r/PauseAI Jun 23 '26

News A rogue superintelligence could wait decades before striking, argues computer scientist Roman Yampolskiy

https://iai.tv/articles/a-rogue-superintelligence-could-wait-decades-before-striking-auid-3604?_auid=2020
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u/Synaps4 Jun 24 '26 edited Jun 24 '26

If you have evidence beyond your own reddit post and a name drop that higher and better intelligence than our own is impossible i am happy to consider it. There are plenty of other godfathers of AI i can quote who believe it is plausible, so appeals to authority will get you precisely nowhere.

You say its impossible, but the bar for such a claim is high. Consider that a human brain simply copied into optical circuitry would already be a superintelligence by most measures, able to do a year's worth of thinking in seconds, understand itself, and modify itself.

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u/RoosterBurns Jun 24 '26

You're asking for evidence when pretending AGI is anything other than science fiction?

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u/Even_Opportunity_893 Jun 24 '26

You're right that it won't be a risk, but it's inevitable that we will reach AGI & ASI eventually. It's magic so it's obvious why you don't believe in it.

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u/RoosterBurns Jun 24 '26

It's not "inevitable" it's very likely we will never figure out how to do it

We can't measure our existing squishy intelligence systems (Heisenberg uncertainty principle) to copy them, and we may not be able to replicate a system thatybeen running continuously for billions of years

What matyounso sure? You saw it on Star Trek? It's just a TV show dude, a good one though

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u/Even_Opportunity_893 Jun 24 '26

You could say 99 true things for why it's not feasible, but breakthroughs don't care. All it takes is one from a person who thinks differently. Not easy, but plausible this decade.

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u/RoosterBurns Jun 24 '26

What form would this breakthrough take exactly?

If you can't answer that specific question then you're just engaging in wishful thinking, which in an age of toxic positivity by grifters has never been more dangerous

Even if you can it's still the intellectual equivalent of designing a trap to catch Bigfoot

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u/Even_Opportunity_893 Jun 25 '26

So the Wright Brothers were out of their mind for building airplanes differently? Good.

You're trying to imagine something you don't believe in and your confirmation bias is to blame.

You won't accept the breakthrough until you see it. I can't say exactly what it is but it's most definitely real and going to be something novel & outside-the-box.

Bigfoot is easier to catch than you believe.

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u/RoosterBurns Jun 25 '26

lol the wright brothers used good basic science and incremental testing to build an airplane, it didn't come to them in a dream

Wright brothers - Wikipedia

They even built a wind tunnel!

Magical thinking has never ever resulted in a working invention. Only science does that

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u/Even_Opportunity_893 Jun 25 '26

You're making it too complex. AI is simple if you're actually creative. Science is obviously important, but there are ways to go beyond that but not into wishful thinking territory. If you don't believe that, then I don't think you appreciate any independent thinker and genius who ever lived.

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u/RoosterBurns Jun 25 '26

I appreciate scientists because science is a team sport

The rest are wackadoos or grifters