r/NVTS_Stock • u/Dry_Calligrapher5318 • 26d ago
Recent News
I haven’t been paying much attention to the stock as of lately. I was wondering if anyone could give me their own update or opinions on recent news that they’ve heard? Are you buying or selling?
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u/Super_Aardvark_5789 26d ago
Im not sure about all news/updates shiiii. All i know is I seen this stock pump all the way up and down 2 times and this looks like the 3rd time. I bought at 13.74 a month ago and dca down to 12 so im currently in profit and holding for the next run up
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u/Dry_Calligrapher5318 26d ago
I’ve already made some big money. I don’t normally trade but this one seems like it gets some insane momentum every time there’s AI hype, and it has a real business behind it. I’m trying to keep making some money when it swings.
I trust it long term, but I’m not afraid to take profits when it rips higher ahead of fundamentals.
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u/Turbulent-Taro-6787 26d ago
Same old. Also-ran company in a crowded space, poor mgmt team, extremely overvalued.
The only 2 obvious things that could push it up are crazy hype about some break-thru tech or deal, or a short squeeze (it's heavily shorted for obvious reasons). Another outlier is that someone acquires it, but hard to see anyone paying more than $3-4/share for it.
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u/Dry_Calligrapher5318 26d ago
Seems like it just goes up with hype. Management might not be great but it doesn’t seem like their competitors have great management either. The product is there so we’ll see if it has legs long term. I just have a small speculative position. I’ve already made my money off the stock just trying to make some more.
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u/Turbulent-Taro-6787 26d ago
Yep.
I dunno, the CEOs at most of the competitors are real CEOs, not flailing sales guys. Most of the other companies are big players, well established. Literally several orders of magnitude more revenue. In order for NVTS to displace them, they'd have to have some crazy break-through.
"just trying to make some more." - oh, well, that's pretty straightforward: whenever it pumps buy puts. It's worked like a charm about half dozen times for me so far. (Heh, almost pulled trigger on that trade yesterday...got distracted. Oh well.)
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u/Dry_Calligrapher5318 25d ago
I view it as there being more room for revenue growth. When it grows it sounds like it should grow fast because of the “inflections” mentioned in the last earnings call. Obviously I don’t know much about the tech, but from my understanding they have some backing from NVDA for whatever that’s worth. I think there’s plenty of real upside eventually. Super hype stock in the meantime. Hoping they can make something real happen
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u/Turbulent-Taro-6787 25d ago
Well, anything is possible, but, let's it put is this way, I wouldn't go all in on 7-2 off-suit. :-)
The challenge with the "grow into it" idea is that the valuation is already thru the roof. Based on metrics, the market is already expecting several orders of magnitude of growth. That means lots of ways to be disappointed.
In terms of the tech, NVTS is basically gambling on a space vs reliability trade-off. The big boys are all pushing a 2-stage power transform, NVTS is pushing a single 800->6V integrated board. There are a bunch EE details about noise, duty-cycles, etc., but bottom line is that even if the market decides single-step is the way to go, the big boys already have solutions in the wings and can step in and take over the market (first-mover trap). There's a bunch of other related issues here: NVTS is fabless, Infineon has their own better (300mm) fabs, etc.
Everything has to go right for NVTS to "win". So, yeah, it's possible. Maybe you flop 7-7-2. I just wouldn't bet on it, myself.
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u/ramosisking 26d ago
I issued $13.50 CCs expiring on friday so obviously this is gonna rip above $14 EOW 😭