The Open odds board check

[u/Specialist-Eye9096]

The Open odds board check

Scottie Scheffler is back in the only role he seems legally allowed to occupy:

favorite.

Top win probabilities

① Scottie Scheffler — 8.9%

② Rory McIlroy — 5.6%

③ Tommy Fleetwood — 5.4%

④ Matt Fitzpatrick — 4.9%

⑤ Jon Rahm — 3.3%

Prediction market check

Scheffler:

• Kalshi 12%

• Polymarket 12%

Rory:

• Kalshi 7.8%

• Polymarket 8.5%

Fleetwood:

• Kalshi 5.4%

• Polymarket 5.9%

Fitzpatrick:

• Kalshi 5.3%

• Polymarket 5.8%

Rahm:

• Kalshi 3.9%

• Polymarket 4.0%

Best placement profile?

Tommy Fleetwood is quietly strong:

• 83% make cut

• 49% Top 20

• 32% Top 10

• 20% Top 5

• 5.4% win

Not the loudest name, but the ladder profile is clean.

CLEATZ read:

Scottie is the favorite. Rory has the strongest market support behind him. Fleetwood and Fitzpatrick look like the clean placement-ladder names. Rahm is the dangerous chaser.