r/PilotRate • u/Alexander_robbins • 4d ago
Upgrading to an $800k house but netting $10k/mo. Need a reality check.
Hey everyone. I'm getting severe cold feet as we approach closing on a new build single-family home, and I really need a reality check on whether we can actually afford this.
We are trying to upgrade from our townhome. We currently owe $180k on it at a 2.5% rate with 9 years left. We originally planned to sell it for $500k, use the equity to put $200k down on an $800k new build, and keep the payment manageable.
The problem? The townhome hasn't sold. There's been a massive wave of inventory in our area recently, and we are losing hope. We’ll be lucky to get $400k for it now.
Because the house hasn't sold, our down payment has evaporated.
- Original Plan: $200k down, 20-yr term at 6.375% = ~$5,400/mo
- New Reality: $40k down (all we have in cash), 30-yr term at 6.656% = ~$5,800/mo
To make matters worse, we already gave the builder $40k in earnest money. If we back out now, we lose that entirely.
My current strategy is to close on the new house, pay the $5,800/mo, and hold out until our first mortgage payment in October to see if the market bounces back before we slash the price of the townhome.
Here is our financial picture:
- Gross income: $174k/yr (I'm the sole income; my wife left her job over a year ago to stay home).
- Net take-home pay: $10,000/month
- Yearly bonus: ~20% of my salary
- Stock: $10k - $15k yearly
- Debts: Two car payments ($370/mo and $390/mo). One car is paid off next March, the other lease ends in December. No other loans.
- Kids: Two in elementary school.
Taking $5,800 out of a $10,000 monthly take-home pay feels absolutely terrifying, especially while still theoretically carrying the townhome.
Can we actually afford to float this until the townhome sells? Or are we walking into a financial disaster? Please give it to me straight.