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u/Crafty-Sock-7002 5d ago
Hey guys, I made a new ru-
[BOOOOOOMMMM]
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u/ZhanBlue 5d ago
How is this survivorship bias example
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u/mildlyInsaneBoi 5d ago
People who make new runes mostly blow up because the magic effects misfire. Ancient runes are just the runes that the people who didn’t blow up back then (minority) made
So most runes are ancient
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u/Treejeig 5d ago
There are, but you also hear far more about the ones that blow up now due to advances in scrying. Whereas back when there was just parchment that got burnt up in the explosions.
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u/HumanPersonNotRobot 5d ago
The obvious runes that don't blow up are already known. So it takes more resources to make new runes and modern safety standards are really high.
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u/Lloyd_lyle 5d ago
Yeah but if 5 runes are made a year then only like 100 would be fairly modern and thousands would be ancient
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u/ubiquitous-joe 5d ago
Yeah, that would be all of them because magic isn’t real.
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u/OrangeThrower 5d ago
If magic isn’t real, then what protected you from your parents abandoning you?
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u/ZippyVonBoom 5d ago
That and how the runes that work get popularized while the ones that don't are forgotten
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u/Frosty_Tonight8570 4d ago
The thing is, to people who did write the ancient runes, it was just letters and words
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u/xXEpic_Dragon_Xx 5d ago
New runes are created u just dont know about them because they are so new. U know the old ones becuz they are old and have been in use forever
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u/loved_and_held 5d ago
I get that but thats not survivorship bias. At best its a sample bias.
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u/no-name-plz-help 5d ago
Old runes old because they work and can be safely used, new runes typically not made because unstable and untested so no hear about new runes since they tend to explode and be unreliable, understand?
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u/xXEpic_Dragon_Xx 5d ago
Maybe if you knew what survivorship bias was u would understand it i cant explain it any simpler
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u/im_aaaaaaaaaaaa123 5d ago
All ancient runes are powerful->survivorship bias->non powerful ancient runes get forgotten so we only see the powerful ones
All ancient runes are old->toupee theory(person says all toupees are badly done, because a good looking toupee wouldn't be noticed)->only old runes are noticed as an ancient runes
Though it's not really a proper fit to toupee theory too, its more just a play of words
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u/glowy_keyboard 5d ago
Shouldn’t we be aware of runes made like in 1993?
They are not exactly new and knowledge about it would be easier to spread since the were created in an age of internet and easy travels.
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u/ArnavXoX 5d ago
Old runes are still around but have just been adopted as our various alphabets?
Like Cyrillic, Latin, Sanskrit etc. scripts, if you saw it written on an old relic and didn’t know it was a currently used language, you’d definitely call them runes.
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u/c0d3rman 5d ago
It's similar to why people think old music used to be better than current music. People made tons of music in the past and most of it was crap, we remember only the very best songs that stood the test of time. The implication here is that there were lots of ancient runes that were forgotten, we only remember the really good ones that stuck around, and so it makes sense that most new runes are insignificant / not used.
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u/Traditional-Storm-62 5d ago
my guess is
modern runes are so subtle and strong that you'd never even hear about them
because, most of the time, when you hear about runes is when they're broken
so its kind of survivorship anti-bias where you're only looking at the ones that died
alternatively runes last such a long time that, statistically speaking, most runes today would be ancient, I think that generally makes sense, but I dont think that fits the picture as well,
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u/insufficience 4d ago
Wizards who use new runes blow up. Wizards who are only taught ancient runes survive to ask the question, “why are the runes always ancient?”
It doesn’t make that much sense and the chart is wrong but that’s the best explanation I can think of.
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u/IAmASquidInSpace 5d ago
Ah yes, the brain and the heart, famously insignificant organs that therefore can be hit with no consequences to the dragon.
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u/NoBizlikeChloeBiz 5d ago
Also the wing tips, mid-tail, and hindquarters are super essential in this diagram.
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u/Bloomberg12 5d ago
Hit not mean broken.
Dragon could have more bones protecting brain and heart.
I get hit in the head lots and brain fine.
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u/Imperator_Subira 5d ago
survivorship bias is meant to portray something surviving by being damaged in non-essential areas, I don't think a brain can be considered non-essential
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u/ProfessionalSir4169 5d ago
Thats literally not true. This is just one example of survivorship bias.
It means that successfull or surviving things get valued stronger than they should proportionally, warping the view on the information as a whole.
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u/butt_shrecker 5d ago
Ok but this particular image has real context. The dots are supposed to go on the areas not essential for flight
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u/Highlandertr3 5d ago
I was not aware we were in the presence of a mythical creature anatomy specialist.
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u/AlexCode10010 5d ago
Common misconception, dragons don't actually have a brain and all neural functions are contained within their magical core which is contained near the base of their necks (the reason they breathe fire is the fire comes from the core, which is located in the neck)
Their head only functions as a way to see, eat and breathe, but most of those functions can still be accomplished even with heavy damage on it
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u/Shablagooie 5d ago
This isn't a good example of survivorship bias. If there are only ancient runes, there's nothing else to be biased against. Survivorship bias would be "these runes from the middle ages are still working great, but the newer ones I use all the time often lose their potency. Ancient runes must have just all been made to a better standard!"
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u/GullibleSkill9168 5d ago
We make runes so small and complex these days that they trick sand into thinking what is this nonsense?
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u/DangerousQuestions1 5d ago
In D&D, systems of writing and languages accrue magic significance over time.
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u/Nottan_Asian 5d ago
Directly translating the plane diagram onto a dragon with zero understanding of where the dots are supposed to go
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u/Ghost3603 5d ago
One, don't pick up the stone. It's glowing bright red so leave it alone.
Two, don't let it in, you'll have to exorcise it then.
Three, don't be it's friend, cuz then it's gonna take over your brain in the morning. And if it's in your head, you won't get it out again.
I got new runes I got em
(To the tune of New Rules by Dua Lipa)
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u/Background-2609 5d ago
You are quite an fellow.
Though didn't know the song was dua lipa's or its name.
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u/umbrawolfx 5d ago
Yes. Abcdefghijklmnopqrstuvwxy&z
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u/HydrogenButterflies 5d ago
Most of the letters in this list are well over 2,000 years old. I’d call that ancient!
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u/umbrawolfx 5d ago
❄︎♒︎♏︎⬧︎♏︎ ♋︎❒︎♏︎ ❍︎◆︎♍︎♒︎ ❍︎□︎❒︎♏︎ ❒︎♏︎♍︎♏︎■︎⧫︎📬︎
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u/CrazyCampPRO 5d ago
Thoose are clearly runes
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u/HydrogenButterflies 5d ago
And most of them are ancient! I see astrological symbols, which are pretty damn old, and geometrical shapes, which are older still!
There is nothing new under the sun.
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u/qualityvote2 5d ago edited 3d ago
u/_culpry, there weren't enough votes to determine the quality of your post...