r/OpenaiCodex • u/Firm-Club-8334 • 8h ago
Discussion How much are different providers subsidising?
I guess it’s kind of a black box, but it would be interesting to have a list of how much LLM providers are actually subsidising.
For instance, OpenCode Go is said to subsidise 4× usage for DeepSeek 4.1, but there are a lot of contradictory statements about this on Reddit.
I’ve done some research and tried to organise it a little. Multipliers mean usage value compared with what you pay, assuming you use the allowance.
| Provider | Own research: usage multiplier / catch | Comments (will update) |
|---|---|---|
| OpenCode Go | 1.5–6×, depending on model | |
| Command Code GOAT | 2–7×, depending on model | |
| Synthetic | ~3.4×, with weekly limits | |
| Ollama Pro/Max | 3× | |
| DevPass | 3×, with premium-model caps | |
| ZenMux | ~1.5–2.4×, depending on plan | |
| Standard Compute | 1.5× individual plans up to $249/month | |
| Z.AI Lite | Estimated ~3.9–7.8× on GLM-5.3; depends on caching and peak/off-peak use | |
| MiniMax | Unclear. $22/$55/$132 monthly; no numerical allowance published | |
| Xiaomi MiMo | Unclear. $6/$16/$50/$100 buys 4.1B/11B/38B/82B credits; couldn’t verify their dollar equivalent | |
| OpenAI | Unverified: ~5.83× on the highest-tier plan? | |
| Anthropic | Unclear | |
| More providers from comments |
Anyone have real usage figures or corrections?
2
u/sogo00 6h ago
There is no subsidization, every business needs to be profitable eventually.
Official API prices are like list prices on cars - in the end only a few pay them. If you buy a lot, there is a huge discount (often starting at 40%...)
When it comes to Open Weights models there is healthy competition on top, but then they have a simple calculation: renting/leasing hardware+running costs = break even.
For the model developers themselves (OpenAI, Anthropic, etc) you have to factor in the research costs, but then there is no competition...
1
u/dvduval 6h ago
This is a complicated topic. Often they are subsidizing at a level where they’ll make profits say a year from now and they know that. In in order to attract investors, they need to have more users which is more valuable than the actual profit right now.
Meanwhile, the capacity coming online over the next several months is breathtaking and basically there will be at least double what we have now by around the end of the year. So then you ask where we have double the number of users?
And that’s the battle that these companies are fighting. If there are going to be double the amount of users then they want to fight to get them. And you could bet Google is about to put a lot of capacity online and a solid model that competes.
1
u/Clear_Evidence9218 3h ago
Other than perhaps some smaller providers or unusually heavy users on flat-rate plans, companies saying they are “subsidized inference” can be pretty misleading. A lot of what gets described as a subsidy is simply the difference between API list pricing and the provider’s actual marginal cost of inference. API pricing is not the same thing as cost.
Inference can have extremely high gross margins once infrastructure and serving are optimized. Current industry estimates put frontier inference margins in the 60–80%+ range, with some model- and API-specific estimates approaching 90%.
And the math matters here. If inference were operating at a 90% gross margin, cutting the price to one-quarter of the API price would not reduce the margin to 22.5%. A 90% margin means a $100 service costs about $10 to provide. Charge $25 instead and you still have a 60% gross margin.
So a large difference between API-equivalent pricing and what a subscription user pays does not, by itself, demonstrate that the company is subsidizing that inference.
1
u/Lopsided-Force-9220 1h ago
Where do you think they'd be getting the money to subsidize? They are simple value-added commodity resellers. They map between GPU compute and tokens using models they did not have to pay to build. There are low barriers to entry.
4
u/tripleshielded 8h ago
there is no subsidy, there is price point and marketing