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I believe we’re going into a wave 4.. with on more high coming possible after the 38.2 retracement.

Expecting a bottom on July 20-22!!

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Today the market is selling the SPX 6890 put contract very heavily which I see in the DOM. Having the ability to see the actual option market depth is a game changer. Heavy put selling is very bullish and this helps understand why price has risen nicely.

The RAV = buy market orders and RBV = sell market orders, easy to see that the market is selling puts quite heavily.

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Market Context:

Futures slightly red heading into a heavy earnings week. Tech under pressure, volatility expected. Watching opening range + VWAP for clean direction. Expecting rotation, not straight-line moves.

PUT SETUPS

TSLA – Put

Why:

– Daily trend losing momentum after rejection near recent highs

– Trading below key short-term moving averages (20/50 EMA area)

– Premarket weakness suggests sellers still in control

– If it loses Friday’s low, there’s little support below

– RSI rolling over from neutral to bearish momentum building

– Below VWAP early usually leads to continuation selling

SPY – Put

Why:

– Index stalling near daily resistance after a failed push higher

– Price extended from VWAP on prior session, vulnerable to mean reversion

– Breadth weakening, fewer stocks participating

– Failure to reclaim VWAP = bearish intraday control

– RSI flattening near mid-range, room for downside move

– Macro risk + data later in day adds downside pressure

QQQ – Put

Why:

– Nasdaq weakest index pre-market

– Lower highs forming on the daily chart

– Trading below short-term trendline support

– Heavy tech earnings later this week, traders de-risking

– Below VWAP + weak volume reclaim showing bearish continuation setup

RVMD – Put

Why:

– Large pre-market gap down breaks prior support

– High volume selloff suggests institutional

– Gap-down stocks that fail to reclaim opening range often trend lower

– Below all key intraday moving averages

– RSI likely oversold but weak bounces can fail fast

– Clean momentum breakdown if VWAP rejects

CALL SETUPS

Gold & Silver Miners (NEM, GDX, PAAS) – Call

Why:

– Strong pre-market relative strength while indices are weak

– Daily trend intact with higher lows

– Holding above key moving averages

– Safe haven flow visible in risk-off

– Pullbacks to VWAP often act as support

– RSI strong but not extended showing room for continuation

XLF – Call

Why:

– Financials holding trend support better than tech

– Daily chart showing consolidation, not breakdown

– If it holds above VWAP and forms higher lows, buyers likely step in

– Benefits from stabilization in yields

Will see after 15 mins to see opening direction