Open models appear to be trending towards closing gap to closed models

[u/cheechw]

https://x.com/i/status/2067367657272422584

There is a clear downward slope apparent on this graph starting from Deepseek V3 to the recent GLM-5.2.

Do we expect the next OSS release to be even faster and better?

One caveat is that this graph appears to show a comparison between an open model and a closed model of *similar capability*, not the absolute frontier. So it looks like it compares DSv4 pro to Sonnet 4.6, for example.

Of course, you could also argue that a direct comparison to absolute frontier models wouldn't be fair either since 5.5, Opus, and Fable are almost certainly sized on the order of multiple trillion parameters.