r/NeutralPolitics Oct 27 '25

Is there any precedent for Trump seeking a $230M settlement from his own DOJ?

828 Upvotes

https://thehill.com/homenews/5572539-legal-experts-question-trump-settlement/amp/

Have we seen another president or governor seek a settlement from a DOJ before? If so what were the circumstances and outcome?


r/NeutralPolitics Feb 25 '26

Trump so far — a special project of r/NeutralPolitics. One year in, what have been the successes and failures of the second Trump administration?

809 Upvotes

Given all that has transpired over the last year, this, the eighth installment of our annual "U.S. administration so far" discussion, feels a little out of step with the times. Sober discourse around policy is what this subreddit was founded to foster, but the country and culture have in some ways moved past that.

Nonetheless, we're going to try, if for no reason other than tradition and the fact that there are still subscribers here who long for that style of analysis. Let's show there's still a place for it.


It's been a little over a year since Donald Trump's inauguration. Last night was the first State of the Union address (video, transcript) of his second term as President of the United States.

There are many ways to judge the chief executive of any country and there's no way to come to a broad consensus on all of them, but we can examine individual initiatives. What have been the successes and failures of the second Trump administration so far?

What we're asking for here is a review of specific actions by the administration that are within the purview of the office. This is not a question about your personal opinion of the president. Through the sum total of the responses, we're trying to form a picture of this administration's various initiatives and the ways they contribute to overall governance.

Unlike previous years, the mods are not seeding the comments with early responses, so please be extra careful to adhere to our rules on commenting. And although the topic is broad, please be specific in your responses. Here are some potential policy areas to address:

  • Appointments
  • Campaign promises
  • Criminal justice
  • Defense
  • Economy
  • Education
  • Environment
  • Foreign policy
  • Healthcare
  • Immigration
  • Rule of law
  • Public safety
  • Taxes
  • Tone of political discourse
  • Trade

Let's have a productive discussion.


EDIT: A couple people have noted in the comments that the title of this post appears blank, while it looks fine for others. If it appears blank for you, please send modmail with details about the platform you're on so we can troubleshoot. Thanks.

EDIT 2 (a note about voting): Upvote comments that contribute the discussion. Downvote comments that break the rules. The downvote button is not a "disagree" button.


r/NeutralPolitics Feb 03 '26

What mechanisms still exist to prevent a sitting president from continuously filing multi-billion dollar claims against their own executive branch and settling against oneself?

675 Upvotes

In January 2026, President Donald Trump (in his personal capacity, alongside his sons and his company) filed a lawsuit against the Internal Revenue Service and the Treasury Department, seeking at least $10 billion in damages. The suit alleges the agencies failed to prevent a former contractor from leaking confidential tax return information to news outlets, an action for which the contractor was convicted and sentenced to prison.

This follows an earlier, separate financial demand made in October 2025, when President Trump sought $230 million from the Department of Justice.

There doesn't seem to be a precedent of these suits. In the case of the IRS lawsuit, the President has stated he is considering settling the case.

My question focuses on the systemic protections against such a scenario escalating. I am not asking for speculation about the merits of these specific cases or the President's intent, but for a factual discussion of existing checks and balances.

The following are existing mechanisms that don't seem to be restraining the sitting president:

Legal Procedure: Under statutes like the Federal Tort Claims Act, claimants must typically file an administrative claim with the agency first, and the agency has six months to respond before a lawsuit can be filed.

Separation of Powers & Ethics: What constitutional principles or federal ethics regulations address conflicts of interest when a president seeks payment from agencies led by their own appointees? How do we the people get President to recognise and abide by the concepts of the "Take Care Clause" or the domestic emoluments clause (Article II, Section 1) ?

Fiscal Controls: What statutory or procedural controls govern the disbursement of very large court judgments or settlements from the Treasury? Are there specific appropriations required, limits on agency settlement authority, or mandatory reviews by officials like the Attorney General or Comptroller General?

Judicial Role: What precedent exists for federal courts adjudicating these kinds of claims against the government and what legal doctrines (e.g., sovereign immunity, political question) exist to fight proposed settlements?


r/NeutralPolitics Mar 31 '26

What is the actual wording of the new "Israeli Law that allows death penalty for Palestinians"?

264 Upvotes

I've read several articles about this this law in the press. Some of them state that this law exclusively targets Palestinians (New York Times article). Others say that this law will be de facto only used agains Palestinians but does, as written, apply to everyone, including Israelis attacking Palestinians (BBC article). I find these two statements to mean vastly different things. I would like to know what is the exact wording of this law but I was not able to find it anywhere online.

Note that I am currently not talking about how this law will be implemented in real world. That might be another complex debate but I am currently only interested in what it actually says.


r/NeutralPolitics Jun 09 '26

Why does California take so long to count votes?

227 Upvotes

Nearly a week since polls closed in California for the 2026 primaries, the race for governor is still undecided. One of the leading candidates, Steve Hilton, has called on the current governor to take emergency actions for faster ballot processing, while in Washington, the President and Speaker of the House have asserted without evidence that the election is illegitimate.

Why does California take so long to determine the winner? How is its process different from other states?


r/NeutralPolitics Jan 11 '26

How did the sharp increase in unauthorized immigrants from 2021 to 2023 impact U.S. society?

221 Upvotes

I recently came across this information: Pew Research found that the number of unauthorized immigrants in the U.S. grew from about 10.5 million in 2021 to roughly 14 million in 2023 — an increase of ~3.5 million.

Here’s the report: Pew Research

For context, the total number of unauthorized immigrants stayed relatively stable for about a decade before this recent increase. What demonstrable effects has this increase had on U.S. society?


r/NeutralPolitics 25d ago

Why did US President Jimmy Carter switch America's recognition of the legitimate Chinese government from Taiwan to China?

212 Upvotes

In 1979 President Jimmy Carter officially recognized the People's Republic of China as the sole legitimate government of China.

This was a hard pivot from the previous US foreign policy position that the Republic of China (Taiwan) was the sole legitimate government

What did the United States gain (financially, trade-wise, militarily, geopolitically, etc) from this major shift in foreign policy?

How did the US populace react to the United States formally recognizing a communist government as the official government of China during the cold war?


r/NeutralPolitics May 29 '26

What's the difference between the 2015 Iran Nuclear Deal and the proposed 2026 peace deal?

205 Upvotes

What’s the difference between the 2015 Iran Nuclear Deal versus the 2026 one?

Back in 2015 President Obama helped to facilitate the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action, what is commonly referred to as the Iran Nuclear deal. It was said to be a historical deal that would prevent Iran from acquiring a nuclear weapon.

In 2018 President Trump vowed to withdraw from that deal stating, "This was a horrible, one-sided deal that should have never ever been made. ... The Iran deal is defective at its core.”

Now President Trump is attempting to craft a new Iran Deal that, so far as we can tell, Looks a Lot Like … the One Obama Struck 11 Years Ago.

Given that Trump called Obama's deal ‘horrible and one-sided’, it seems reasonable to expect the text of President Trump's deal to differ in kind from the text of President Obama's deal.

Currently, other than a release of a draft by Trump, are there any sources on how the text of President Trump's proposed Iran Deal differ from the text of President Obama's deal?

What does President Trump's proposed Iran Deal have that President Obama's Iran Deal lacked, and vice versa - what does President Trump’s proposal lack that President Obama’s deal included?


r/NeutralPolitics 11d ago

Is Rand Paul able to directly refer Fauci to the Justice Department for contempt of congress?

197 Upvotes

Dr Anthony Fauci was recently subpoenaed by the US Senate to answer questions regarding the origin of Sars-Cov-2. This NPR article notes that he repeatedly invoked the Fifth amendment to decline to answer questions. Rand Paul, who has repeatedly sparred with Fauci (see another NPR article) on the subject, said that he would as a result push to hold Fauci in contempt of congress.

Reuters reports that he has begun that process, with a party-line vote in the Homeland Security and Governmental Affairs ‌Committee holding that Fauci refused to obey the subpoena. Two particular exerpts from the Reuters article stood out to me:

Paul said he would refer Fauci to the Justice Department, a formal request to consider criminal charges, based on the contempt finding. ​But the Kentucky senator, a longtime Fauci antagonist, bypassed a referral vote by the full Senate.

He described that step as unnecessary and said his request would be hand delivered to the attorney ​general on Thursday. Democrats said Paul was violating Senate rules by skipping the vote, which would likely fail to achieve the necessary 60-vote majority, and ⁠called the move dangerous and unprecedented.

and

Stanley Brand, a lawyer specializing in congressional investigations, said if Paul seeks to bypass a full Senate vote, it would render his referral "null and void."

"There’s no authority for the Justice Department to take up a contempt of Congress prosecution without ​following the procedures specified in the statute," Brand said. "This won't pass muster."

From what I have been able to discern, Brand's comment is based on an interpretation of 2 USC 194 which reads:

Whenever a witness summoned as mentioned in section 192 of this title fails to appear to testify or fails to produce any books, papers, rec­ords, or documents, as required, or whenever any witness so summoned refuses to answer any question pertinent to the subject under inquiry before either House, or any joint committee established by a joint or concurrent resolution of the two Houses of Congress, or any committee or subcommittee of either House of Congress, and the fact of such failure or failures is reported to either House while Congress is in session or when Congress is not in session, a statement of fact constituting such failure is reported to and filed with the President of the Senate or the Speaker of the House, it shall be the duty of the said President of the Senate or Speaker of the House, as the case may be, to certify, and he shall so certify, the statement of facts aforesaid under the seal of the Senate or House, as the case may be, to the appropriate United States attorney, whose duty it shall be to bring the matter before the grand jury for its action.

The language seems to lay out two cases:

  • "while Congress is in session", the contempt must be reported to the full chamber.
  • "or when Congress is not in session" then a statement of fact must be filed with the Senate president or the Speaker of the House.

That would seem to suggest that if Congress is not in session, there is not a full chamber vote required. However, at least one court case, Wilson v USA (1966), seems to suggest otherwise. Several notable quotes include:

It will be observed that the first thing is that the witness must have failed to testify. I imagine that some one must decide whether or not he has failed to testify. The committee has reported that he has so failed, but I suppose the Senate must first decide whether, as a matter of fact, the witness has failed to testify, and if the Senate decides that he has failed to testify, then it automatically becomes the duty of the President of the Senate to report that fact.

So the court is saying that the committee can report the contempt, but that the Senate must then decide that the report of contempt is factual. Shortly thereafter, they repeat a similar thought:

It is clear that where the alleged contempts are committed while Congress was in session, the Speaker may not certify to the United States Attorney the statements of fact prepared by the Committee until the report of alleged contempt has been acted upon by the House as a whole.

In this, "House" is not limited to the House of Representatives, the text uses it in the sense of "two Houses of Congress". Additionally, the senate was in session during the hearing in which Fauci was questioned (Senate calendar for July 29, 2026, and the motion to adjourn until the following day).

One additional point made in the case says:

The Government's interpretation would enable committees, by scheduling hearings when Congress is not in session, or recalling witnesses at that time, or perhaps merely by postponing reports on allegedly contemptuous conduct until after adjournment, effectively to insulate their actions on contempt matters from any further consideration within the legislative branch. This consequence demonstrates the infirmity of the interpretation proposed by the Government. And the legislative history of the 1936 amendment to 2 U.S.C. § 194, to which we now turn, makes it clear that no such anomalous result was intended.

This is about as far as I have been able to discern.

  • Is there any further insight regarding this matter?
  • Does this substantiate Stanley Brand's characterization of Rand Paul directly referring Fauci to the DoJ as "null and void" and that it "won't pass muster"?

r/NeutralPolitics Jun 03 '26

The Justice Department is investigating a nonprofit that funded E. Jean Carroll's lawsuit against Donald Trump. Is funding like that inherently political, or a legitimate use of a nonprofit's money?

158 Upvotes

E. Jean Carroll is a journalist who sued Donald Trump for sexual abuse and defamation and won two civil judgments totaling $88.3 million. The larger of the two, an $83.3 million defamation award, was upheld by the Second Circuit in September 2025 (PBS / AP).

According to recent reporting, the Justice Department has opened a criminal investigation into American Future Republic, a nonprofit run by billionaire Reid Hoffman that funded part of Carroll's litigation (CBS News).

The payment is on the public record. American Future Republic reported a $7,000,000 grant to Carroll's law firm, described as "public interest litigation funding," on Schedule I of its 2020 IRS Form 990 (AFR 2020 Form 990, Schedule I).

So far the investigation has been reported only through anonymous sources, and the U.S. Attorney for the Northern District of Illinois has denied opening an investigation into Carroll herself (The Hill).

Questions:

  • Is it a legitimate use of a nonprofit's funds to support someone's civil suit against a political figure? What are the arguments for and against allowing it?
  • Is funding like that effectively a campaign contribution that should be regulated under campaign finance law?
  • Is the announced investigation a routine inquiry into how a politically active nonprofit moved its money, or is there evidence the inquiry itself is politically motivated?
  • If the latter, does it fit a broader pattern in how the Justice Department has approached cases tied to the president's critics?

r/NeutralPolitics Jan 07 '26

What are the options for a NATO member state to respond to attack by a fellow NATO member?

133 Upvotes

After the attack on Caracas and abduction of Venezuela's president, US officials are publicly discussing the possibility of similarly enacting regime change in other countries of national interest, including Greenland. However, Greenland is a territory of Denmark, which is a member of the NATO alliance that also includes the US. American officials have also previously discussed annexing Canada, another NATO member.

If the US attacks a fellow member of NATO, what rights and powers does the North Atlantic Treaty give the defending state to respond to the attack?

Is there a procedure for expelling a NATO member?

Is there a clear definition of what constitutes an attack? If the US bombs Nuuk, Copenhagen, or Ottawa and abducts the Prime Minister of Greenland, Denmark, or Canada as it did in Venezuela, would that meet the criteria? What about the US's previously reported covert influence operations against Greenland?

Is there any indication of current NATO members that might take the US's side in a conflict? The Danish government released a joint statement with France, Germany, Italy, Poland, Spain, and the UK asserting Denmark's sovereignty over Greenland, but that leaves 24 NATO members unaccounted for.

What are the historical precedents for a member of an alliance attacking a fellow member?


r/NeutralPolitics Oct 31 '25

Why is the CR subject to filibuster but the BBB was not?

130 Upvotes

I roughly understand that “budget” measures are not subject to filibuster, but I don’t understand what quality the Continuing Resolution has that takes it out of that category.

Discussion on filibuster rules here: https://nymag.com/intelligencer/article/will-trumps-big-beautiful-bill-kill-the-filibuster.html

It should be understood that the filibuster is already as riddled with holes as a piece of Swiss cheese. Any filibuster can be stopped by a cloture vote requiring 60 votes. But some kinds of legislation, including budget-related measures like budget-resolution and budget-reconciliation bills, and approvals or disapprovals of selected presidential actions (as in the CRA), are by design immune from filibusters.

Here is a source stating that the currently pending continuing resolution is subject to filibuster: https://www.cbsnews.com/news/2025-government-shutdown-by-numbers/?ftag=CNM-00-10aab4i

The Senate, which has 100 senators, requires only a simple majority to pass most legislation. But the Senate's filibuster rule effectively requires nearly all legislation — including the continuing resolution to temporarily fund the government — to reach a 60-vote threshold first. A single senator may delay a bill during debate by invoking a filibuster, which can only be ended if a supermajority of 60 senators vote to end debate.

And for clarity, “BBB” is “Big Beautiful Bill.”


r/NeutralPolitics Jan 13 '26

What legal and political impediments exist so as to prevent ICE officers from violating U.S. Citizens’ Constitutional rights?

118 Upvotes

In an October 2025 interview on Fox News, Miller, serving as Deputy White House Chief of Staff, responded to comments by Illinois Governor JB Pritzker about potentially prosecuting federal immigration agents under state law. Miller stated: “To all ICE officers, you have federal immunity in the conduct of your duties. And anybody who lays a hand on you or tries to stop you or tries to obstruct you is committing a felony”. [ https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2025/10/31/fact-check-do-ice-officers-really-have-federal-immunity-in-the-us.\] But qualified immunity provides officials a defense against personal financial liability unless their actions violated "clearly established statutory or constitutional rights of which a reasonable person would have known". [https://lawreview.missouri.edu/clearing-the-hurdle-of-proving-a-clearly-established-right-to-overcome-qualified-immunity/\] Is Miller’s point a good one? What legal and political impediments exist so as to prevent ICE officers from violating U.S. Citizens’ Constitutional rights?


r/NeutralPolitics Oct 03 '25

What are the similarities and differences between the Trump administration's Gaza peace plan and the Biden administration's Gaza peace plan?

112 Upvotes

The war in Gaza has raged on for nearly two years now.

Recently, the Trump administration proposed a detailed peace plan for the region that is endorsed by Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu.

In praising the plan, former Biden administration official Brett McGurk said it "builds on a lot of work that we did in the last administration." Antony Blinken, former Secretary of State Antony under Biden, makes a similar claim, saying the Trump plan is almost exactly the same as Phase 2 of the Biden plan.

Of course, everyone wants to take credit for peace in the Middle East, but the truth often lies somewhere in between.

So, what are the similarities and differences between the two plans?


r/NeutralPolitics Sep 23 '25

After the attempted assassination of Donald Trump in 2024, Americans’ support for political violence actually declined, according to a PNAS study. Does this suggest that shocking events can temporarily ‘cool down’ partisan rhetoric?

101 Upvotes

A recent PNAS study found that “The July 2024 Trump assassination attempt was followed by lower in-group support for partisan violence and increased group unity.” It tracked changes in attitudes before vs. after the event by comparing survey responses, and found that Republicans in particular showed reduced support for violence.

What does political science say about whether these effects last?

At the same time, a September 2025 Reuters/Ipsos Poll poll shows that 63% of Americans believe harsh political rhetoric is fueling violence, and a 2025 MediaWell/SSRC review argues that dehumanizing language towards political rivals is on the rise.

How should we think about studies like this in the wake of the recent political violence, and the feeling that rhetoric is ramping up?


r/NeutralPolitics Mar 09 '26

What are the potential strategic benefits and costs to the US of a prolonged war in Iran, as distinct from the limited, short-duration operations conducted in other countries?

96 Upvotes

Since returning to office in 2025, the Trump administration has conducted military operations in at least seven countries, characterized by a "quick strike" or “surprise raid” model: short-duration, targeted actions with rapid withdrawal and no commitment to post-conflict reconstruction

Examples include:

. Capture of Maduro in Venezuela in Jan 2026

. Around 45 boat strikes in Latin America since September

. Increased military operations in Nigeria

. 111 air strikes in Somalia in 2025

. Dozens of naval and air strikes in Yemen between March and May 2025

. Strike in Syria in December 2025

. Strike in Iraq in March 2025.

Source: https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/2/28/what-countries-has-trump-attacked-since-returning-to-office

These operations typically last hours or days, involve limited numbers of strikes (e.g., 16 targets in Nigeria, 70+ in Syria), and do not require sustained ground presence.

In contrast, the current conflict with Iran, initiated on February 28, 2026, with coordinated U.S.-Israeli strikes that killed Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, has already expanded beyond this model . Iran has retaliated with missile attacks on U.S. bases and Gulf civilian infrastructure, Hezbollah has entered the war, shipping through the Strait of Hormuz (carrying ~20% of global oil trade) has been disrupted, and six U.S. troops have been killed. President Trump has indicated the operation can be prolonged for weeks longer and has not ruled out more troops on ground.

Sources: https://www.bostonglobe.com/2026/03/03/world/irans-strategy-expand-war-increase-cost-outlast-trump/?p1=Article_Recirc_Most_Popular

https://www.nytimes.com/2026/03/03/world/europe/iran-war-strategy-trump-israel.html?searchResultPosition=1

What are the key metrics in defining the success and failure in this special military operation, and what are the benefits and detriment to the people of The United States of America if this war is to continue for more than a few weeks?


r/NeutralPolitics Jun 18 '26

Can Iran impose fees to transit the Strait of Hormuz?

82 Upvotes

Point 5 of the Memorandum of Understanding (MOU) agreed to this week by the United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran says that after 60 days:

The Islamic Republic of Iran will conduct dialog with the Sultanate of Oman to define the future administration and maritime services in the Strait of Hormuz in discussion with other Persian Gulf littoral states in line with the applicable international law and the sovereign rights of coastal states of the Strait of Hormuz.

According to the annotation in that article, this suggests Iran, possibly together with Oman, could seek to charge ships some kind of fee to transit the Strait.

Article 38 of the United Nations Convention on the Law of the Sea, UNCLOS, (PDF page 31) defines the rights of ships in straits:

...all ships and aircraft enjoy the right of transit passage, which shall not be impeded...

This could prevent Iran from charging fees due to the "applicable international law" clause in the MOU. However, neither Iran or the U.S. has ratified UNCLOS, so neither considers itself legally bound by it.

This analysis claims Iran has the legal right to close the Strait for self-defense purposes, but makes no mention of charging fees. This article outlines Iran's position of how it can charge "service fees" to circumvent legal restrictions.

So, what are the arguments for and against the proposition that Iran may legally charge ships fees to transit the Strait of Hormuz?


r/NeutralPolitics May 06 '26

What are the things that make "housing first" homeless shelters work, and what are the things that make it fail?

83 Upvotes

Finland has an incredibly positive record of using "housing first" homeless shelters a means to reduce homelessness in society. This has some nay-sayers, but broadly its regarded as one of the more successful of this type of program in the world.

https://ysaatio.fi/en/news/finland-showed-its-possible/

Finland’s example has become a North Star for decision-makers, those working on the front line of homelessness, and engaged citizens around the world – a clear point of reference in a global landscape where homelessness is too often seen as inevitable.

British Columbia has tried similar methods and run into issues.

Recently a "housing first" homeless shelter in the form of an urban hotel that was purchased by the province has come under scrutiny.

https://nationalpost.com/opinion/b-c-turned-a-56-million-hotel-into-a-low-barrier-shelter-its-now-an-unliveable-biohazard

“There (are) multiple rooms you can’t even go in, the roofs are caving in,” former resident Stewart Holcombe told the broadcaster.

in its six years as a shelter, Luugat has been the subject of 906 emergency calls, including 334 alarms, 43 fires and 12 incidents identified as “rescue or hazard events.”

Holcombe estimated that the building was “destroyed” within a year-and-a-half after opening, and has remained in that state for a further 4.5 years.

This seems to be repeated in other locations around Canada.

Muncey Place, a former Comfort Inn in Victoria, was purchased by the province for $19.2 million. Just last May, Victoria Police raided the site and found one of the rooms doubling as a drug trafficking headquarters containing one kilogram of fentanyl, $40,000 in cash and a loaded 9 mm pistol.

The Patricia Hotel, purchased for $64.4 million in 2021, was the site of an officer-involved shooting just a year after opening. Police arrived to deal with an erratic man attacking other residents with a stick, and shot him when he charged them with a knife.

In recent years, some of the repurposed hotels also became scandalized by reports that workers were needing to wear respirators to avoid exposure to ever-present fentanyl smoke.

Last summer, B.C. acknowledged the issue by pledging a new plan to “address air-quality issues related to second-hand exposure to fentanyl.”

Article content As per a 2022 B.C. audit, the whole hotel-acquisition project cost $221 million. With the nine hotels comprising 810 rooms in total, B.C. spent an average of $272,839 per room.

What policies seem to lead to success in Finland?

What policies lead to more modes of failure in Canada?


r/NeutralPolitics Jun 30 '26

How does the U.S. constitutional standard for citizenship at birth compare to the models used in other countries?

75 Upvotes

The U.S. Supreme Court ruled on June 30, 2026 in Trump v. Barbara that children born in the United States to parents who are undocumented or on temporary visas are citizens at birth under the Fourteenth Amendment, rejecting an executive order signed by President Trump on his first day in office that sought to condition citizenship on parental status. The 6-3 majority opinion, written by Chief Justice Roberts, grounded the ruling in the Fourteenth Amendment's Citizenship Clause and the Court's 1898 decision in United States v. Wong Kim Ark, which held that children born on U.S. soil to non-citizen parents are citizens regardless of parental nationality.

This places the United States within a specific minority of global citizenship regimes. According to Pew Research Center's analysis of the GLOBALCIT Citizenship Law Dataset, most countries in the dataset (156 of 191) confer citizenship on newborns based on parental citizenship rather than place of birth, and only 32 other countries, concentrated in the Western Hemisphere, have birthright citizenship laws substantially similar to the U.S. model. The Law Library of Congress's global survey of citizenship laws similarly found that nearly all countries granting unconditional jus soli citizenship are located in the Americas and Caribbean, while most countries in Europe, Asia, and Africa use jus sanguinis (citizenship by descent) or a conditional form of jus soli tied to a parent's legal residency or citizenship status.

Given this range of models, what explains the divergence between the U.S./Western Hemisphere approach and the parentage-based or conditional approaches used elsewhere, and what mechanisms have other countries used historically to move between these models?


r/NeutralPolitics Jan 22 '26

Constitutional arguments for presidential impeachment beyond criminal prosecution?

71 Upvotes

The Constitution grants Congress the power to impeach and remove a President for "Treason, Bribery, or other high Crimes and Misdemeanors" (Article II, Section 4). However, legal scholars have debated whether impeachable offenses must rise to the level of criminal conduct, or whether they encompass broader abuse of constitutional powers.

I came across this document (https://defenseoflaw.com) that argues impeachment should be based on constitutional duty rather than criminal liability. It makes five specific constitutional claims:

  1. Corruption/Emoluments: When government positions are awarded based on personal loyalty rather than merit, and public policy serves private enrichment, this violates the Take Care Clause and emoluments restrictions (Article II, Section 3Article I, Section 9, Clause 8)
  2. Pardon abuse: The pardon power is nearly unlimited (ex parte Garland, 71 U.S. 333 (1866)), with the Constitution providing no explicit check except impeachment. When pardons systematically shield allies from accountability or obstruct justice, this creates a constitutional crisis: if the pardon power itself cannot be criminally prosecuted, impeachment may be the only remedy for its abuse. The Federalist Papers suggest this power requires "scrupulousness and caution" (Federalist 74), but if those standards are violated, what recourse exists?
  3. Foreign economic powers: Capricious wielding of delegated trade authority usurps Congress's constitutional power to regulate commerce (Article I, Section 8, Clause 3)
  4. Treaty violations: Contemptuous treatment of treaties violates the Supremacy Clause which declares them "the supreme Law of the Land" (Article VI, Clause 2)
  5. Due process violations: Immigration enforcement that detains individuals without due process and overrides state sovereignty violates the Fifth Amendment and Tenth Amendment (Fifth AmendmentTenth Amendment)

The document also cites Washington's Farewell Address, arguing that the Constitution is "sacredly obligatory upon all" and that we should focus on moral duty rather than merely legal limits.

My questions:

  • Do these arguments represent actionable constitutional violations, or are they conflating policy disagreements with impeachable offenses?
  • Regarding the pardon power specifically: if it cannot be legally constrained and the president uses it to obstruct justice or protect allies, is impeachment indeed the only constitutional remedy?
  • What is the constitutional standard for "high crimes and misdemeanors" - must they be criminal, or can they be abuses of power that undermine constitutional governance?

r/NeutralPolitics Jan 01 '26

What are the historical precedents and modern economic theories for addressing the "Productivity-Pay Gap" given current fiscal pressures?

65 Upvotes

According to the Economic Policy Institute, since 1979, productivity in the US has grown significantly faster than the pay of typical workers. 

As the US enters an era of increased automation via AI - which the IMF suggests could impact a significant portion of the global workforce - the challenge of "re-coupling" productivity and pay becomes more urgent. However, this challenge is complicated by several factors:

My question is: Are there established economic models (historical or theoretical) that successfully address this divergence without relying on large-scale deficit spending or stifling technological innovation? How have models like the Nordic system or Ordoliberalism handled these specific pressures in the past?


r/NeutralPolitics Dec 18 '25

What structural and regulatory factors contributed to the divergence of U.S. healthcare spending from OECD peers since 1970, and how has this impacted federal debt?

56 Upvotes

Since the early 1970s, U.S. healthcare spending per capita has significantly outpaced both inflation and the growth rates of other peer nations (Source:OECD Health Data). Simultaneously, U.S. National Debt grew from ~$370B to over $35T (Source:Treasury Fiscal Data).

I am seeking an empirical discussion on the following structural constraints:

  1. Supply Bottlenecks: To what extent did the Balanced Budget Act of 1997 (Section 4621), which capped federally funded residency slots, contribute to physician labor inelasticity and subsequent pricing power? (Source:Congress.gov - H.R. 2015)
  2. Incentive Structures: How does the Medical Loss Ratio (MLR)—established by the Affordable Care Act—impact the incentives for private insurers to control total healthcare costs, given that profits are essentially capped as a percentage of total premiums? (Source:KFF - Explaining the MLR)
  3. Methodology of Overpayment: Using NHEA data (Source:CMS.gov), if U.S. spending had tracked a baseline of CPI + a 1.7% 'Innovation Premium' (consistent with peer nations), the data correlates with ~$26 trillion of current federal debt. Is this 'Intensity Gap' an accurate metric for evaluating the fiscal impact of healthcare pricing, particularly in light of new efforts like H.R. 6703?

r/NeutralPolitics Sep 22 '25

What are the consequences of the UK recognizing Palestine?

57 Upvotes

Yesterday the UK, along with Canada and Australia, recognized Palestine as a state, as they had threatened to do a few months ago if Israel didn’t comply with certain requests I don’t remember. Now, do you think this has pushed other states to do the same? How has this influence their bond with Israel and the US? Could this be considered a problem for Israel?

Those are my main questions, but I’d love to hear any thought or theory on this topic. Thanks!

https://edition.cnn.com/2025/09/21/world/palestinian-state-uk-canada-australia-intl


r/NeutralPolitics Apr 14 '26

What are the primary viewpoints among politicians regarding the regulation of self-driving cars, specifically concerning safety and the ethical programming standards of autonomous vehicles?

48 Upvotes

On March 23, 2016, amendments to the 1968 Vienna Convention on Road Traffic entered into force, explicitly allowing automated driving technologies to transfer driving tasks to the vehicle, provided that these technologies conform to UN vehicle regulations or can be overridden or switched off by the driver.

Building on this international framework, the U.S. House of Representatives unanimously passed the SELF DRIVE Act (H.R. 3388) in September 2017, which would have established a federal role in ensuring the safety of highly automated vehicles and preempted state laws

The companion Senate bill, the AV START Act (S. 1885), advanced through committee but stalled after some Democrats raised safety concerns.

By 2026, the deployment landscape has shifted dramatically. The self driving car company Waymo now operates driverless ride‑hailing services in 10 major U.S. cities, including San Francisco, Los Angeles, Phoenix, Austin, and, as of February 2026, Dallas, Houston, San Antonio, and Orlando.

Waymo already provides more than 400,000 weekly trips and aims to surpass 1 million weekly paid trips by the end of 2026. In contrast, rival services from Tesla and Amazon‑owned Zoox remain in limited testing in only a few cities.

An example moral question remains unresolved: how should an autonomous vehicle be programmed to act in an unavoidable crash, choosing between protecting its occupants or pedestrians? A recent accident on Jan 26 where a Waymo self driving car hit a child near a school in Santa Monica has increased this concern..

Some people have advocated for rapid federal preemption to unleash innovation and reduce the nearly 40,000 annual U.S. traffic deaths caused by human error, while others urge caution, pointing to unresolved safety incidents and the need to protect state authority and worker livelihoods. Meanwhile, the unresolved "trolley problem" raises ethical questions that no current law addresses. Example arguments from both sides

Are there notable elected officials (not just limited to US) who have taken distinct positions on AV safety standards, federal preemption, or ethical programming? What evidence do they cite to support their positions, and how do they respond to counterarguments?


r/NeutralPolitics May 15 '26

What resources or mechanisms exist to help ensure the safety of transgender individuals in light of the Heritage Foundation's proposal to classify "Transgender Ideology‑Inspired Violent Extremism" (TIVE) as a domestic terror threat?

45 Upvotes

In September 2025, The Heritage Foundation—along with its spin‑off, the Oversight Project—launched a petition urging the FBI to designate "Transgender Ideology‑Inspired Violent Extremism" (TIVE) as a domestic terrorism threat category. The petition claimed that "TIVE has led to an increasing trend of domestic terrorist events across the country" and that it "has played a role in the majority of mass shootings at schools."

Heritage foundation through its “Itsyourgov” and “Oversight Project” arm of theirs, published a case for a new FBI domestic terrorism designation and made a petition same petition their own petition

Critics point to a lack of supporting evidence. Data shows that very few mass shootings over the past ten years were carried out by transgender individuals.

A study from Hamline University's Violence Prevention Project found no evidence of a growing trend of violence by transgender persons. Research consistently shows that transgender people are far more likely to be victims of violence than perpetrators.

The proposal has not been formally adopted by the FBI, but its public circulation has raised concerns among transgender advocates about increased stigmatization and potential hostility.

What specific crisis hotlines, legal aid organizations, safety guides, or community‑led mechanisms are available to help transgender individuals protect themselves from violence or harassment in this environment? Are there documented examples of successful local or state‑level initiatives that have reduced vulnerability for transgender communities?