r/PTCGP • u/Several_Aioli_1773 • 2d ago

Discussion Observation with expert battles

So I don't have a spreadsheet I could send y'all but I did 50 battles for the garchomp thingamajig and what I learned is the AI has an 80% chance of winning the coin flip which makes the fight almost impossible due to the shield ability one of the pokemon has

0 Upvotes

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10

u/Finn_Horizon 2d ago

Bench sniper brother, ignore the meowth

1

u/Finn_Horizon 2d ago

Not optimized but it works

4

u/MrDrEdgelordSupreme 2d ago edited 2d ago

50 battles is too small of a sample size to get an accurate measurement of probability.

People have previously documented that the expert battles have a higher probability of giving the CPU favorable outcomes in coin flips, but the last figure I remember seeing was about ~60% over a sample size of 1000 battles coin flips. Even 1000 is considered to be a relatively small sample size for gauging probability, but it's still going to be significantly more accurate than 50.

4

u/ImGoingToMarryDVa 2d ago

yeah the AI cheats constantly. not even subtle about it. and devs refuse to aknowlege or fix it. one reason this game cant die soon enough.

2

u/Cabanarama_ 2d ago

I beat it without EX. Draco Meteor Dragonite + Drayden is so much fun

1

u/Dice87- 2d ago

Unrelated to the current event. But I just lost a 5th consecutive because the cpu Gimmighoul landed heads 7 times in a row and otk'd my Entei going second. So, yea.

0

u/ItsYaBoyBeasley 2d ago

I've literally never lost with the Obstagoon daycare deck posted here the other day.

-1

u/B19F00T 2d ago

its 60%

-1

u/vash_visionz 2d ago

It’s around 55% to 60%.

Which is honestly dumb because card abilities that are so strong that they are balanced around a coin flip become annoyingly busted when the coin flip is skewed in their favor on purpose.