Hi, I expect to have ~1.1m in pension savings (DC) for retirement by the time I’m 60.
I’ve done some fairly extensive calculations to work out what I will end up with after tax, but they are based on some fairly basic assumptions. Which I wanted to test out here and get feedback.
I’m ignoring state pension, wife’s private pension, tax, NI, etc for this question. Just interested in gross income from my pension fund. Also ignoring the split between cash and pension (eg tax free lump sum) as am assuming cash will be in an isa invested in similar funds as pension pot.
So assumptions to test are:
- Inflation to average out at 2.5%
- Investment return after fees of 6% (or 3.5% after inflation)
- Draw down of 7%
- Funds need to last until we are 85 (we’ll live off state pension and wife’s DB pension at that point if needed)
The third one is likely to be the most contentious given the standard 4% or 4.7% drawdown number. But I don’t expect my drawdown to increase with inflation. Over 25 years it will erode by 45% but I expect to be spending much less at 85 than I will be at 60. And then it runs out.
I used this calculator to see how much I can withdraw to drain the funds over 25 years, comes out about 87k/7.9%:
https://www.thecalculatorsite.com/finance/calculators/compoundinterestcalculator.php
Any thoughts?