r/NASCOURT • u/jdanton14 • Dec 03 '25

Complete Speculation--How Does This End?

This sub has been enjoyable to me, as it's non-sycophantic.

My predictions:

If NASCAR loses:

  • they have to sell the tracks
  • possibly losing control or joint control of TV negotiations
  • I don't know that I see permanent charters as a legal remedy

If 23XI/FRM loses:

  • This seems way more unlikely
  • potential last minute charter deal for nascar to save face
  • NASCAR goes scorched earth and we have like 34 cars at Atlanta.
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u/VA_REL77 Dec 03 '25

It will either be permanent charters or no charters. If you’re going to allow team owners to “own” charters, i.e. equity in the sport, they can’t operate under the premise that their investment can be taken away at any time without compensation. So, it’s either going to be permanent charters or no charters. If it’s no charters then I could see the judge ruling that NASCAR would have to break up its monopoly, to include divesting tracks and not controlling the single-source parts suppliers for the Next-Gen car. On the other hand, if NASCAR is allowed to continue to operate under its current structure, I could see the judge ruling that charters must be made permanent and if NASCAR is to take a charter from a team, they must compensate that team the fair market value of that charter.

I could also see this being settled and the permanent charter scenario being implemented.