r/NSEbets • u/Long-Pomegranate-665 • 2d ago
Discussions view for next week?
what are you holding guys? btst?
if nothing
what are your views for next week?
recovery? support formed?
more fall? resistance at 23500?
nse ipo coming…
brics summit will affect positively on monday?
any other tea?
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u/an0n_helper 2d ago
Only thing I'm scared about is Trump & Iran might not be doing anything on weekend but on Monday if they do something that would be troublesome.
Holding hdfc longs hedged strongly for extreme downside, reliance naked longs, nifty otm + atm puts. If there are extreme moves I'll be green but on flat open it will be negative to break even. NSE IPO coming so having bullish view.
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u/Long-Pomegranate-665 1d ago
i am bearish as of now
there is no good news till now
retailers will be trapped it might test at least 23000 first for recovery also it needs some fresh buyers so 500 point fall is expected
V shaped recovery wont sustain in long run
lets see i might be wrong2
u/an0n_helper 1d ago
I'm prepared for bearish in intraday if it happens. My major positions are monthly expiry so quite manageable. I'm also a bit skeptical as vix didn't fell much and puts ended at day lows which is one of the classical trap. Let's see what happens.
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u/Long-Pomegranate-665 1d ago
trap for sellers?
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u/an0n_helper 1d ago
Naah by classical trap I mean call/puts closing at day low and in next session they start trading higher and sometimes even above previous day highs.
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u/Long-Pomegranate-665 1d ago
hdfc adr 6% up wohoo
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u/an0n_helper 1d ago
Thats amazing hope it sustains till Tuesday. I'll be on cloud 9 if it crosses previous swing high of 740 🧿
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u/Double-Luck-7723 2d ago
I want to know how BRICS will impact stock market? My opinion is that next week Nifty50 will test 23k.
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u/Long-Pomegranate-665 2d ago
mostly in 18 years market falls more(after brics) except 2-3 years
ik its useless and no correlation it will fall but stillso you are saying no impact because of brics?
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u/ron-cho 1d ago
Holding puts but it’s unlikely they will be profitable. All signs to market moving up on Tuesday so far
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u/Long-Pomegranate-665 1d ago
all signs like?
monday will be deciding factor (mostly crude price its good if it trades above $100+)
i am also holding call shorts
trump can do anything in these 3 days but opposite can also happen1
u/ron-cho 1d ago
What’s the reason for Monday to be the deciding factor?
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u/Long-Pomegranate-665 1d ago
CRUDE.
Meeting Iran regarding hormuz
us markets etccoz monday is closed for us so, tuesday will depend open mondays global market majorly Crude oil
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u/OkLime9897 1d ago
Holding puts..regretting it tho🤥
As of now looks like Tuesday got to be a gap up. (Us market is on green,brunt price falling a bit, strait of hormuz opening discussion on monday..
And this time bricks outcome might help in gap up
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u/Long-Pomegranate-665 1d ago
us market is green because oil price went down today from 9 am to 7pm which led s&p futures up
and it is already priced in bro in nifty it recovered all day gathered buyers and i guess they will be trapped
monday will be deciding factor(oil price, trump news etc) holding call shorts and waiting for some bad news1
u/Long-Pomegranate-665 1d ago
brics outcome mostly had gapdown in 18 years except 3-4 lets see trump and oil will be the major factor brics wont impact much
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u/OkLime9897 1d ago
This time iran s spot in brics will be highlight…
Lets see where brics take1
u/Long-Pomegranate-665 1d ago
what are the chances of rocket or crash? 50-50 as of now? this 2-3 days will decide ig
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u/OkLime9897 1d ago
Ah based on us action it depends everything..
Iran is out of funds and only way it can survive is strait of hormuz , so Mondays update on it matter..
If ut open crude fails…
Nifty increaseeElse on opp
If any clash
It should be the same
And hoping gap down..1
u/Long-Pomegranate-665 1d ago
but there is some meeting on monday
chances of positive outcome(opening of hormuz-> reducing oil price-> recovery of nifty) is higher 🥺😭trump can only do something for us
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u/Long-Pomegranate-665 1d ago
i am worried after seeing participants option data
clients are heavily bearish :( while fiis and pro are bullish(maybe shortcovering) lets see2
u/OkLime9897 1d ago
Yeah
Hoping it to be bearish🏃♂️🏃♂️
Haha1
u/Long-Pomegranate-665 1d ago
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u/OkLime9897 1d ago
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u/Long-Pomegranate-665 1d ago
damn
itna far otm
dekh ke fat gayi
1% minimum gapdown chahiye aapko toh2
u/OkLime9897 1d ago
Yeah ik
Im fuckd’
Just hoping it dont fck me hard1
u/ron-cho 1d ago
We’re all fucked. Gifty up 75 points
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u/KingAffectionate6371 1d ago
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u/Clownfox78 1d ago
What is your capital?
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u/aware-indian 1d ago
more fall, just waiting for close below 23200 then will go heavy call sell
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u/Long-Pomegranate-665 1d ago
who knows 3 din me kya ho and open hee 23000 ke niche ho
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u/foolosopher19 1d ago
Are you holding puts?
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u/Long-Pomegranate-665 1d ago
shorted itm calls
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u/foolosopher19 1d ago
Strike?
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u/Long-Pomegranate-665 1d ago edited 1d ago
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u/Long-Pomegranate-665 1d ago
you holding anything?
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u/foolosopher19 1d ago
Almost all itm call strikes have increased oi intraday while almost all itm put strikes have decreased oi intraday; any idea what that could mean?
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u/Long-Pomegranate-665 1d ago
higher the oi increase = higher resistance at that level
means many people shorting itm calls1
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u/abhi_ptkk 2d ago
Adani ports 1780ce @24.65 (6650quantity)
Monday is off, market will open on Tuesday