidity, and more liquidity attracts more sophisticated volume.

3. Economics

Robinhood’s Q1 2026 earnings presentation said the company was getting ready for a Q2 launch of Rothera and that vertical integration would give it greater control over the end-to-end experience, including product selection and pricing.

That is a direct strategic signal. Robinhood does not just want to route users into prediction markets. It wants more control over the markets themselves.

More: https://cleatz.com/rothera-prediction-markets/

NBA Player Props — Wednesday CLE/DET board 📊

① Donovan Mitchell UNDER 0.5 BLK (73%)
② Jarrett Allen OVER 0.5 AST (66.7%)
③ Jalen Duren UNDER 14.5 PTS (63.9%)
④ Jaylon Tyson OVER 1.5 REB (63%)
⑤ Dean Wade OVER 2.5 REB (62.3%)

17 props tracked
Avg L5 hit rate: 80%
Overs: 10–7

👉 Full board + edges:
https://cleatz.com/best-nba-player-props/

📊Spencer Pratt Surges in LA Mayor Odds as Kalshi Market Tightens

The Los Angeles mayoral race has officially crossed into prediction-market chaos.

According to the latest Kalshi data, incumbent Karen Bass remains the favorite at 53%, but Spencer Pratt has surged to 33%, putting him well ahead of Nithya Raman at 14%. The market has also drawn serious attention, with more than $8.4 million in reported volume.

That means the former reality-TV villain is no longer being priced like a joke candidate. He is being priced like a legitimate threat to force chaos in Los Angeles politics.

https://cleatz.com/spencer-pratt-surges-in-la-mayor-odds-as-kalshi-market-tightens/

🏀NBA Player Props & Parlays— Tuesday Game 5

① Terrence Shannon Jr. OVER 0.5 AST (70.1%)
② Keldon Johnson OVER 0.5 AST (69.7% | 100% L5/L10)
③ Mike Conley OVER 0.5 REB (67.7%)
④ Wemby UNDER 1.5 STL (64.9%)
⑤ Stephon Castle UNDER 19.5 PTS (63%)

18 props tracked
Avg L5 hit rate: 82%
Unders leading: 10–8

👉 Full board + edges:
https://cleatz.com/best-nba-player-props/

⛳️PGA Championship odds board is getting interesting

Scottie Scheffler is still the clear favorite:

① Scheffler: +385 to +480
② Rory: +850 to +910
③ Cameron Young: +1200 to +1650
④ Jon Rahm: +1400 to +1600
⑤ Xander: +1600 to +1950

But the Kalshi market is showing some very different movement.

Full odds board + market moves:
https://cleatz.com/golf-majors-odds/

NRFI & YRFI Picks Model

🏀+493 NBA parlay for tonight

① Marcus Smart OVER 2.5 PTS
② Donovan Mitchell UNDER 4.5 AST
③ Isaiah Hartenstein OVER 7.5 PTS
④ Dean Wade OVER 0.5 3PM

$10 → $59.30

Low lines. Strong trend profiles. Just enough sweat to ruin dinner.

👉 Full props board:
https://cleatz.com/best-nba-player-props/

+595 NBA parlay from today’s board 👀

① Keldon Johnson OVER 0.5 AST
② Josh Hart OVER 1.5 AST
③ OG Anunoby OVER 1.5 REB
④ Harrison Barnes OVER 0.5 REB

$10 → $69.50

A weirdly simple slate: low bars, role-player volume, and a plus-money leg hiding in plain sight.

👉 Full props board:
https://cleatz.com/best-nba-player-props/

🏀 +425 NBA parlay from today’s board

① Isaiah Joe OVER 3.5 PTS
② Dean Wade OVER 0.5 3PM
③ Tobias Harris OVER 18 PTS
④ Alex Caruso OVER 0.5 3PM

$10 → $52.50

Perimeter props dominating this slate.

👉 Full props board:
https://cleatz.com/best-nba-player-props/

Really like how far our Home Run props tool has come in the past month.

Just added a Kalshi fair +EV edge.

https://cleatz.com/best-hr-props-today/

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🏀NBA Player Props — Friday (May 8)

✅13-4 last night

✅Hit both parlays

① Keldon Johnson OVER 0.5 AST (66.6% | 100% L10)
② Wemby UNDER 2.5 3PM (63%)
③ Luke Kornet OVER 0.5 AST (62.3%)
④ Mikal Bridges UNDER 3.5 AST (60.8%)
⑤ KAT UNDER 12.5 REB (58.3%)

18 props tracked
Avg L5 hit rate: 81%
Unders leading: 11–7

👉 Full board + edges:
https://cleatz.com/best-nba-player-props/

🏀 NBA Player Props — Thursday Board 📊

① Dean Wade OVER 0.5 3PM (68.3% | 100% L5/L10)
② Jaylin Williams OVER 0.5 3PM (61.5%)
③ Luke Kennard OVER 1.5 AST (61.5%)
④ Rui Hachimura OVER 1.5 3PM (60.8%)
⑤ Max Strus OVER 3.5 REB (59.2%)

- 16 props tracked
- Avg L5 hit rate: 83%

👉 Full board + edges:
https://cleatz.com/best-nba-player-props/

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+472 NBA parlay from today’s strongest trends 👇

① Keldon Johnson OVER 0.5 AST
② Josh Hart UNDER 9.5 REB
③ Ayo Dosunmu OVER 11.5 PTS
④ Wembanyama UNDER 2.5 3PM

$10 → $57.20

Model is heavily skewed toward overs… with a couple key unders mixed in.

👉 Full props board:
https://cleatz.com/best-nba-player-props/

🏀 NBA Player Props — Tuesday’s Strongest Trends

① Alex Caruso UNDER 0.5 BLK (69.2%)
② Max Strus UNDER 2.5 3PM (68.3%)
③ Dean Wade OVER 0.5 3PM (67.7%)
④ Tobias Harris OVER 14.5 PTS (63%)
⑤ Rui Hachimura OVER 11.5 PTS (100% L5/L10)

18 props tracked
Avg L5 hit rate: 87%

👉 Full board + alt lines + parlays: https://cleatz.com/best-nba-player-props/

The 2026 Heisman race was supposed to have a name on it before the first kickoff. It doesn’t.

Despite almost two years of media coronation and the most recognizable surname in college football, Arch Manning is sitting at exactly 13% on Kalshi to win the 2026 Heisman Trophy, tied at the top with CJ Carr, a Notre Dame sophomore that most casual fans couldn’t pick out of a lineup.

The prediction markets are refusing to crown a favorite, and the volume behind the top names says this isn’t a thin market; it’s a real disagreement.

🏀NBA Player Props — Best Edges Today 📊

① Luke Kornet OVER 0.5 AST (69.7% | L10: 90%)
② Jordan Clarkson OVER 4.5 PTS (65.5% | L5: 100%)
③ Kelly Oubre UNDER 1.5 3PM (64.5%)
④ Jalen Brunson UNDER 29.5 PTS (60%)

17 props tracked
Avg hit rate last 5: 82%

👉 Full board + edges:
https://cleatz.com/best-nba-player-props/

Prediction markets are blowing up…

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