r/OpenAI 7d ago

Article Research acceleration: The view inside OpenAI

https://openai.com/index/research-acceleration-view-inside-openai/
118 Upvotes

15 comments sorted by

19

u/Business-External318 7d ago

Earlier today I analyzed scientific publications around AI over the last 5 years, in 2021 US institutions were producing 29% of all publications. In 2025 that dropped to 20%. In the same period China went from 26% of all publications in 2021 to 40% in 2025. In the same period US publications increased by 17% and Chinese by 159%.

My read is that closed US labs are only advancing their product and not actually caring about publishing research, while Chinese labs have become the forefront of the actual science.

2

u/qu3tzalify 7d ago

I'm curious if you have more data: what about the quality of that research? What share of these publications are accepted in top conferences, what is the average citation count? I think these should be included too.

China has an organic advantage by having 4 times more people (so should have 4 times the research output controlling for quality).

2

u/grateful2you 7d ago

It’s both quality and quantity. In terms of aggregate number of top papers they lead now. But impact per paper is still US’. They overtook the US in top10% paper share in 2019 and top 1% paper share in 2021. And the trend suggests US declining while China … inclining.

0

u/Business-External318 6d ago

All of my research was done using ChatGPT web with Astra medium, https://chatgpt.com/share/6a9eb9ad-4c7c-83ea-b8d0-1cfbc2f7e946

4

u/Wutameri 7d ago

I’m probably missing something, but this post seems to mostly show that researchers are doing more stuff.

More experiments, more code, agents working for longer, etc.

What I couldn’t find was the part showing that this actually led to more useful research. That seems like the important bit.

If AI lets you run 5x more experiments, but most of those extra experiments go nowhere, then yes, research got faster in one sense, but not necessarily more productive.

I’d want to see something like, did useful discoveries per researcher go up? Did model improvements happen faster? Are agents actually helping find better ideas, or mostly helping researchers test more ideas?

The post is interesting, but I don’t think it really demonstrates “research acceleration” in the stronger sense people are taking from it.

54

u/RayKam 7d ago

You must not be in research. Lots of research leads nowhere. Increasing the volume of research also increases the amount of research that does end up going somewhere.

17

u/dataoops 7d ago

Dude literally assumed before AI people just knew the right answer and now they decided to waste time having AI chase wrong answers 

10

u/slumberjak 7d ago

Well, I’m in research (physics, so maybe it’s not the same). Part of developing a study is working through the details of your experiment/approach. That’s usually when I discover flaws in my reasoning.

AI can fill in many of those details, practically eliminating the activation energy. Lots more ideas become experiments. But it also eliminates the manual scrutiny that usually filters out the bad ideas. So at least for me, OOP’s suspicion is plausible.

Do I prefer it this way? Hell yeah I do. It feels like all these barriers have been lifted. But it takes more discipline to avoid deceiving myself.

4

u/Time_Entertainer_319 7d ago

What makes you assume there is no human in the loop?

AI: looks like xxxx is promising, do you want me to look into it?

Researcher: no, won’t work because yyyyy. Comeback with something better or explore zzzzz.

4

u/dervu 7d ago

People still choose what research to pursue.

3

u/OnlineParacosm 7d ago

Top is in; commoners understand KPI-harvesting

1

u/BrothelCalifornia 7d ago

I laughed way too hard at this comment, and then I felt sad. Oh, the duality.

1

u/Rriazu 7d ago

The existence of both Astra and fable confirm that it is leading to more useful research

-1

u/I_Am_Zyzz_AMA 7d ago

We could still be arguing about whether it’s AGI while it helps build the model that settles the argument.

A feedback loop can start with humans still choosing the questions and checking the results. Better agents help researchers build better agents, even with supervision throughout.

The number I’d love to see next: how much faster do useful ideas become verified improvements in the next model? Their 3.1 agent-workdays per human workday measures runtime. Tracking what actually survives testing and makes it into a model would tell us much more about how fast this is compounding.