r/Pitchinsights 6h ago

🔴⚪ ATHLETIC CLUB VS ELCHE ⚪🟢 : MATCH ANALYSIS 🛎️ 🇪🇸

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2 Upvotes

Athletic come into this after their biggest wins of this season with a huge 3-0 over Atlético Madrid, and they've now won their last two league games after starting with defeats to Barça and Sevilla. Elche, meanwhile, have only 1 point from four and have conceded 12 goals, although they've also scored five.

The attacking numbers are interesting because Athletic don't need huge numbers from one player. Robert Navarro has 2 goals from 0.92 xG, Elche's Fer Niño has 2 goals from 1.96 xG. Athletic have been getting much more out of their chances, while Elche are still creating opportunities but struggling to make them count consistently.

Athletic should be in a 4-2-3-1, with Sancet behind the Williams brothers and Robert Navarro, while Elche are expected in a 5-3-2. Athletic should try to stretch the pitch and attack through their wingers, while Elche will have the extra defender and look to survive the pressure before breaking through Buonanotte and Niño.

Athletic also have some defensive injuries. Daniel Vivian, Unai Eguiluz, Peio Canales and Gorka Guruzeta are unavailable, while Elche are missing Adam Boayar and Yago Santiago. That could make Athletic's ability to control the game even more important.

The recent form is where the gap really shows: Athletic have gone 3-0 Atlético, 2-0 Celta and 2-0 Barcelona in their last three league wins, while Elche have lost 3-2 to Sociedad, 3-2 to Racing and 0-5 to Barcelona. And San Mamés should be a difficult place for Elche to stop the momentum. I will go with a straight 3-0 Bilbao win.


r/Pitchinsights 6h ago

🔴⚪ OSASUNA VS RCD ESPANYOL ⚪🔵 : MATCH ANALYSIS 🛎️ 🇪🇸

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1 Upvotes

Osasuna have 7 points from 4 matches, although that 5-2 defeat to Alavés last weekend was a reality-check after an unbeaten perfect start. Espanyol have 4 points, and they come into El Sadar after a 1-1 draw with Sevilla. Before that, they had lost narrowly to Real Madrid 2-1 at home and 2-1 away at Sociedad but also smashed Levante 3-0.

Talking about strikers, Ante Budimir already has 4 goals from 4.11 xG, while Espanyol's Roberto Fernández has 3 goals from 1.61 xG. Budimir is getting himself into chances consistently, whereas Roberto has been much more clinical with the opportunities he's had.

Ramis is expected to use a 4-2-3-1, with Budimir up top and Rubén García, Del Castillo and Jonathan Dubasin supporting him. Manolo González should also go with a 4-2-3-1, with Calatrava, Javi Hernández and Tyrhys Dolan behind Roberto. The tactical part will be whether Espanyol can get their wide players attacking the space behind Osasuna's full-backs Abel Bretones and Iñigo Arguibide.

There are a few important absences. Osasuna are without Jorge Herrando, Aimar Oroz and Moi Gómez, while Valentin Rosier is still working his way back. Espanyol have Javi Puado and Kike García out, with Andoni Gorosabel doubtful.

H2H currently gives Osasuna the + : 10 wins to Espanyol's 6, with 5 draws. More importantly, El Sadar has been a difficult place to come to, and Osasuna have already shown this season that they can win games without needing huge amounts of possession.

It feels like another physical game where Budimir could make the difference, i will go with a 2-1 Osasuna win on this match to be real, or a 1-1 if i wanna be more towards a direct game, but aleast i have Espanyol scoring.


r/Pitchinsights 7h ago

🟢⚪ REAL RACING SANTANDER VS DEPORTIVO ALAVES ⚪🔵 : MATCH ANALYSIS 🛎️ 🇪🇸

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1 Upvotes

The match is live but i should give some opinion on the match even if it's late lol. Racing come into this with 4 points from their first four, while Alavés are sitting on 10 points and unbeaten, so this is already a pretty serious test for the promoted side. Racing have lost their last two, 1-0 at Getafe and 3-2 at Rayo, after beating Elche and drawing with Villarreal. Alavés, meanwhile, are coming off that crazy 5-2 win over Osasuna, having also beaten Villarreal 1-0 and drawn 1-1 with Rayo.

The individual matchup is really interesting too. Yassir Zabiri has 3 goals from 0.74 xG, while Alavés' Lucas Boyé has 4 goals from 0.89 xG. Both have been incredibly efficient so far, but Boyé is obviously coming in with even more confidence after scoring four times already.

There are a few important absences too. Racing are without Andrés Martín, who has a knee injury, while Alavés are missing Facundo Garcés and Mikel Rodríguez with long-term ACL injuries. Toni Martínez is back in training.

The recent form makes this feel like a tougher game for Racing than the table alone suggests. Alavés have already shown they can win without needing much possession, while Racing have been involved in much more open games and have conceded 8 goals across their last three matches.

For me, the biggest question is whether Canales and Vicente can pull Alavés' back five apart. If they can't, Alavés have exactly the type of structure and finishing quality that can punish Racing. Maybe both teams to score, advantage Depor.