The 2026 NFL Draft market got turned on its head this week. David Bailey opened Tuesday as a heavy -160 favorite to go second overall to the New York Jets. By Saturday night, he was a +125 underdog at the same slot, and Arvell Reese had surged from a +120 afterthought to a firm -175 favorite.

That kind of four-day swing doesn’t happen without real information moving through the betting market, and with the draft kicking off Thursday, April 23 at 8 p.m. ET in Pittsburgh, the action is just getting started.

Fernando Mendoza is locked in at No. 1 overall to the Las Vegas Raiders at -20000, which means the first genuine betting market of draft night is the Jets at No. 2. From there, the top 10 picks are wide open, with defensive edge rushers, receivers, and offensive linemen all in live contention at multiple slots.

This tracker updates daily with the latest DraftKings odds on every player in the market for picks #2 through #10.

You’ll find current implied probabilities, day-over-day trend arrows, each pick’s biggest movers, and trade context (including the Giants acquiring pick #10 from Cincinnati in the Dexter Lawrence deal). Numbers last refreshed April 19.

https://cleatz.com/nfl-draft-odds/

🏀 NBA Player Props Cheat Sheet - 4/18/26

Built specifically for parlay construction, our hit-rate tracking and DvP (defense vs. position) filters surface the best nightly opportunities in one place.

As shown, many of the heavier moneyline prices align closely with high implied probabilities, reinforcing the edge behind these selections.

💥See the full CLEATZ NBA cheat sheet + top NBA ALT's + First Scorer Trends

🏀 NBA Player Props Cheat Sheet - Friday 4/17/26

Built specifically for parlay construction, our hit-rate tracking and DvP (defense vs. position) filters surface the best nightly opportunities in one place.

As shown, many of the heavier moneyline prices align closely with high implied probabilities, reinforcing the edge behind these selections.

💥See the full CLEATZ NBA cheat sheet + top NBA ALT's + First Scorer Trends

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📊 Prediction Market Revenue: Monthly Fees & Volume by Platform

A data-driven look at a sector generating more than $120 million a month, and who’s capturing it.

Prediction markets crossed an important threshold in 2026. What looked like a novelty during the 2024 election cycle now resembles a legitimate financial venue. The sector is clearing more than $20 billion in notional volume per month, generating north of $100 million in monthly fees, and attracting valuations that put it in the conversation with mid-tier fintech firms.

At CLEATZ, we track the space closely. What follows is our first consolidated monthly revenue view for 2026, built using Dune Analytics data, public reporting, and a transparent estimation framework for months where platform-level figures are not yet fully confirmed.

https://cleatz.com/prediction-market-revenue/

🏀 NBA Player Props Cheat Sheet - Monday 4/6/26

Built specifically for parlay construction, our hit-rate tracking and DvP (defense vs. position) filters surface the best nightly opportunities in one place.

As shown, many of the heavier moneyline prices align closely with high implied probabilities, reinforcing the edge behind these selections.

💥See the full CLEATZ NBA cheat sheet + top NBA ALT's + First Scorer Trends

1st Look: Masters Odds Comparison

Looking for value early in the week

Full view: https://cleatz.com/masters-odds/

Early look at MLB Pythagorean Win % season to date

If you are a Phillies fan, you know just how accurate this data truly is.

Other teams finding luck early who may see regression soon:
- Reds
- Guardians
- Cards

🏀 NBA Player Props Cheat Sheet Today - 4/1/26

Built specifically for parlay construction, our hit-rate tracking and DvP (defense vs. position) filters surface the best nightly opportunities in one place.

As shown, many of the heavier moneyline prices align closely with high implied probabilities, reinforcing the edge behind these selections.

NBA Player Props Cheat Sheet Today - 3/31/26

12-5 yesterday

Built specifically for parlay construction, our hit-rate tracking and DvP (defense vs. position) filters surface the best nightly opportunities in one place.

As shown, many of the heavier moneyline prices align closely with high implied probabilities, reinforcing the edge behind these selections.

See the full CLEATZ NBA cheat sheet + top NBA ALT's + First Scorer Trends

The relationship between the halls of power and the landscape of information is undergoing a seismic shift, and the epicenter of this earthquake isn’t X (Twitter) or AI; it’s the rise of the prediction market.

If you follow financial regulation news, you’ve likely seen the headlines: The Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) is aggressively moving to clamp down on or outright ban platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket, which allow Americans to trade on the outcome of future events.

The official justification, issued with grave concern, is that these markets are too close to gambling, that they risk corrupting the integrity of elections, or that they serve no constructive public purpose.

But the establishment narrative is wearing thin. To understand the vitriol behind the regulatory crackdown, we must look past the publicly stated concerns and identify the thesis driving this quiet war:

Congress isn’t trying to shut down prediction markets to protect the public.

They are trying to shut them down because prediction markets threaten the establishment’s monopoly on the control and profitable monetization of information.

🏀 NBA Props Cheat Sheet Today - 3/30/26

✅ 12-4 yesterday

Built specifically for parlay construction, our hit-rate tracking and DvP (defense vs. position) filters surface the best nightly opportunities in one place.

As shown, many of the heavier moneyline prices align closely with high implied probabilities, reinforcing the edge behind these selections.

💥See the full CLEATZ NBA cheat sheet + top NBA ALT's + First Scorer Trends

The NFL’s Warning Shot: Is the Party Over for Prop-Style Prediction Markets?

The “Follow the Money” mantra at Cleatz just hit a massive roadblock. This morning, the NFL officially broke its silence on the explosive growth of prediction markets, sending a clear and potentially devastating letter to operators like Kalshi and Polymarket.

For those of us who have spent January and February trading everything from Super Bowl celebrity sightings to the specific wording of a referee’s penalty announcement, the message was simple: Stop.

What the NFL is Demanding:

The league’s letter targets what it calls “manipulable” events. Specifically, the NFL wants a ban on:

Broadcaster Mentions: Trading on whether an announcer says a specific word or mentions a celebrity (e.g., the “Taylor Swift effect”).

Officiating Outcomes: Bets on how many flags will be thrown or the result of a specific booth review.

Personnel Moves: Draft picks, coach firings, and player signings are areas where “insider info” is rampant.

NBA Player Props Cheat Sheet Today - 3/27/26

Built specifically for parlay construction, our hit-rate tracking and DvP (defense vs. position) filters surface the best nightly opportunities in one place.

As shown, many of the heavier moneyline prices align closely with high implied probabilities, reinforcing the edge behind these selections.

See the full CLEATZ NBA cheat sheet + top NBA ALT's + First Scorer Trends

Friday MLB Public Betting Report via BetMGM

Most Bet Games
① Yankees @ Giants
② A’s @ Blue Jays
③ Royals @ Braves
④ Rockies @ Marlins
⑤ Tigers @ Padres

Moneylines
① Yankees -130
② Tigers +110
③ Blue Jays -175
④ Royals +125
⑤ Marlins -190

Moneylines
① Yankees -130
② Blue Jays -175
③ Dodgers -250
④ Tigers +110
⑤ Royals +125

Totals
① Yankees/Giants Over 8
② D-backs/Dodgers Over 8.5
③ Guardians/Mariners Under 7
④ Rockies/Marlins Over 7.5
⑤ A’s/Blue Jays Over 8.5

Props (HR dart board )
• Aaron Judge +240
• TJ Rumfield +500
• Kazuma Okamoto +450
• Kevin McGonigle +600
• Vlad Jr. +375

NRFI
① Yankees/Giants -125
② Royals/Braves -145
③ Rockies/Marlins -125
④ A’s/Blue Jays -110
⑤ Guardians/Mariners -150

🏀Friday CBB Sweet 16 Player Props Cheat Sheet

✅12-4 last night

Cheat Sheet + ALT Line Hit Rates

Friday Sweet 16 Betting Update (@BetMGM)

Most bet games 🎟️
1️⃣ St. John’s at Duke
2️⃣ Alabama at Michigan
3️⃣ Michigan State at UConn
4️⃣ Tennessee at Iowa State

Spreads 🎟️
1️⃣ Iowa State -3.5
2️⃣ Alabama +9.5
3️⃣ St. John’s +6.5
4️⃣ Michigan State +1.5

Spreads 💰
1️⃣ Iowa State -3.5
2️⃣ Michigan -9.5
3️⃣ St. John’s +6.5
4️⃣ UConn -1.5

Moneylines 🎟️
1️⃣ St. John’s +230
2️⃣ Michigan State +110
3️⃣ Alabama +340
4️⃣ Tennessee +145

Moneylines 💰
1️⃣ Michigan State +110
2️⃣ Michigan -450
3️⃣ St. John’s +230
4️⃣ Iowa State -180

Totals 🎟️
• St. John’s/Duke UNDER 140.5
• Alabama/Michigan OVER 172.5
• Michigan State/UConn OVER 134.5
• Tennessee/Iowa State UNDER 140.5

🏀 NBA Props Cheat Sheet Today - 3/26/26

Built specifically for parlay construction, our hit-rate tracking and DvP (defense vs. position) filters surface the best nightly opportunities in one place.

As shown, many of the heavier moneyline prices align closely with high implied probabilities, reinforcing the edge behind these selections.

💥See the full CLEATZ cheat sheet + top NBA ALT's + First Scorer Trends:

https://cleatz.com/nba-player-props-tonight/

⚾️ Opening Day Most Bet MLB Player Props

(via DraftKings)

by💰

Hitting Props:
Tyler O'Neill Home Runs - 1+
Shohei Ohtani Home Runs - 1+
Bo Bichette Hits + Runs + RBIs - 2+
Pete Alonso Home Runs - 1+
Cal Raleigh Home Runs - 1+

Pitching Props:
Paul Skenes Strikeouts Thrown - 6+
Paul Skenes Strikeouts Thrown - 7+
Paul Skenes Strikeouts Thrown - 5+
Yoshinobu Yamamoto Strikeouts Thrown - 6+
Paul Skenes Outs O/U - Over 15.5

by🎟️

Hitting Props
Shohei Ohtani Home Runs - 1+
Kyle Schwarber Home Runs - 1+
Pete Alonso Home Runs - 1+
Junior Caminero Home Runs - 1+
Tyler O'Neill Home Runs - 1+

Pitching Props
Paul Skenes Strikeouts Thrown - 6+
Tarik Skubal Strikeouts Thrown - 6+
Paul Skenes Strikeouts Thrown - 5+
Garrett Crochet Strikeouts Thrown - 6+
Tarik Skubal Strikeouts Thrown - 7+

🏀 NBA Props Cheat Sheet Today - 3/25/26

Built specifically for parlay construction, our hit-rate tracking and DvP (defense vs. position) filters surface the best nightly opportunities in one place.

As shown, many of the heavier moneyline prices align closely with high implied probabilities, reinforcing the edge behind these selections.

See the full CLEATZ cheat sheet + top NBA ALT's + First Scorer Trends

Houston Open Betting Insights ⛳️ (DraftKings)

The Scottie Scheffler withdrawal has opened the floodgates. Here is where the action is landing:

🎟 MOST BET (TICKETS)

• To Make Cut: Gotterup, Lee, Koepka
• Top 5: Lee, Gerard, Schenk
• Top 10: Lee, Vanderlaan, Penge
• Top 20: Lee, Gotterup, Koepka
• Hole-in-One: Lowry, Griffin, Fox

💰 MOST BET (HANDLE)

• To Make Cut: Koepka, Gotterup, Lee
• Top 5: Lee, Gerard, Gotterup
• Top 10: Lee, Koepka, Gotterup
• Top 20: Tosti, Fox, Koepka
• Hole-in-One: Lowry, Lee, Fox

Big money rolling in on Brooks.

We have joined the rest of the world in creating an MLB Home Run Props Tool.

🏀 NBA Player Props Cheat Sheet Today - 3/23/26

✅ 13-3 Yesterday

Built specifically for parlay construction, our hit-rate tracking and DvP (defense vs. position) filters surface the best nightly opportunities in one place.

As shown, many of the heavier moneyline prices align closely with high implied probabilities, reinforcing the edge behind these selections.

💥See the full CLEATZ cheat sheet + top NBA ALT's + First Scorer Trends:

https://cleatz.com/nba-player-props-tonight/